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NFLFri 18 Sept, 03:15 EATHighmark Stadium

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills prediction

Detroit LionsAway36%to win
31 : 41final score
Buffalo BillsHome64%to win
Shujaa value tipUnder 53.5 points2.00

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip75%
Under 60.5 pointsMost likely to win
Fair 1.341 unitlost
Value tip52%
Under 53.5 pointsPrice pays more than it should
Price 2.00+4.5% value2 unitslost

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills is Buffalo Bills to win, with a 64% chance. We project Detroit Lions 23.8 and Buffalo Bills 28.1. Our best bet is Under 53.5 points at 2.00.

Nothing moved this number: form level, both sides rested

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Buffalo BillsWWWWL
  • Wat Houston Texans36-31
  • Wv Pittsburgh Steelers28-27
  • Wat Cleveland Browns31-7
  • Wv Carolina Panthers29-14
  • Lat Denver Broncos30-33
Detroit LionsWWWLW
  • Wv New Orleans Saints31-30
  • Wat Indianapolis Colts25-16
  • Wv Washington Commanders17-13
  • Lat Cincinnati Bengals14-16
  • Wat Chicago Bears19-16

In numbers, Bills red and Lions green

70%Win rate60%
28.0Points scored per game27.8
21.5Points conceded per game23.1
78% homeHome and away50% away

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
BillsLions
20Games played20
14Wins12
6Losses8
560Points scored555
430Points conceded461
28.0Scored per game27.8
21.5Conceded per game23.1
7W 2LHome record7W 3L
7W 4LAway record5W 5L

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Spread and total

Chance and fair price
Bills -11.530%3.37
Bills -7.541%2.46
Bills -4.549%2.03
Bills -1.558%1.72
Bills +2.569%1.44
Over 44.5 points71%1.40
Over 48.5 points60%1.66
Over 51.5 points51%1.95
Over 54.5 points42%2.38
Over 58.5 points31%3.28

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Bills to win64%1.46-7.2%
Lions to win30%2.80-14.8%
Bills -4.546%1.89-13.2%
Lions +4.547%1.93-8.9%
Over 53.5 points41%1.83-25.0%
Under 53.5 points52%2.00+4.5%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills: Buffalo Bills are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Buffalo Bills 64% and Detroit Lions 36%. The bookmakers agree and make Buffalo Bills the favourite at 1.46.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Buffalo Bills won 4 of their last 5 and Detroit Lions won 4 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Buffalo Bills won 7 of their last 9 games at home. Detroit Lions won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Buffalo Bills score 28.0 points a game and let in 21.5. Detroit Lions score 27.8 and let in 23.1. Their recent games average 49.5 and 50.8 points in total, and the market line is 53.5.

  5. 5
    Where the value is

    Under 53.5 points is priced at 2.00. Our fair price is 1.91, so the bookmaker pays about 4.5% more than it should.

Buffalo Bills form

Buffalo Bills have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 560 points scored and 430 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Detroit Lions form

Detroit Lions have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 555 points scored and 461 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Detroit Lions to score about 23.8 points and Buffalo Bills about 28.1. That points to Buffalo Bills to win. Our safest bet is Under 60.5 points at 1.34. Our value bet is Under 53.5 points at 2.00.

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Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills?

Our prediction for Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills is Buffalo Bills to win, with a 64% chance. We project Detroit Lions 23.8 and Buffalo Bills 28.1. Our best bet is Under 53.5 points at 2.00.

What is the projected score for Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills?

We project Detroit Lions 23.8 and Buffalo Bills 28.1, about 51.9 points in total.

How are Buffalo Bills playing?

Buffalo Bills have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 560 points scored and 430 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Detroit Lions playing?

Detroit Lions have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 555 points scored and 461 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills?

Under 53.5 points at 2.00, with a 52% chance. That price pays about 4.5% more than our fair price.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Bills against Lions. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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