NFLSun 4 Oct, 20:00 EATHighmark Stadium

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills prediction

New England PatriotsAway26%to win
20.5 : 27.7projected points
Buffalo BillsHome74%to win
Shujaa safe tipBills to win1.33

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip74%
Bills to winMost likely to win
Price 1.331 unit
Bold tip31%
Patriots to winBigger price, loses more often
Price 3.45+6.0% value2 units

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills is Buffalo Bills to win, with a 74% chance. We project New England Patriots 20.5 and Buffalo Bills 27.7. Our best bet is Bills to win at 1.33.

Bills rest between games-5%Patriots rest between games-5%Patriots team news-1%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Buffalo BillsWWWWW
  • Wv Los Angeles Chargers24-16
  • Wv Detroit Lions41-31
  • Wat Houston Texans36-31
  • Wv Pittsburgh Steelers28-27
  • Wat Cleveland Browns31-7
New England PatriotsLWLLW
  • Lat Jacksonville Jaguars6-35
  • Wv Pittsburgh Steelers20-3
  • Lat Seattle Seahawks10-13
  • Lat Cleveland Browns13-37
  • Wv Philadelphia Eagles24-21

In numbers, Bills red and Patriots green

75%Win rate70%
28.7Points scored per game23.1
21.8Points conceded per game18.2
89% homeHome and away63% away

Last meetings

  • New England Patriots31-35Buffalo Bills
  • Buffalo Bills20-23New England Patriots

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
BillsPatriots
20Games played20
15Wins14
5Losses5
574Points scored462
435Points conceded364
28.7Scored per game23.1
21.8Conceded per game18.2
8W 1LHome record9W 2L
7W 4LAway record5W 3L

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Spread and total

Chance and fair price
Bills -14.529%3.42
Bills -10.540%2.49
Bills -7.549%2.05
Bills -4.558%1.73
Bills -0.569%1.45
Over 41.5 points70%1.44
Over 45.5 points58%1.72
Over 48.5 points49%2.04
Over 51.5 points40%2.50
Over 55.5 points29%3.48

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Bills to win74%1.33-1.3%
Patriots to win31%3.45+6.0%
Bills -750%1.95-3.2%
Patriots +749%1.87-8.9%
Over 48.5 points48%1.91-8.3%
Under 48.5 points50%1.91-4.0%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills: Buffalo Bills are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Buffalo Bills 74% and New England Patriots 26%. The bookmakers agree and make Buffalo Bills the favourite at 1.33.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Buffalo Bills won 5 of their last 5 and New England Patriots won 2 of their last 5. Buffalo Bills come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Buffalo Bills won 8 of their last 9 games at home. New England Patriots won 5 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Buffalo Bills score 28.7 points a game and let in 21.8. New England Patriots score 23.1 and let in 18.2. Their recent games average 50.5 and 41.3 points in total, and the market line is 48.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Buffalo Bills won 1 and New England Patriots won 1. The last one ended New England Patriots 31, Buffalo Bills 35.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Bills to win has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Buffalo Bills form

Buffalo Bills have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 574 points scored and 435 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

New England Patriots form

New England Patriots have 14 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 462 points scored and 364 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Buffalo Bills won 1, New England Patriots won 1. Last time out it finished New England Patriots 31, Buffalo Bills 35.

Our call

We expect New England Patriots to score about 20.5 points and Buffalo Bills about 27.7. That points to Buffalo Bills to win. Our safest bet is Bills to win at 1.33. Our bold bet is Patriots to win at 3.45.

News on these teams

All news

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills?

Our prediction for New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills is Buffalo Bills to win, with a 74% chance. We project New England Patriots 20.5 and Buffalo Bills 27.7. Our best bet is Bills to win at 1.33.

What is the projected score for New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills?

We project New England Patriots 20.5 and Buffalo Bills 27.7, about 48.2 points in total.

How are Buffalo Bills playing?

Buffalo Bills have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 574 points scored and 435 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are New England Patriots playing?

New England Patriots have 14 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 462 points scored and 364 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots last met?

It ended New England Patriots 31, Buffalo Bills 35. In the last 2 meetings Buffalo Bills won 1 and New England Patriots won 1.

What is the best bet for New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills?

Bills to win at 1.33, with a 74% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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