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NFLSun 18 Oct, 20:00 EATMercedes-Benz Stadium

Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons prediction

Chicago BearsAway61%to win
26.6 : 22.0projected points
Atlanta FalconsHome39%to win
Shujaa value tipBears -31.91

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip64%
Bears to winMost likely to win
Price 1.65+5.3% value2 units
Value tip59%
Bears -3Price pays more than it should
Price 1.91+11.9% value3 units

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons is Chicago Bears to win, with a 61% chance. We project Chicago Bears 26.6 and Atlanta Falcons 22.0. Our best bet is Bears -3 at 1.91.

Falcons team news-1%Bears team news-1%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Atlanta FalconsWLLWW
  • Wat Green Bay Packers35-14
  • Lv Carolina Panthers3-34
  • Lat Pittsburgh Steelers13-20
  • Wat Miami Dolphins17-12
  • Wat Indianapolis Colts34-6
Chicago BearsWLWWL
  • Wv Philadelphia Eagles27-7
  • Lv Minnesota Vikings3-9
  • Wat Carolina Panthers59-37
  • Wat Tennessee Titans24-15
  • Lat Cincinnati Bengals9-27

In numbers, Falcons red and Bears green

50%Win rate65%
21.0Points scored per game25.9
22.8Points conceded per game21.3
44% homeHome and away56% away

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
FalconsBears
20Games played20
10Wins13
10Losses7
420Points scored519
455Points conceded426
21.0Scored per game25.9
22.8Conceded per game21.3
4W 5LHome record8W 3L
6W 5LAway record5W 4L

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Spread and total

Chance and fair price
Falcons -2.530%3.34
Falcons +1.541%2.45
Falcons +4.550%2.01
Falcons +7.558%1.71
Falcons +11.569%1.44
Over 41.5 points71%1.41
Over 45.5 points59%1.68
Over 48.5 points50%1.99
Over 51.5 points41%2.43
Over 55.5 points30%3.36

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Falcons to win39%2.30-10.4%
Bears to win64%1.65+5.3%
Falcons +345%1.91-14.1%
Bears -359%1.91+11.9%
Over 47.5 points56%1.91+7.7%
Under 47.5 points47%1.91-9.9%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Falcons v Bears

Our top pick is Bears -3. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

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Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons: Chicago Bears are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlanta Falcons 39% and Chicago Bears 61%. The bookmakers agree and make Chicago Bears the favourite at 1.65.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlanta Falcons won 3 of their last 5 and Chicago Bears won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlanta Falcons won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Chicago Bears won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Atlanta Falcons score 21.0 points a game and let in 22.8. Chicago Bears score 25.9 and let in 21.3. Their recent games average 43.8 and 47.3 points in total, and the market line is 47.5.

  5. 5
    Where the value is

    Bears -3 is priced at 1.91. Our fair price is 1.71, so the bookmaker pays about 11.9% more than it should.

Atlanta Falcons form

Atlanta Falcons have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 420 points scored and 455 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Chicago Bears form

Chicago Bears have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 519 points scored and 426 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Chicago Bears to score about 26.6 points and Atlanta Falcons about 22.0. That points to Chicago Bears to win. Our safest bet is Bears to win at 1.65. Our value bet is Bears -3 at 1.91.

News on these teams

All news
NFL

New Orleans Saints fans boo team after heavy loss to Falcons

NFL

Michael Penix Jr Sparks Historic Offensive Turnaround For Atlanta Falcons

NFL

Falcons Rout Saints 45-24 Behind Rushing Attack

NFL

Otis Wilson involved in altercation at Soldier Field

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons?

Our prediction for Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons is Chicago Bears to win, with a 61% chance. We project Chicago Bears 26.6 and Atlanta Falcons 22.0. Our best bet is Bears -3 at 1.91.

What is the projected score for Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons?

We project Chicago Bears 26.6 and Atlanta Falcons 22.0, about 48.6 points in total.

How are Atlanta Falcons playing?

Atlanta Falcons have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 420 points scored and 455 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Chicago Bears playing?

Chicago Bears have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 519 points scored and 426 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons?

Bears -3 at 1.91, with a 59% chance. That price pays about 11.9% more than our fair price.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Falcons against Bears. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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