NFLSun 4 Oct, 16:30 EATTottenham Hotspur Stadium

Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders prediction

Indianapolis ColtsAway61%to win
25.4 : 23.3projected points
Washington CommandersHome39%to win
Shujaa value tipOver 47.5 points2.00

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip75%
Over 40.5 pointsMost likely to win
Fair 1.332 units
Value tip53%
Over 47.5 pointsPrice pays more than it should
Price 2.00+6.9% value2 units

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders is Indianapolis Colts to win, with a 61% chance. We project Indianapolis Colts 25.4 and Washington Commanders 23.3. Our best bet is Over 47.5 points at 2.00.

Commanders rest between games-5%Colts rest between games-5%Commanders team news-3%Colts team news-4%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Washington CommandersWLLLL
  • Wv Seattle Seahawks33-31
  • Lat Dallas Cowboys20-37
  • Lat Philadelphia Eagles22-24
  • Lat Baltimore Ravens3-41
  • Lat Detroit Lions13-17
Indianapolis ColtsWLLLL
  • Wv Houston Texans19-17
  • Lat Kansas City Chiefs30-33
  • Lv Baltimore Ravens23-41
  • Lv Detroit Lions16-25
  • Lv Atlanta Falcons6-34

In numbers, Commanders red and Colts green

25%Win rate30%
19.4Points scored per game23.5
27.6Points conceded per game25.9
25% homeHome and away11% away

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
CommandersColts
20Games played20
5Wins6
15Losses13
387Points scored470
551Points conceded519
19.4Scored per game23.5
27.6Conceded per game25.9
2W 6LHome record5W 6L
3W 9LAway record1W 7L

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Spread and total

Chance and fair price
Commanders -4.531%3.18
Commanders -0.543%2.35
Commanders +2.551%1.95
Commanders +5.560%1.66
Commanders +9.571%1.41
Over 41.5 points71%1.41
Over 45.5 points60%1.68
Over 48.5 points51%1.98
Over 51.5 points41%2.42
Over 55.5 points30%3.34

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Commanders to win39%2.36-7.8%
Colts to win59%1.62-4.2%
Commanders +353%1.93+1.6%
Colts -346%1.89-13.7%
Over 47.5 points53%2.00+6.9%
Under 47.5 points45%1.83-17.8%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders: Indianapolis Colts are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Washington Commanders 39% and Indianapolis Colts 61%. The bookmakers agree and make Indianapolis Colts the favourite at 1.62.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Washington Commanders won 1 of their last 5 and Indianapolis Colts won 1 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Washington Commanders won 2 of their last 8 games at home. Indianapolis Colts won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Washington Commanders score 19.4 points a game and let in 27.6. Indianapolis Colts score 23.5 and let in 25.9. Their recent games average 46.9 and 49.5 points in total, and the market line is 47.5.

  5. 5
    Where the value is

    Over 47.5 points is priced at 2.00. Our fair price is 1.87, so the bookmaker pays about 6.9% more than it should.

Washington Commanders form

Washington Commanders have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 387 points scored and 551 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Indianapolis Colts form

Indianapolis Colts have 6 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 470 points scored and 519 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Indianapolis Colts to score about 25.4 points and Washington Commanders about 23.3. That points to Indianapolis Colts to win. Our safest bet is Over 40.5 points at 1.33. Our value bet is Over 47.5 points at 2.00.

News on these teams

All news

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders?

Our prediction for Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders is Indianapolis Colts to win, with a 61% chance. We project Indianapolis Colts 25.4 and Washington Commanders 23.3. Our best bet is Over 47.5 points at 2.00.

What is the projected score for Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders?

We project Indianapolis Colts 25.4 and Washington Commanders 23.3, about 48.7 points in total.

How are Washington Commanders playing?

Washington Commanders have 5 wins and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 387 points scored and 551 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Indianapolis Colts playing?

Indianapolis Colts have 6 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 470 points scored and 519 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Indianapolis Colts vs Washington Commanders?

Over 47.5 points at 2.00, with a 53% chance. That price pays about 6.9% more than our fair price.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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