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NFLSun 13 Sept, 23:25 EATAllegiant Stadium

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders prediction

Miami DolphinsAway41%to win
19.2 : 20.9projected points
Las Vegas RaidersHome59%to win
Shujaa value tipDolphins +31.91

Our three tips

Safe tip74%
Dolphins +10Most likely to win
Fair 1.361 unit
Value tip54%
Dolphins +3Price pays more than it should
Price 1.91+3.3% value1 unit
Bold tip41%
Dolphins to winBigger price, loses more often
Price 2.421 unit

Shujaa verdict

Our prediction for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders is Las Vegas Raiders to win, with a 59% chance. We project Miami Dolphins 19.2 and Las Vegas Raiders 20.9. Our best bet is Dolphins +3 at 1.91.

Prediction
Las Vegas Raiders to win
Chance
59%
Projected score
Miami Dolphins 19, Las Vegas Raiders 21
Projected total
40.1 points
Best bet
Dolphins +3 at 1.91

What moved our number

Nothing moved this game. Both sides are rested, form is level and there is no team news to act on.

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and stats

Recent form

Las Vegas Raiders
  • Lv San Francisco 49ers12-18
  • Wat Houston Texans22-20
  • Lv Arizona Cardinals14-27
  • Wv Kansas City Chiefs14-12
  • Lv New York Giants10-34
Miami Dolphins
  • Lv Atlanta Falcons12-17
  • Lv New York Giants3-26
  • Lat Washington Commanders7-20
  • Lat New England Patriots10-38
  • Wv Tampa Bay Buccaneers20-17

Head to head in numbers

16%Win rate37%
14.2Points scored per game19.0
25.5Points conceded per game23.9
18% homeHome and away25% away

Good to know: Red is Raiders, green is Dolphins.

Team records, last 19 games

RaidersDolphins
Games played1919
Wins37
Losses1612
Points scored269361
Points conceded484454
Scored per game14.219.0
Conceded per game25.523.9
Home record2W 9L5W 6L
Away record1W 7L2W 6L

Spread and total

Raiders spread and total points

Raiders -8.531%3.27
Raiders -4.542%2.40
Raiders -1.550%1.98
Raiders +1.559%1.69
Raiders +5.570%1.43
Over 33.5 points69%1.44
Over 37.5 points58%1.73
Over 40.5 points49%2.05
Over 43.5 points40%2.52
Over 47.5 points28%3.52

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Scores

Score lines are shown for football games only.

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Raiders to win59%1.59-6.7%
Dolphins to win41%2.42-0.2%
Raiders -346%1.91-12.4%
Dolphins +354%1.91+3.3%
Over 40.5 points49%1.91-7.0%
Under 40.5 points51%1.91-2.1%

Match preview

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders: Las Vegas Raiders are favourites

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Las Vegas Raiders 59% and Miami Dolphins 41%. The bookmakers agree and make Las Vegas Raiders the favourite at 1.59.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Las Vegas Raiders won 2 of their last 5 and Miami Dolphins won 1 of their last 5. Las Vegas Raiders come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Las Vegas Raiders won 2 of their last 11 games at home. Miami Dolphins won 2 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Las Vegas Raiders score 14.2 points a game and let in 25.5. Miami Dolphins score 19.0 and let in 23.9. Their recent games average 39.6 and 42.9 points in total, and the market line is 40.5.

  5. 5
    Where the value is

    Dolphins +3 is priced at 1.91. Our fair price is 1.85, so the bookmaker pays about 3.3% more than it should.

The big picture

Las Vegas Raiders host Miami Dolphins in the NFL on Sun 13 Sept, 23:25 at Allegiant Stadium. Our prediction for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders is Las Vegas Raiders to win, with a 59% chance. We project Miami Dolphins 19.2 and Las Vegas Raiders 20.9. Our best bet is Dolphins +3 at 1.91.

Las Vegas Raiders form

Las Vegas Raiders have 3 wins and 16 losses in their last 19 games, with 269 points scored and 484 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Miami Dolphins form

Miami Dolphins have 7 wins and 12 losses in their last 19 games, with 361 points scored and 454 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Miami Dolphins to score about 19.2 points and Las Vegas Raiders about 20.9. That points to Las Vegas Raiders to win. Our safest bet is Dolphins +10 at 1.36. Our value bet is Dolphins +3 at 1.91. Our bold bet is Dolphins to win at 2.42.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?

Our prediction for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders is Las Vegas Raiders to win, with a 59% chance. We project Miami Dolphins 19.2 and Las Vegas Raiders 20.9. Our best bet is Dolphins +3 at 1.91.

What is the projected score for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?

We project Miami Dolphins 19.2 and Las Vegas Raiders 20.9, about 40.1 points in total.

How are Las Vegas Raiders playing?

Las Vegas Raiders have 3 wins and 16 losses in their last 19 games, with 269 points scored and 484 conceded. At home they have 2 wins and 9 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Miami Dolphins playing?

Miami Dolphins have 7 wins and 12 losses in their last 19 games, with 361 points scored and 454 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?

Dolphins +3 at 1.91, with a 54% chance. That price pays about 3.3% more than our fair price.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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