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NFLMon 21 Sept, 03:20 EATArrowhead Stadium

Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs prediction

Indianapolis ColtsAway31%to win
20.5 : 25.7projected points
Kansas City ChiefsHome69%to win
Shujaa value tipUnder 47.5 points1.91

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip74%
Under 54.5 pointsMost likely to win
Fair 1.351 unit
Value tip54%
Under 47.5 pointsPrice pays more than it should
Price 1.91+3.0% value1 unit
Bold tip31%
Colts to winBigger price, loses more often
Price 3.30+1.3% value1 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs is Kansas City Chiefs to win, with a 69% chance. We project Indianapolis Colts 20.5 and Kansas City Chiefs 25.7. Our best bet is Under 47.5 points at 1.91.

Nothing moved this number: form level, both sides rested

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Kansas City ChiefsDLLLL
  • Dv Seattle Seahawks9-9
  • Lat Tampa Bay Buccaneers15-16
  • Lv Los Angeles Rams12-20
  • Lat Las Vegas Raiders12-14
  • Lv Denver Broncos13-20
Indianapolis ColtsLLDLL
  • Lv Detroit Lions16-25
  • Lv Atlanta Falcons6-34
  • Dat New England Patriots13-13
  • Lat Houston Texans30-38
  • Lv Jacksonville Jaguars17-23

In numbers, Chiefs red and Colts green

32%Win rate37%
19.8Points scored per game24.6
18.2Points conceded per game25.1
45% homeHome and away22% away

Last meetings

  • Kansas City Chiefs23-20Indianapolis Colts

Team records

Last 19 games, all competitions
ChiefsColts
19Games played19
6Wins7
12Losses11
377Points scored468
346Points conceded476
19.8Scored per game24.6
18.2Conceded per game25.1
5W 5LHome record5W 5L
1W 7LAway record2W 6L

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Spread and total

Chance and fair price
Chiefs -12.530%3.39
Chiefs -8.540%2.47
Chiefs -5.549%2.03
Chiefs -2.558%1.72
Chiefs +1.569%1.45
Over 39.5 points70%1.43
Over 43.5 points58%1.72
Over 46.5 points49%2.04
Over 49.5 points40%2.50
Over 53.5 points29%3.48

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Chiefs to win69%1.35-6.4%
Colts to win31%3.30+1.3%
Chiefs -6.546%1.91-11.7%
Colts +6.554%1.91+2.6%
Over 47.5 points46%1.91-12.1%
Under 47.5 points54%1.91+3.0%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs: Kansas City Chiefs are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kansas City Chiefs 69% and Indianapolis Colts 31%. The bookmakers agree and make Kansas City Chiefs the favourite at 1.35.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kansas City Chiefs won 0 of their last 5 and Indianapolis Colts won 0 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kansas City Chiefs won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Indianapolis Colts won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Kansas City Chiefs score 19.8 points a game and let in 18.2. Indianapolis Colts score 24.6 and let in 25.1. Their recent games average 38.1 and 49.7 points in total, and the market line is 47.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Kansas City Chiefs won 1 and Indianapolis Colts won 0. The last one ended Kansas City Chiefs 23, Indianapolis Colts 20.

  6. 6
    Where the value is

    Under 47.5 points is priced at 1.91. Our fair price is 1.85, so the bookmaker pays about 3.0% more than it should.

Kansas City Chiefs form

Kansas City Chiefs have 6 wins and 12 losses in their last 19 games, with 377 points scored and 346 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Indianapolis Colts form

Indianapolis Colts have 7 wins and 11 losses in their last 19 games, with 468 points scored and 476 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Kansas City Chiefs won 1, Indianapolis Colts won 0. Last time out it finished Kansas City Chiefs 23, Indianapolis Colts 20.

Our call

We expect Indianapolis Colts to score about 20.5 points and Kansas City Chiefs about 25.7. That points to Kansas City Chiefs to win. Our safest bet is Under 54.5 points at 1.35. Our value bet is Under 47.5 points at 1.91. Our bold bet is Colts to win at 3.30.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs?

Our prediction for Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs is Kansas City Chiefs to win, with a 69% chance. We project Indianapolis Colts 20.5 and Kansas City Chiefs 25.7. Our best bet is Under 47.5 points at 1.91.

What is the projected score for Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs?

We project Indianapolis Colts 20.5 and Kansas City Chiefs 25.7, about 46.2 points in total.

How are Kansas City Chiefs playing?

Kansas City Chiefs have 6 wins and 12 losses in their last 19 games, with 377 points scored and 346 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Indianapolis Colts playing?

Indianapolis Colts have 7 wins and 11 losses in their last 19 games, with 468 points scored and 476 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Kansas City Chiefs and Indianapolis Colts last met?

It ended Kansas City Chiefs 23, Indianapolis Colts 20. In the last 1 meeting Kansas City Chiefs won 1 and Indianapolis Colts won 0.

What is the best bet for Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs?

Under 47.5 points at 1.91, with a 54% chance. That price pays about 3.0% more than our fair price.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Chiefs against Colts. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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