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NFLTue 15 Sept, 03:15 EATArrowhead Stadium

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs prediction

Denver BroncosAway45%to win
20.5 : 21.8projected points
Kansas City ChiefsHome55%to win
Shujaa safe tipUnder 50.5 points1.36

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip74%
Under 50.5 pointsMost likely to win
Fair 1.361 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs is Kansas City Chiefs to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Denver Broncos 20.5 and Kansas City Chiefs 21.8. Our best bet is Under 50.5 points at 1.36.

Nothing moved this number: form level, both sides rested

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Kansas City ChiefsDLLLL
  • Dv Seattle Seahawks9-9
  • Lat Tampa Bay Buccaneers15-16
  • Lv Los Angeles Rams12-20
  • Lat Las Vegas Raiders12-14
  • Lv Denver Broncos13-20
Denver BroncosWLWLW
  • Wv Minnesota Vikings34-6
  • Lv Green Bay Packers13-33
  • Wat Atlanta Falcons27-7
  • Lv New England Patriots7-10
  • Wv Buffalo Bills33-30

In numbers, Chiefs red and Broncos green

32%Win rate80%
19.8Points scored per game23.4
18.2Points conceded per game17.8
45% homeHome and away88% away

Last meetings

  • Kansas City Chiefs13-20Denver Broncos
  • Denver Broncos22-19Kansas City Chiefs

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
ChiefsBroncos
19Games played20
6Wins16
12Losses4
377Points scored467
346Points conceded356
19.8Scored per game23.4
18.2Conceded per game17.8
5W 5LHome record9W 3L
1W 7LAway record7W 1L

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Spread and total

Chance and fair price
Chiefs -8.530%3.36
Chiefs -4.541%2.45
Chiefs -1.550%2.02
Chiefs +1.558%1.71
Chiefs +5.569%1.44
Over 35.5 points70%1.43
Over 39.5 points58%1.71
Over 42.5 points49%2.03
Over 45.5 points40%2.49
Over 49.5 points29%3.46

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Chiefs to win55%1.74-4.6%
Broncos to win45%2.14-3.3%
Chiefs -2.547%1.91-11.1%
Broncos +2.553%1.91+2.0%
Over 43.5 points46%1.93-10.9%
Under 43.5 points54%1.89+1.8%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs: Kansas City Chiefs shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Kansas City Chiefs 55% and Denver Broncos 45%. The bookmakers agree and make Kansas City Chiefs the favourite at 1.74.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Kansas City Chiefs won 0 of their last 5 and Denver Broncos won 3 of their last 5. Denver Broncos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Kansas City Chiefs won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Denver Broncos won 7 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Kansas City Chiefs score 19.8 points a game and let in 18.2. Denver Broncos score 23.4 and let in 17.8. Their recent games average 38.1 and 41.1 points in total, and the market line is 43.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Kansas City Chiefs won 0 and Denver Broncos won 2. The last one ended Kansas City Chiefs 13, Denver Broncos 20.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 50.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Kansas City Chiefs form

Kansas City Chiefs have 6 wins and 12 losses in their last 19 games, with 377 points scored and 346 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Denver Broncos form

Denver Broncos have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 467 points scored and 356 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Kansas City Chiefs won 0, Denver Broncos won 2. Last time out it finished Kansas City Chiefs 13, Denver Broncos 20.

Our call

We expect Denver Broncos to score about 20.5 points and Kansas City Chiefs about 21.8. That points to Kansas City Chiefs to win. Our safest bet is Under 50.5 points at 1.36.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs?

Our prediction for Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs is Kansas City Chiefs to win, with a 55% chance, but it is a close call. We project Denver Broncos 20.5 and Kansas City Chiefs 21.8. Our best bet is Under 50.5 points at 1.36.

What is the projected score for Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs?

We project Denver Broncos 20.5 and Kansas City Chiefs 21.8, about 42.3 points in total.

How are Kansas City Chiefs playing?

Kansas City Chiefs have 6 wins and 12 losses in their last 19 games, with 377 points scored and 346 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Denver Broncos playing?

Denver Broncos have 16 wins and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 467 points scored and 356 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos last met?

It ended Kansas City Chiefs 13, Denver Broncos 20. In the last 2 meetings Kansas City Chiefs won 0 and Denver Broncos won 2.

What is the best bet for Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs?

Under 50.5 points at 1.36, with a 74% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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