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Premier LeagueFri 18 Sept, 22:00 EATGtech Community Stadium

Brentford vs Chelsea prediction

BrentfordHome38%to win
1.56 : 1.54expected goalsDraw 25%
ChelseaAway37%to win
Shujaa value tipBrentford to win2.80

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip82%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.222 units
Value tip38%
Brentford to winPrice pays more than it should
Price 2.80+6.3% value2 units
Bold tip26%
Brentford to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 3.831 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Brentford vs Chelsea is Brentford to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Brentford to win at 2.80.

Brentford recent form+3%Chelsea recent form+3%Brentford rest between games-5%Chelsea rest between games-5%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
BrentfordDDDWW
  • Dat AFC Bournemouth2-2
  • Dv Sunderland1-1
  • Dat Leeds United1-1
  • Wat Birmingham City6-1
  • Wv Tottenham Hotspur3-0
ChelseaDWLWW
  • Dv Hull City2-2
  • Wv Leeds United6-3
  • Lat Arsenal1-2
  • Wv Brighton & Hove Albion4-3
  • Wv Luton Town2-0

In numbers, Brentford red and Chelsea green

1.4Points per game1.1
1.6Goals scored per game1.6
1.3Goals conceded per game1.9
30%Clean sheets15%

Last meetings

  • Chelsea2-0Brentford
  • Brentford2-2Chelsea

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
BrentfordChelsea
20Games played20
5Wins7
12Draws2
3Losses11
32Goals scored33
25Goals conceded39
1.6Scored per game1.6
1.3Conceded per game1.9
2W 6D 1LHome record6W 1D 6L
3W 6D 2LAway record1W 1D 5L
30%Clean sheets15%
60%Both teams scored50%
55%Over 2.5 goals70%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.67
Over 3.5 goals38%2.67
Both teams to score63%1.59
Brentford or draw63%1.58
Chelsea or draw62%1.61
Brentford win and over 2.526%3.84
Chelsea win and over 2.525%3.96

Most likely scores

1-111.5%
2-18.5%
1-28.3%
2-26.5%
1-06.4%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Brentford to win38%2.80+6.3%
A Draw25%3.80-4.4%
Chelsea to win37%2.25-17.0%
Over 3.5 goals41%2.25-8.6%
Under 3.5 goals59%1.63-3.5%
Brentford +0.558%1.63-5.1%
Chelsea -0.542%2.10-12.6%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Brentford vs Chelsea: Brentford shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Brentford 38%, the draw 25% and Chelsea 37%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make Chelsea the favourite at 2.25, so take care with this one.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Brentford took 9 points from their last 5 games and Chelsea took 10 from 5. Chelsea come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Brentford won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Chelsea won 1 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Brentford score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.3. Chelsea score 1.6 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Brentford games and 14 of Chelsea games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Brentford won 0 and Chelsea won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Chelsea 2, Brentford 0.

  6. 6
    Where the value is

    Brentford to win is priced at 2.80. Our fair price is 2.63, so the bookmaker pays about 6.3% more than it should.

Brentford form

Brentford have 5 wins, 12 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, W, W, newest first.

Chelsea form

Chelsea have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Brentford won 0, Chelsea won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Chelsea 2, Brentford 0.

Our call

We expect Brentford to score about 1.6 goals and Chelsea about 1.5. That points to Brentford to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.22. Our value bet is Brentford to win at 2.80. Our bold bet is Brentford to win and Over 2.5 at 3.83.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Brentford vs Chelsea?

Our prediction for Brentford vs Chelsea is Brentford to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Brentford to win at 2.80.

What is the score prediction for Brentford vs Chelsea?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Brentford to score 1.6 goals and Chelsea 1.5.

Will both teams score in Brentford vs Chelsea?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Brentford last 20 games and 10 of Chelsea last 20.

How are Brentford playing?

Brentford have 5 wins, 12 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Chelsea playing?

Chelsea have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 39 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Brentford and Chelsea last met?

It ended Chelsea 2, Brentford 0. In the last 2 meetings Brentford won 0 and Chelsea won 1.

What is the best bet for Brentford vs Chelsea?

Brentford to win at 2.80, with a 38% chance. That price pays about 6.3% more than our fair price.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Brentford against Chelsea. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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