Premier LeagueSat 10 Oct, 17:00 EATStamford Bridge

Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth prediction

ChelseaHome49%to win
1.84 : 1.32expected goalsDraw 24%
AFC BournemouthAway27%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.25

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip80%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.252 units
Bold tip27%
A DrawBigger price, loses more often
Price 4.00+7.0% value2 units

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth is Chelsea to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

Bournemouth recent form+1%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
ChelseaLDWLW
  • Lat Brentford0-3
  • Dv Hull City2-2
  • Wv Leeds United6-3
  • Lat Arsenal1-2
  • Wv Brighton & Hove Albion4-3
AFC BournemouthLWDWD
  • Lv Liverpool0-1
  • Wat Real Sociedad2-1
  • Dv Brentford2-2
  • Wv Lincoln City4-0
  • Dat Newcastle United2-2

In numbers, Chelsea red and Bournemouth green

1.1Points per game1.6
1.6Goals scored per game1.4
1.9Goals conceded per game0.9
15%Clean sheets30%

Last meetings

  • Chelsea2-2AFC Bournemouth
  • AFC Bournemouth0-0Chelsea

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
ChelseaBournemouth
20Games played20
7Wins7
2Draws11
11Losses2
31Goals scored29
37Goals conceded19
1.6Scored per game1.4
1.9Conceded per game0.9
6W 1D 6LHome record2W 7D 1L
1W 1D 5LAway record5W 4D 1L
15%Clean sheets30%
45%Both teams scored65%
70%Over 2.5 goals55%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.21
Over 2.5 goals61%1.63
Over 3.5 goals39%2.57
Both teams to score62%1.61
Chelsea or draw73%1.37
Bournemouth or draw51%1.96
Chelsea win and over 2.535%2.88
Bournemouth win and over 2.518%5.47

Most likely scores

1-110.9%
2-19.5%
1-07.2%
2-07.2%
1-26.8%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Chelsea to win48%1.71-17.3%
A Draw27%4.00+7.0%
AFC Bournemouth to win30%4.20+24.9%
Over 3.5 goals41%2.10-14.7%
Under 3.5 goals58%1.67-3.0%
Chelsea -0.553%1.65-12.6%
AFC Bournemouth +0.546%2.00-8.6%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth: Chelsea are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Chelsea 49%, the draw 24% and AFC Bournemouth 27%. The bookmakers agree and make Chelsea the favourite at 1.71.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Chelsea took 7 points from their last 5 games and AFC Bournemouth took 8 from 5. AFC Bournemouth come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Chelsea won 6 of their last 13 games at home. AFC Bournemouth won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Chelsea score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.9. AFC Bournemouth score 1.4 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Chelsea games and 11 of AFC Bournemouth games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Chelsea won 0 and AFC Bournemouth won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Chelsea 2, AFC Bournemouth 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Chelsea form

Chelsea have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, W, newest first.

AFC Bournemouth form

AFC Bournemouth have 7 wins, 11 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Chelsea won 0, AFC Bournemouth won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Chelsea 2, AFC Bournemouth 2.

Our call

We expect Chelsea to score about 1.8 goals and AFC Bournemouth about 1.3. That points to Chelsea to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25. Our bold bet is A Draw at 4.00.

News on these teams

All news

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth?

Our prediction for Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth is Chelsea to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.25.

What is the score prediction for Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Chelsea to score 1.8 goals and AFC Bournemouth 1.3.

Will both teams score in Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Chelsea last 20 games and 13 of AFC Bournemouth last 20.

How are Chelsea playing?

Chelsea have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, W, newest first.

How are AFC Bournemouth playing?

AFC Bournemouth have 7 wins, 11 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Chelsea and AFC Bournemouth last met?

It ended Chelsea 2, AFC Bournemouth 2. In the last 2 meetings Chelsea won 0 and AFC Bournemouth won 0.

What is the best bet for Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.25, with a 80% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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