Our tips
Locked two hours before kick offSafe tip62%
Under 3.5 goalsMost likely to winPrice 1.67+3.1% value1 unit
Value tip62%
Under 3.5 goalsPrice pays more than it shouldPrice 1.67+3.1% value1 unit
Bold tip27%
A DrawBigger price, loses more oftenPrice 4.10+9.3% value2 units
Shujaa verdict
From results, prices, form and restOur prediction for Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth is Chelsea to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.67.
Bournemouth recent form+1%Chelsea league table+2%Bournemouth league table-2%
Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works
Shujaa expert view
Our read for Kenya- 1
Chelsea sits tenth in the table with seven points from five matches and a goal difference of minus two. AFC Bournemouth is down in seventeenth place with three points from five games and the same goal difference.
- 2
Our model gives Chelsea a fifty percent chance to win, a twenty four percent chance for a draw, and twenty six percent for AFC Bournemouth. Expected goals stand at one point nine for Chelsea and one point three for AFC Bournemouth.
- 3
Recent matches show heavy scores for Chelsea, including a six to three win against Leeds United and a four to three victory over Brighton. Past meetings between these two teams ended in a two to two draw and a goalless draw.
- 4
Our strongest tip is under three point five goals with a sixty two percent probability. Betting has risk, so remember to play responsibly.
Verdict. Our lean is that Chelsea holds the edge in the numbers, but low scoring trends offer a safer path.
Good to know: This is our opinion from the numbers, not a promise. Betting has risk, 18+.
Team records
Last 20 games, all competitions
ChelseaBournemouth
20Games played20
7Wins7
2Draws11
11Losses2
31Goals scored29
37Goals conceded19
1.6Scored per game1.4
1.9Conceded per game0.9
6W 1D 6LHome record2W 7D 1L
1W 1D 5LAway record5W 4D 1L
15%Clean sheets30%
45%Both teams scored65%
70%Over 2.5 goals55%
Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.
Key players
Top of each side this seasonChelsea AFC Bournemouth Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.
Goals and markets
Chance and fair priceBoth teams to score62%1.60
Bournemouth or draw50%1.99
Chelsea win and over 2.535%2.83
Bournemouth win and over 2.518%5.58
Most likely scores
1-110.8%
2-19.5%
2-07.3%
1-07.2%
1-26.7%
Price check
Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.
Where to bet on Chelsea v Bournemouth
Our top pick is Under 3.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.
Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.
Match preview
Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth: Chelsea are favourites- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives Chelsea 50%, the draw 24% and AFC Bournemouth 26%. The bookmakers agree and make Chelsea the favourite at 1.71.
- 2
Recent formChelsea took 7 points from their last 5 games and AFC Bournemouth took 8 from 5. AFC Bournemouth come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayChelsea won 6 of their last 13 games at home. AFC Bournemouth won 5 of their last 10 on the road.
- 4
GoalsChelsea score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.9. AFC Bournemouth score 1.4 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Chelsea games and 11 of AFC Bournemouth games in that run.
- 5
Head to headIn the last 2 meetings, Chelsea won 0 and AFC Bournemouth won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Chelsea 2, AFC Bournemouth 2.
- 6
Where the value isUnder 3.5 goals is priced at 1.67. Our fair price is 1.62, so the bookmaker pays about 3.1% more than it should.
Chelsea form
Chelsea have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, W, newest first.
AFC Bournemouth form
AFC Bournemouth have 7 wins, 11 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, D, newest first.
Head to head
These two have met 2 times in our records. Chelsea won 0, AFC Bournemouth won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Chelsea 2, AFC Bournemouth 2.
Our call
We expect Chelsea to score about 1.9 goals and AFC Bournemouth about 1.3. That points to Chelsea to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.67. Our value bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.67. Our bold bet is A Draw at 4.10.
Questions people in Kenya ask
Who will win Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth?
Our prediction for Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth is Chelsea to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.67.
What is the score prediction for Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth?
1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Chelsea to score 1.9 goals and AFC Bournemouth 1.3.
Will both teams score in Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth?
Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Chelsea last 20 games and 13 of AFC Bournemouth last 20.
How are Chelsea playing?
Chelsea have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, W, newest first.
How are AFC Bournemouth playing?
AFC Bournemouth have 7 wins, 11 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, D, newest first.
What happened when Chelsea and AFC Bournemouth last met?
It ended Chelsea 2, AFC Bournemouth 2. In the last 2 meetings Chelsea won 0 and AFC Bournemouth won 0.
What is the best bet for Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth?
Under 3.5 goals at 1.67, with a 62% chance. That price pays about 3.1% more than our fair price.
Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.
18+Read this before you bet
- There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Chelsea against Bournemouth. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
- Betting is not income. Never bet to pay rent, school fees or a loan, and never borrow to bet, including from mobile loan apps.
- 18 and over only. Betting under 18 is illegal in Kenya.
- Use licensed bookmakers. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya. Prices here can change before you bet, so check them first.
- Gambling can be addictive. If it stops being fun, stop. Read our responsible betting page or visit Responsible Gaming Federation of Kenya.
Good to know: We are not a bookmaker and we do not take bets. Full details are in our disclaimer.
