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Premier LeagueSat 10 Oct, 14:30 EATEmirates Stadium

Arsenal vs Leeds United prediction

ArsenalHome67%to win
2.01 : 0.73expected goalsDraw 21%
Leeds UnitedAway12%to win
Shujaa safe tipArsenal to win1.37

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip70%
Arsenal to winMost likely to win
Price 1.371 unit
Bold tip39%
Arsenal to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 2.551 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Arsenal vs Leeds United is Arsenal to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Arsenal to win at 1.37.

Arsenal recent form+4%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
ArsenalLWWWW
  • Lat Brighton & Hove Albion0-3
  • Wat Ipswich Town4-2
  • Wat Sunderland2-0
  • Wat Napoli1-0
  • Wv Chelsea2-1
Leeds UnitedDWLDD
  • Dv Crystal Palace0-0
  • Wv Newcastle United4-1
  • Lat Chelsea3-6
  • Dat Brighton & Hove Albion1-1
  • Dv Brentford1-1

In numbers, Arsenal red and Leeds green

2.1Points per game1.6
1.4Goals scored per game1.4
0.8Goals conceded per game1.1
55%Clean sheets40%

Last meetings

  • Leeds United0-4Arsenal

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
ArsenalLeeds
20Games played20
13Wins8
3Draws8
4Losses4
28Goals scored29
15Goals conceded21
1.4Scored per game1.4
0.8Conceded per game1.1
6W 1D 1LHome record5W 3D 1L
7W 2D 3LAway record3W 5D 3L
55%Clean sheets40%
40%Both teams scored45%
45%Over 2.5 goals45%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.31
Over 2.5 goals52%1.93
Over 3.5 goals30%3.39
Both teams to score45%2.20
Arsenal or draw88%1.14
Leeds or draw33%3.02
Arsenal win and over 2.541%2.41
Leeds win and over 2.56%16.32

Most likely scores

2-013.0%
1-012.4%
1-110.0%
2-19.5%
3-08.8%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Arsenal to win70%1.37-4.7%
A Draw24%4.80+14.4%
Leeds United to win10%7.50-24.5%
Over 2.5 goals53%1.74-7.9%
Under 2.5 goals46%2.00-8.2%
Arsenal -1.542%2.05-14.2%
Leeds United +1.557%1.63-7.4%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Arsenal vs Leeds United: Arsenal are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Arsenal 67%, the draw 21% and Leeds United 12%. The bookmakers agree and make Arsenal the favourite at 1.37.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Arsenal took 12 points from their last 5 games and Leeds United took 6 from 5. Arsenal come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Arsenal won 6 of their last 8 games at home. Leeds United won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Arsenal score 1.4 goals a game and let in 0.8. Leeds United score 1.4 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Arsenal games and 9 of Leeds United games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Arsenal won 1 and Leeds United won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Leeds United 0, Arsenal 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Arsenal to win has a 70% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Arsenal form

Arsenal have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Leeds United form

Leeds United have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Arsenal won 1, Leeds United won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Leeds United 0, Arsenal 4.

Our call

We expect Arsenal to score about 2.0 goals and Leeds United about 0.7. That points to Arsenal to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Arsenal to win at 1.37. Our bold bet is Arsenal to win and Over 2.5 at 2.55.

News on these teams

All news
Premier League

How Patrick Vieira Almost Joined Sir Alex Ferguson At Manchester United

Premier League

Arsenal and Liverpool lead race for Brentford winger Kevin Schade

Premier League

Arteta Commits Future To Arsenal With New Long Term Deal

Premier League

Arsenal target Maximilian Beier as Spurs eye Morgan Gibbs White

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Arsenal vs Leeds United?

Our prediction for Arsenal vs Leeds United is Arsenal to win, with a 67% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Arsenal to win at 1.37.

What is the score prediction for Arsenal vs Leeds United?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 1-1. We expect Arsenal to score 2.0 goals and Leeds United 0.7.

Will both teams score in Arsenal vs Leeds United?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Arsenal last 20 games and 9 of Leeds United last 20.

How are Arsenal playing?

Arsenal have 13 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Leeds United playing?

Leeds United have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Arsenal and Leeds United last met?

It ended Leeds United 0, Arsenal 4. In the last 1 meeting Arsenal won 1 and Leeds United won 0.

What is the best bet for Arsenal vs Leeds United?

Arsenal to win at 1.37, with a 70% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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