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Primeira LigaSun 11 Oct, 20:00 EATEstádio da Luz

Benfica vs Vitória de Guimaraes prediction

BenficaHome73%to win
2.44 : 0.80expected goalsDraw 17%
Vitória de GuimaraesAway10%to win
Shujaa safe tipBenfica to win1.30

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip75%
Benfica to winMost likely to win
Price 1.301 unit
Bold tip35%
Benfica to win and both scoreBigger price, loses more often
Fair 2.881 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Benfica vs Vitória de Guimaraes is Benfica to win, with a 73% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Benfica to win at 1.30.

Benfica recent form+4%Vitória recent form-1%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
BenficaLWWWW
  • Lat FC Porto1-3
  • Wat AC Milan2-0
  • Wv Gil Vicente3-1
  • Wat Moreirense4-0
  • Wat Maritimo3-0
Vitória de GuimaraesDLDLW
  • Dv Moreirense1-1
  • Lat Académico de Viseu1-2
  • Dv Casa Pia0-0
  • Lat Braga0-1
  • Wv C.D. Nacional1-0

In numbers, Benfica red and Vitória green

2.2Points per game0.9
2.5Goals scored per game1.1
1.1Goals conceded per game1.4
30%Clean sheets25%

Last meetings

  • Benfica3-0Vitória de Guimaraes
  • Vitória de Guimaraes0-3Benfica

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
BenficaVitória
20Games played20
13Wins5
5Draws4
2Losses11
50Goals scored21
21Goals conceded29
2.5Scored per game1.1
1.1Conceded per game1.4
5W 3D 0LHome record4W 3D 3L
8W 2D 2LAway record1W 1D 8L
30%Clean sheets25%
70%Both teams scored45%
85%Over 2.5 goals40%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals84%1.19
Over 2.5 goals63%1.59
Over 3.5 goals41%2.45
Both teams to score51%1.97
Benfica or draw90%1.11
Vitória or draw27%3.70
Benfica win and over 2.552%1.91
Vitória win and over 2.56%16.78

Most likely scores

2-011.6%
3-09.5%
2-19.3%
1-09.1%
1-18.1%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Benfica to win75%1.30-2.6%
A Draw20%5.00-1.2%
Vitória de Guimaraes to win6%8.50-45.2%
Over 3.5 goals40%2.20-13.0%
Under 3.5 goals62%1.57-2.9%
Benfica -1.553%1.74-7.6%
Vitória de Guimaraes +1.549%1.87-8.5%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Benfica vs Vitória de Guimaraes: Benfica are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Benfica 73%, the draw 17% and Vitória de Guimaraes 10%. The bookmakers agree and make Benfica the favourite at 1.30.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Benfica took 12 points from their last 5 games and Vitória de Guimaraes took 5 from 5. Benfica come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Benfica won 5 of their last 8 games at home. Vitória de Guimaraes won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Benfica score 2.5 goals a game and let in 1.1. Vitória de Guimaraes score 1.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 17 of Benfica games and 8 of Vitória de Guimaraes games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Benfica won 2 and Vitória de Guimaraes won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Benfica 3, Vitória de Guimaraes 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Benfica to win has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Benfica form

Benfica have 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Vitória de Guimaraes form

Vitória de Guimaraes have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Benfica won 2, Vitória de Guimaraes won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Benfica 3, Vitória de Guimaraes 0.

Our call

We expect Benfica to score about 2.4 goals and Vitória de Guimaraes about 0.8. That points to Benfica to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Benfica to win at 1.30. Our bold bet is Benfica to win and both score at 2.88.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Benfica vs Vitória de Guimaraes?

Our prediction for Benfica vs Vitória de Guimaraes is Benfica to win, with a 73% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Benfica to win at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Benfica vs Vitória de Guimaraes?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 3-0 and 2-1. We expect Benfica to score 2.4 goals and Vitória de Guimaraes 0.8.

Will both teams score in Benfica vs Vitória de Guimaraes?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Benfica last 20 games and 9 of Vitória de Guimaraes last 20.

How are Benfica playing?

Benfica have 13 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 50 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Vitória de Guimaraes playing?

Vitória de Guimaraes have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Benfica and Vitória de Guimaraes last met?

It ended Benfica 3, Vitória de Guimaraes 0. In the last 2 meetings Benfica won 2 and Vitória de Guimaraes won 0.

What is the best bet for Benfica vs Vitória de Guimaraes?

Benfica to win at 1.30, with a 75% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Benfica against Vitória . A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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