Our tips
Locked two hours before kick offSafe tip77%
Under 3.5 goalsMost likely to winFair 1.302 units
Bold tip29%
Estrela to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more oftenFair 3.451 unit
Shujaa verdict
From results, prices, form and restOur prediction for Estrela vs Casa Pia is Estrela to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.
Estrela recent form+1%Casa Pia recent form-3%Estrela league table+2%Casa Pia league table-2%
Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works
Team records
Last 20 games, all competitions
EstrelaCasa Pia
20Games played20
3Wins3
8Draws6
9Losses11
27Goals scored12
33Goals conceded34
1.4Scored per game0.6
1.6Conceded per game1.7
2W 4D 4LHome record1W 4D 5L
1W 4D 5LAway record2W 2D 6L
15%Clean sheets20%
60%Both teams scored40%
65%Over 2.5 goals35%
Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.
League table
Primeira LigaGood to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Primeira Liga table
Key players
Top of each side this seasonEstrela Casa Pia Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.
Goals and markets
Chance and fair priceBoth teams to score46%2.19
Estrela win and over 2.526%3.83
Casa Pia win and over 2.511%9.42
Most likely scores
1-013.3%
1-113.2%
0-010.4%
2-010.2%
2-19.0%
Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.
Where to bet on Estrela v Casa Pia
Our top pick is Under 3.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.
Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.
Match preview
Estrela vs Casa Pia: Estrela are favourites- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives Estrela 50%, the draw 28% and Casa Pia 22%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
- 2
Recent formEstrela took 8 points from their last 5 games and Casa Pia took 4 from 5. Estrela come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayEstrela won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Casa Pia won 2 of their last 10 on the road.
- 4
GoalsEstrela score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.6. Casa Pia score 0.6 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Estrela games and 7 of Casa Pia games in that run.
- 5
Head to headIn the last 2 meetings, Estrela won 2 and Casa Pia won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Estrela 4, Casa Pia 0.
- 6
The safest betUnder 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
Estrela form
Estrela have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, W, newest first.
Casa Pia form
Casa Pia have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 12 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, L, newest first.
Head to head
These two have met 2 times in our records. Estrela won 2, Casa Pia won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Estrela 4, Casa Pia 0.
Our call
We expect Estrela to score about 1.4 goals and Casa Pia about 0.9. That points to Estrela to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Estrela to win and Over 2.5 at 3.45.
Questions people in Kenya ask
Who will win Estrela vs Casa Pia?
Our prediction for Estrela vs Casa Pia is Estrela to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.
What is the score prediction for Estrela vs Casa Pia?
1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-0. We expect Estrela to score 1.4 goals and Casa Pia 0.9.
Will both teams score in Estrela vs Casa Pia?
Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Estrela last 20 games and 8 of Casa Pia last 20.
How are Estrela playing?
Estrela have 3 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, W, newest first.
How are Casa Pia playing?
Casa Pia have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 12 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, L, newest first.
What happened when Estrela and Casa Pia last met?
It ended Estrela 4, Casa Pia 0. In the last 2 meetings Estrela won 2 and Casa Pia won 0.
What is the best bet for Estrela vs Casa Pia?
Under 3.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.
Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.
18+Read this before you bet
- There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Estrela against Casa Pia. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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