Primeira LigaSun 25 Oct, 18:30 EATEstádio António Coimbra da Mota

Estoril vs Moreirense prediction

EstorilHome39%to win
1.32 : 1.20expected goalsDraw 28%
MoreirenseAway33%to win
Shujaa safe tipUnder 3.5 goals1.32

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip76%
Under 3.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.322 units
Bold tip14%
Correct score 1-1Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 7.391 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Estoril vs Moreirense is Estoril to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Estoril recent form-6%Estoril rest between games-3%Moreirense rest between games-3%Estoril league table-2%Moreirense league table+2%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Shujaa expert view

Our read for Kenya
  1. 1

    Estoril sits at the bottom in eighteenth place with only two points from eight games and a goal difference of minus eight. Moreirense stands higher at eleventh place with eight points and a goal difference of minus seven.

  2. 2

    Estoril comes into this match after a tough run, including a one to two loss against Casa Pia and a zero to two loss against Rio Ave. Moreirense recently earned a one to one draw against Vitoria de Guimaraes and a one to zero win against Casa Pia.

  3. 3

    Our model gives Estoril a thirty nine percent chance to win, a twenty eight percent chance for a draw, and Moreirense a thirty three percent chance to win with expected goals at one point three to one point two.

  4. 4

    Our strongest tip points to under three point five goals happening seventy six times out of one hundred, while things that moved the numbers include Estoril dropping in form and table position.

Verdict. Betting carries risk, so consider the tight expected goals and low scoring trends before placing any wager on this fixture.

Good to know: This is our opinion from the numbers, not a promise. Betting has risk, 18+.

Form and head to head

Newest game first
EstorilLLDLL
  • Lv Casa Pia1-2
  • Lat Braga0-1
  • Dv Arouca0-0
  • Lat Benfica1-2
  • Lv Rio Ave0-2
MoreirenseDWLLW
  • Dat Vitória de Guimaraes1-1
  • Wv Maritimo3-1
  • Lv Benfica0-4
  • Lat FC Porto1-2
  • Wat Casa Pia1-0

In numbers, Estoril red and Moreirense green

0.6Points per game1.1
0.7Goals scored per game0.9
1.6Goals conceded per game1.7
15%Clean sheets15%

Last meetings

  • Moreirense1-0Estoril
  • Estoril3-3Moreirense

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
EstorilMoreirense
20Games played20
2Wins5
5Draws6
13Losses9
14Goals scored18
32Goals conceded34
0.7Scored per game0.9
1.6Conceded per game1.7
1W 3D 6LHome record3W 3D 4L
1W 2D 7LAway record2W 3D 5L
15%Clean sheets15%
50%Both teams scored50%
45%Over 2.5 goals50%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Primeira Liga
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
18. Estoril10028-1420.20
9. Moreirense10424-4141.40

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Primeira Liga table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Estoril
  • Joel Robles
    Joel RoblesKeeper · G
    1 saves
Moreirense
  • André Ferreira
    André FerreiraKeeper · G
    6 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.38
Over 2.5 goals46%2.17
Over 3.5 goals25%4.07
Both teams to score52%1.93
Estoril or draw67%1.49
Moreirense or draw61%1.63
Estoril win and over 2.522%4.61
Moreirense win and over 2.518%5.47

Most likely scores

1-113.5%
1-09.9%
0-18.9%
0-08.9%
2-18.4%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Estoril v Moreirense

Our top pick is Under 3.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Estoril vs Moreirense: Estoril shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Estoril 39%, the draw 28% and Moreirense 33%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Estoril took 1 point from their last 5 games and Moreirense took 7 from 5. Moreirense come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Estoril won 1 of their last 10 games at home. Moreirense won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Estoril score 0.7 goals a game and let in 1.6. Moreirense score 0.9 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Estoril games and 10 of Moreirense games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Estoril won 0 and Moreirense won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Moreirense 1, Estoril 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Estoril form

Estoril have 2 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Moreirense form

Moreirense have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Estoril won 0, Moreirense won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Moreirense 1, Estoril 0.

Our call

We expect Estoril to score about 1.3 goals and Moreirense about 1.2. That points to Estoril to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.39.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Estoril vs Moreirense?

Our prediction for Estoril vs Moreirense is Estoril to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Estoril vs Moreirense?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect Estoril to score 1.3 goals and Moreirense 1.2.

Will both teams score in Estoril vs Moreirense?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Estoril last 20 games and 10 of Moreirense last 20.

How are Estoril playing?

Estoril have 2 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

How are Moreirense playing?

Moreirense have 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Estoril and Moreirense last met?

It ended Moreirense 1, Estoril 0. In the last 2 meetings Estoril won 0 and Moreirense won 1.

What is the best bet for Estoril vs Moreirense?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Estoril against Moreirense. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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