Our tips
Locked two hours before kick offSafe tip77%
Under 3.5 goalsMost likely to winFair 1.302 units
Bold tip14%
Correct score 1-1Bigger price, loses more oftenFair 7.171 unit
Shujaa verdict
From results, prices, form and restOur prediction for Alverca vs Arouca is Alverca to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.
Arouca recent form-1%Alverca rest between games-3%Arouca rest between games-3%Alverca league table-1%Arouca league table+1%
Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works
Team records
Last 20 games, all competitions
AlvercaArouca
20Games played20
5Wins9
8Draws3
7Losses8
23Goals scored31
27Goals conceded25
1.1Scored per game1.6
1.4Conceded per game1.3
3W 5D 2LHome record6W 1D 2L
2W 3D 5LAway record3W 2D 6L
10%Clean sheets30%
70%Both teams scored55%
45%Over 2.5 goals65%
Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.
League table
Primeira LigaGood to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Primeira Liga table
Key players
Top of each side this seasonAlverca Arouca Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.
Goals and markets
Chance and fair priceBoth teams to score48%2.08
Alverca win and over 2.520%5.00
Arouca win and over 2.516%6.22
Most likely scores
1-113.9%
1-011.2%
0-010.5%
0-19.8%
2-18.1%
Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.
Where to bet on Alverca v Arouca
Our top pick is Under 3.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.
Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.
Match preview
Alverca vs Arouca: Alverca shade it- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives Alverca 39%, the draw 30% and Arouca 32%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
- 2
Recent formAlverca took 7 points from their last 5 games and Arouca took 5 from 5. Alverca come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayAlverca won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Arouca won 3 of their last 11 on the road.
- 4
GoalsAlverca score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Arouca score 1.6 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Alverca games and 13 of Arouca games in that run.
- 5
Head to headIn the last 2 meetings, Alverca won 1 and Arouca won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Alverca 2, Arouca 1.
- 6
The safest betUnder 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
Alverca form
Alverca have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, L, newest first.
Arouca form
Arouca have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, L, newest first.
Head to head
These two have met 2 times in our records. Alverca won 1, Arouca won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Alverca 2, Arouca 1.
Our call
We expect Alverca to score about 1.2 goals and Arouca about 1.1. That points to Alverca to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.17.
Questions people in Kenya ask
Who will win Alverca vs Arouca?
Our prediction for Alverca vs Arouca is Alverca to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.30.
What is the score prediction for Alverca vs Arouca?
1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Alverca to score 1.2 goals and Arouca 1.1.
Will both teams score in Alverca vs Arouca?
Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Alverca last 20 games and 11 of Arouca last 20.
How are Alverca playing?
Alverca have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, L, newest first.
How are Arouca playing?
Arouca have 9 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, L, newest first.
What happened when Alverca and Arouca last met?
It ended Alverca 2, Arouca 1. In the last 2 meetings Alverca won 1 and Arouca won 1.
What is the best bet for Alverca vs Arouca?
Under 3.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.
Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.
18+Read this before you bet
- There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Alverca against Arouca. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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