ChampionshipTue 13 Oct, 21:45 EATThe Den

Millwall vs Swansea City prediction

MillwallHome42%to win
1.52 : 1.28expected goalsDraw 26%
Swansea CityAway31%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.31

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip76%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.312 units
Bold tip29%
Millwall to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 3.391 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Millwall vs Swansea City is Millwall to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Millwall recent form-1%Swansea recent form+3%Millwall league table-2%Swansea league table+2%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
MillwallDDLLW
  • Dv West Ham United2-2
  • Dat Middlesbrough2-2
  • Lat Blackburn Rovers1-3
  • Lv Newcastle United0-1
  • Wv Bolton Wanderers4-0
Swansea CityWWLDW
  • Wat Lincoln City2-1
  • Wv Burnley3-1
  • Lat Southampton1-3
  • Dv Wrexham0-0
  • Wv Watford2-0

In numbers, Millwall red and Swansea green

1.5Points per game1.8
1.4Goals scored per game1.5
1.2Goals conceded per game1.1
40%Clean sheets30%

Last meetings

  • Millwall2-1Swansea City
  • Swansea City1-1Millwall

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
MillwallSwansea
20Games played20
8Wins10
6Draws5
6Losses5
28Goals scored30
24Goals conceded23
1.4Scored per game1.5
1.2Conceded per game1.1
4W 1D 4LHome record4W 3D 3L
4W 5D 2LAway record6W 2D 2L
40%Clean sheets30%
45%Both teams scored55%
50%Over 2.5 goals60%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Championship
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
11. Millwall83230111.38
1. Swansea City8521+7172.13

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Championship table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Millwall
  • Lyndon Dykes
    Lyndon DykesTop scorer · F
    4 goals
  • Camiel Neghli
    Camiel NeghliMost assists · M
    2 assists
  • Max Crocombe
    Max CrocombeKeeper · G
    13 saves
Swansea City
  • Adam Idah
    Adam IdahTop scorer · F
    3 goals
  • Eom Ji-Sung
    Eom Ji-SungMost assists · F
    2 assists
  • Lawrence Vigouroux
    Lawrence VigourouxKeeper · G
    16 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals78%1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.88
Over 3.5 goals31%3.24
Both teams to score57%1.75
Millwall or draw69%1.46
Swansea or draw58%1.73
Millwall win and over 2.527%3.76
Swansea win and over 2.519%5.16

Most likely scores

1-112.5%
2-19.0%
1-08.5%
1-27.6%
0-17.1%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Millwall vs Swansea City: Millwall shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Millwall 42%, the draw 26% and Swansea City 31%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Millwall took 5 points from their last 5 games and Swansea City took 10 from 5. Swansea City come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Millwall won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Swansea City won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Millwall score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.2. Swansea City score 1.5 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Millwall games and 12 of Swansea City games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Millwall won 1 and Swansea City won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Millwall 2, Swansea City 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Millwall form

Millwall have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, W, newest first.

Swansea City form

Swansea City have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Millwall won 1, Swansea City won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Millwall 2, Swansea City 1.

Our call

We expect Millwall to score about 1.5 goals and Swansea City about 1.3. That points to Millwall to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Millwall to win and Over 2.5 at 3.39.

News on these teams

All news

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Millwall vs Swansea City?

Our prediction for Millwall vs Swansea City is Millwall to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Millwall vs Swansea City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Millwall to score 1.5 goals and Swansea City 1.3.

Will both teams score in Millwall vs Swansea City?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Millwall last 20 games and 11 of Swansea City last 20.

How are Millwall playing?

Millwall have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Swansea City playing?

Swansea City have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Millwall and Swansea City last met?

It ended Millwall 2, Swansea City 1. In the last 2 meetings Millwall won 1 and Swansea City won 0.

What is the best bet for Millwall vs Swansea City?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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