ChampionshipFri 23 Oct, 22:00 EATToughsheet Community Stadium

Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough prediction

Bolton WanderersHome31%to win
1.18 : 1.41expected goalsDraw 28%
MiddlesbroughAway42%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.33

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip75%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.332 units
Bold tip27%
Middlesbrough to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 3.691 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough is Middlesbrough to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

Bolton recent form-1%Boro recent form+1%Bolton rest between games-3%Boro rest between games-3%Bolton league table-2%Boro league table+2%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Shujaa expert view

Our read for Kenya
  1. 1

    Bolton Wanderers sits in position 15 with 14 points from 11 matches, while Middlesbrough occupies third place with 22 points. Recent form shows Bolton dropping down and Middlesbrough moving up.

  2. 2

    Our model gives Bolton a 31 percent chance to win, a 28 percent chance for a draw, and Middlesbrough a 42 percent chance to take the points. Expected goals are close at 1.2 to 1.4.

  3. 3

    Our strongest tip for this match is under 3.5 goals, which our model rates at 75 in 100. Betting carries risk and nothing is guaranteed.

Verdict. Middlesbrough holds the stronger league position and form, but betting always carries risk.

Good to know: This is our opinion from the numbers, not a promise. Betting has risk, 18+.

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Bolton WanderersWWLLL
  • Wat Norwich City4-3
  • Wv Cardiff City1-0
  • Lv West Ham United2-3
  • Lat Millwall0-4
  • Lat Sheffield United2-3
MiddlesbroughDDWLW
  • Dat Birmingham City2-2
  • Dv Millwall2-2
  • Wv Norwich City4-3
  • Lat Crystal Palace0-3
  • Wat Queens Park Rangers1-0

In numbers, Bolton red and Boro green

1.2Points per game1.6
1.2Goals scored per game1.6
1.9Goals conceded per game1.4
18%Clean sheets20%

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
BoltonBoro
11Games played20
4Wins8
1Draws7
6Losses5
13Goals scored33
21Goals conceded27
1.2Scored per game1.6
1.9Conceded per game1.4
3W 0D 2LHome record6W 2D 1L
1W 1D 4LAway record2W 5D 4L
18%Clean sheets20%
45%Both teams scored65%
64%Over 2.5 goals65%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Championship
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
19. Bolton Wanderers13427-8141.08
1. Middlesbrough13841+13282.15

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Championship table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Bolton Wanderers
  • Gavin Bazunu
    Gavin BazunuKeeper · G
    8 saves
Middlesbrough
  • Radek Vítek
    Radek VítekKeeper · G
    3 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.35
Over 2.5 goals48%2.09
Over 3.5 goals26%3.82
Both teams to score53%1.88
Bolton or draw58%1.71
Boro or draw69%1.44
Bolton win and over 2.517%5.75
Boro win and over 2.524%4.12

Most likely scores

1-113.2%
0-19.8%
1-28.8%
0-08.3%
1-08.1%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Bolton v Boro

Our top pick is Over 1.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough: Middlesbrough shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Bolton Wanderers 31%, the draw 28% and Middlesbrough 42%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Bolton Wanderers took 6 points from their last 5 games and Middlesbrough took 8 from 5. Middlesbrough come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Bolton Wanderers won 3 of their last 5 games at home. Middlesbrough won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Bolton Wanderers score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.9. Middlesbrough score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Bolton Wanderers games and 13 of Middlesbrough games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Bolton Wanderers form

Bolton Wanderers have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses in their last 11 games, with 13 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Middlesbrough form

Middlesbrough have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Bolton Wanderers to score about 1.2 goals and Middlesbrough about 1.4. That points to Middlesbrough to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33. Our bold bet is Middlesbrough to win and Over 2.5 at 3.69.

News on these teams

All news

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough?

Our prediction for Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough is Middlesbrough to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.33.

What is the score prediction for Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Bolton Wanderers to score 1.2 goals and Middlesbrough 1.4.

Will both teams score in Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 5 of Bolton Wanderers last 11 games and 13 of Middlesbrough last 20.

How are Bolton Wanderers playing?

Bolton Wanderers have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses in their last 11 games, with 13 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from 5. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Middlesbrough playing?

Middlesbrough have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Bolton Wanderers vs Middlesbrough?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.33, with a 75% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Bolton against Boro. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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