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Premier LeagueMon 14 Sept, 22:00 EATElland Road

Leeds United vs Newcastle United prediction

Leeds UnitedHome42%to win
4 : 1final scoreDraw 27%
Newcastle UnitedAway31%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.30

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip77%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.302 unitswon
Bold tip27%
Leeds United to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 3.771 unitwon

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Leeds United vs Newcastle United is Leeds United to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Leeds recent form+1%Newcastle recent form+4%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Leeds UnitedLDDWW
  • Lat Chelsea3-6
  • Dat Brighton & Hove Albion1-1
  • Dv Brentford1-1
  • Wat Nottingham Forest2-0
  • Wat Nottingham Forest1-0
Newcastle UnitedWDWWD
  • Wat Millwall1-0
  • Dv AFC Bournemouth2-2
  • Wat Tottenham Hotspur2-0
  • Wv West Bromwich Albion3-2
  • Dv Liverpool2-2

In numbers, Leeds red and Newcastle green

1.4Points per game1.4
1.3Goals scored per game1.6
1.1Goals conceded per game1.8
35%Clean sheets15%

Last meetings

  • Newcastle United4-3Leeds United

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
LeedsNewcastle
20Games played20
7Wins8
8Draws4
5Losses8
26Goals scored32
22Goals conceded35
1.3Scored per game1.6
1.1Conceded per game1.8
4W 2D 2LHome record5W 3D 4L
3W 6D 3LAway record3W 1D 4L
35%Clean sheets15%
45%Both teams scored75%
40%Over 2.5 goals65%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Premier League
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
5. Leeds United5230+491.80
9. Newcastle United5221081.60

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Premier League table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Leeds United
  • James Trafford
    James TraffordKeeper · G
    4 saves
Newcastle United
  • Lukás Hornícek
    Lukás HornícekKeeper · G
    3 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.30
Over 2.5 goals52%1.92
Over 3.5 goals30%3.35
Both teams to score56%1.78
Leeds or draw69%1.46
Newcastle or draw58%1.72
Leeds win and over 2.526%3.83
Newcastle win and over 2.519%5.28

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
2-19.0%
1-08.8%
1-27.6%
0-17.3%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Leeds United to win42%2.35-1.4%
A Draw27%3.45-7.7%
Newcastle United to win31%3.00-6.1%
Over 2.5 goals55%1.71-6.5%
Under 2.5 goals45%2.15-2.3%
Leeds United -0.542%2.25-6.5%
Newcastle United +0.558%1.59-7.2%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Leeds United vs Newcastle United: Leeds United shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Leeds United 42%, the draw 27% and Newcastle United 31%. The bookmakers agree and make Leeds United the favourite at 2.35.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Leeds United took 8 points from their last 5 games and Newcastle United took 11 from 5. Newcastle United come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Leeds United won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Newcastle United won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Leeds United score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.1. Newcastle United score 1.6 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Leeds United games and 13 of Newcastle United games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Leeds United won 0 and Newcastle United won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Newcastle United 4, Leeds United 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Leeds United form

Leeds United have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, W, newest first.

Newcastle United form

Newcastle United have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Leeds United won 0, Newcastle United won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Newcastle United 4, Leeds United 3.

Our call

We expect Leeds United to score about 1.5 goals and Newcastle United about 1.3. That points to Leeds United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Leeds United to win and Over 2.5 at 3.77.

News on these teams

All news
Premier League

Lewis Hall explains why he rejected Man United interest for new Newcastle deal

Premier League

Newcastle Hopeful on Elanga Injury Scan as Squad Thinness Bites

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Leeds United vs Newcastle United?

Our prediction for Leeds United vs Newcastle United is Leeds United to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Leeds United vs Newcastle United?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Leeds United to score 1.5 goals and Newcastle United 1.3.

Will both teams score in Leeds United vs Newcastle United?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Leeds United last 20 games and 15 of Newcastle United last 20.

How are Leeds United playing?

Leeds United have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Newcastle United playing?

Newcastle United have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Leeds United and Newcastle United last met?

It ended Newcastle United 4, Leeds United 3. In the last 1 meeting Leeds United won 0 and Newcastle United won 1.

What is the best bet for Leeds United vs Newcastle United?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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