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Premier LeagueMon 14 Sept, 22:00 EATElland Road

Leeds United vs Newcastle United prediction

Leeds UnitedHome41%to win
1.45 : 1.23expected goalsDraw 27%
Newcastle UnitedAway31%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.32

Our three tips

Safe tip76%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.322 units
Bold tip25%
Leeds United to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 3.981 unit

Shujaa verdict

Our prediction for Leeds United vs Newcastle United is Leeds United to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Prediction
Leeds United to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Leeds United 1.4, Newcastle United 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.32
Both teams to score
55%

What moved our number

  • Leedsrecent form+1%
  • Newcastlerecent form+4%
Leeds L D D W WNewcastle W D W W D

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and stats

Recent form

Leeds United
  • Lat Chelsea3-6
  • Dat Brighton & Hove Albion1-1
  • Dv Brentford1-1
  • Wat Nottingham Forest2-0
  • Wat Nottingham Forest1-0
Newcastle United
  • Wat Millwall1-0
  • Dv AFC Bournemouth2-2
  • Wat Tottenham Hotspur2-0
  • Wv West Bromwich Albion3-2
  • Dv Liverpool2-2

Head to head in numbers

1.4Points per game1.4
1.3Goals scored per game1.6
1.1Goals conceded per game1.8
35%Clean sheets15%

Last meetings

  • Newcastle United4-3Leeds United

Good to know: Red is Leeds, green is Newcastle.

Team records, last 20 games

LeedsNewcastle
Games played2020
Wins78
Draws84
Losses58
Goals scored2632
Goals conceded2235
Scored per game1.31.6
Conceded per game1.11.8
Home record4W 2D 2L5W 3D 4L
Away record3W 6D 3L3W 1D 4L
Clean sheets35%15%
Both teams scored45%75%
Over 2.5 goals40%65%

Goals, BTTS and double chance

Chance for each market

Over 1.5 goals76%1.32
Over 2.5 goals50%1.98
Over 3.5 goals28%3.53
Both teams to score55%1.82
Leeds United or draw69%1.46
Newcastle United or draw59%1.71
Leeds United win and over 2.525%3.97
Newcastle United win and over 2.519%5.40

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.9%
1-09.1%
2-18.9%
0-17.7%
1-27.5%

Good to know: Even the top score lands about one time in eight.

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Leeds United to win41%2.35-2.5%
A Draw27%3.55-3.6%
Newcastle United to win31%2.95-7.5%
Over 2.5 goals53%1.77-6.8%
Under 2.5 goals47%2.05-3.0%
Leeds United -0.542%2.20-7.6%
Newcastle United +0.558%1.61-6.8%

Match preview

Leeds United vs Newcastle United: Leeds United shade it

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Leeds United 41%, the draw 27% and Newcastle United 31%. The bookmakers agree and make Leeds United the favourite at 2.35.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Leeds United took 8 points from their last 5 games and Newcastle United took 11 from 5. Newcastle United come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Leeds United won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Newcastle United won 3 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Leeds United score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.1. Newcastle United score 1.6 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Leeds United games and 13 of Newcastle United games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Leeds United won 0 and Newcastle United won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Newcastle United 4, Leeds United 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

The big picture

Leeds United host Newcastle United in the Premier League on Mon 14 Sept, 22:00 at Elland Road. Our prediction for Leeds United vs Newcastle United is Leeds United to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Leeds United form

Leeds United have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, W, newest first.

Newcastle United form

Newcastle United have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Leeds United won 0, Newcastle United won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Newcastle United 4, Leeds United 3.

Our call

We expect Leeds United to score about 1.4 goals and Newcastle United about 1.2. That points to Leeds United to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Leeds United to win and Over 2.5 at 3.98.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Leeds United vs Newcastle United?

Our prediction for Leeds United vs Newcastle United is Leeds United to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Leeds United vs Newcastle United?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Leeds United to score 1.4 goals and Newcastle United 1.2.

Will both teams score in Leeds United vs Newcastle United?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Leeds United last 20 games and 15 of Newcastle United last 20.

How are Leeds United playing?

Leeds United have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Newcastle United playing?

Newcastle United have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 35 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Leeds United and Newcastle United last met?

It ended Newcastle United 4, Leeds United 3. In the last 1 meeting Leeds United won 0 and Newcastle United won 1.

What is the best bet for Leeds United vs Newcastle United?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

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