Premier LeagueSun 11 Oct, 18:30 EATAnfield

Liverpool vs Manchester City prediction

LiverpoolHome35%to win
1.42 : 1.53expected goalsDraw 26%
Manchester CityAway39%to win
Shujaa safe tipManchester City +0.51.49

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip65%
Manchester City +0.5Most likely to win
Price 1.491 unit
Bold tip29%
A DrawBigger price, loses more often
Price 3.60+2.7% value1 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Liverpool vs Manchester City is Manchester City to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Manchester City +0.5 at 1.49.

Liverpool recent form+6%Man City recent form+7%Liverpool team news-3%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
LiverpoolWWDWW
  • Wat AFC Bournemouth1-0
  • Wv Tottenham Hotspur3-1
  • Dv Fulham0-0
  • Wv Atlético Madrid2-1
  • Wat Ipswich Town2-0
Manchester CityWWWWW
  • Wv Sunderland5-3
  • Wv Norwich City5-0
  • Wat Manchester United1-0
  • Wat FC Porto2-0
  • Wv Coventry City1-0

In numbers, Liverpool red and Man City green

1.5Points per game2.5
1.6Goals scored per game2.4
1.4Goals conceded per game0.8
25%Clean sheets55%

Last meetings

  • Manchester City4-0Liverpool
  • Liverpool1-2Manchester City
  • Manchester City3-0Liverpool

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
LiverpoolMan City
20Games played20
8Wins16
6Draws2
6Losses2
31Goals scored47
28Goals conceded15
1.6Scored per game2.4
1.4Conceded per game0.8
5W 5D 1LHome record9W 0D 2L
3W 1D 5LAway record7W 2D 0L
25%Clean sheets55%
60%Both teams scored45%
55%Over 2.5 goals65%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals80%1.25
Over 2.5 goals57%1.77
Over 3.5 goals34%2.93
Both teams to score60%1.66
Liverpool or draw61%1.65
Man City or draw65%1.53
Liverpool win and over 2.523%4.40
Man City win and over 2.526%3.86

Most likely scores

1-112.1%
1-28.7%
2-18.1%
0-17.3%
1-06.8%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Liverpool to win36%2.50-10.3%
A Draw29%3.60+2.7%
Manchester City to win38%2.55-2.5%
Over 2.5 goals62%1.54-3.8%
Under 2.5 goals39%2.35-8.4%
Liverpool -0.538%2.30-13.7%
Manchester City +0.565%1.49-2.8%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Liverpool vs Manchester City: Manchester City shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Liverpool 35%, the draw 26% and Manchester City 39%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make Liverpool the favourite at 2.50, so take care with this one.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Liverpool took 13 points from their last 5 games and Manchester City took 15 from 5. Manchester City come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Liverpool won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Manchester City won 7 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Liverpool score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Manchester City score 2.4 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Liverpool games and 13 of Manchester City games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Liverpool won 0 and Manchester City won 3 with 0 draws. The last one ended Manchester City 4, Liverpool 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Manchester City +0.5 has a 65% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Liverpool form

Liverpool have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

Manchester City form

Manchester City have 16 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Liverpool won 0, Manchester City won 3 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Manchester City 4, Liverpool 0.

Our call

We expect Liverpool to score about 1.4 goals and Manchester City about 1.5. That points to Manchester City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Manchester City +0.5 at 1.49. Our bold bet is A Draw at 3.60.

News on these teams

All news

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Liverpool vs Manchester City?

Our prediction for Liverpool vs Manchester City is Manchester City to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Manchester City +0.5 at 1.49.

What is the score prediction for Liverpool vs Manchester City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Liverpool to score 1.4 goals and Manchester City 1.5.

Will both teams score in Liverpool vs Manchester City?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Liverpool last 20 games and 9 of Manchester City last 20.

How are Liverpool playing?

Liverpool have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, W, W, newest first.

How are Manchester City playing?

Manchester City have 16 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 47 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Liverpool and Manchester City last met?

It ended Manchester City 4, Liverpool 0. In the last 3 meetings Liverpool won 0 and Manchester City won 3.

What is the best bet for Liverpool vs Manchester City?

Manchester City +0.5 at 1.49, with a 65% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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