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NFLSun 11 Oct, 20:00 EATGillette Stadium

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots prediction

Las Vegas RaidersAway33%to win
19.4 : 24.1projected points
New England PatriotsHome67%to win
Shujaa value tipPatriots -3.51.87

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip67%
Patriots to winMost likely to win
Price 1.52+1.5% value1 unit
Value tip56%
Patriots -3.5Price pays more than it should
Price 1.87+4.6% value2 units
Bold tip37%
Raiders to winBigger price, loses more often
Price 2.601 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots is New England Patriots to win, with a 67% chance. We project Las Vegas Raiders 19.4 and New England Patriots 24.1. Our best bet is Patriots -3.5 at 1.87.

Patriots team news-4%Raiders team news-1%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
New England PatriotsLWLLW
  • Lat Jacksonville Jaguars6-35
  • Wv Pittsburgh Steelers20-3
  • Lat Seattle Seahawks10-13
  • Lat Cleveland Browns13-37
  • Wv Philadelphia Eagles24-21
Las Vegas RaidersWWWLW
  • Wat New Orleans Saints35-27
  • Wat Los Angeles Chargers26-14
  • Wv Miami Dolphins27-13
  • Lv San Francisco 49ers12-18
  • Wat Houston Texans22-20

In numbers, Patriots red and Raiders green

70%Win rate30%
23.1Points scored per game16.2
18.2Points conceded per game23.9
75% homeHome and away33% away

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
PatriotsRaiders
20Games played20
14Wins6
5Losses14
462Points scored324
364Points conceded477
23.1Scored per game16.2
18.2Conceded per game23.9
9W 2LHome record3W 8L
5W 3LAway record3W 6L

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Spread and total

Chance and fair price
Patriots -11.531%3.24
Patriots -7.542%2.38
Patriots -4.551%1.97
Patriots -1.560%1.68
Patriots +2.570%1.42
Over 36.5 points71%1.42
Over 40.5 points59%1.69
Over 43.5 points50%2.00
Over 46.5 points41%2.44
Over 50.5 points30%3.38

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Patriots to win67%1.52+1.5%
Raiders to win37%2.60-4.3%
Patriots -3.556%1.87+4.6%
Raiders +3.546%1.95-10.0%
Over 44.5 points47%1.95-8.3%
Under 44.5 points55%1.87+2.9%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots: New England Patriots are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New England Patriots 67% and Las Vegas Raiders 33%. The bookmakers agree and make New England Patriots the favourite at 1.52.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New England Patriots won 2 of their last 5 and Las Vegas Raiders won 4 of their last 5. Las Vegas Raiders come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New England Patriots won 9 of their last 12 games at home. Las Vegas Raiders won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New England Patriots score 23.1 points a game and let in 18.2. Las Vegas Raiders score 16.2 and let in 23.9. Their recent games average 41.3 and 40.0 points in total, and the market line is 44.5.

  5. 5
    Where the value is

    Patriots -3.5 is priced at 1.87. Our fair price is 1.79, so the bookmaker pays about 4.6% more than it should.

New England Patriots form

New England Patriots have 14 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 462 points scored and 364 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Las Vegas Raiders form

Las Vegas Raiders have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 324 points scored and 477 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Las Vegas Raiders to score about 19.4 points and New England Patriots about 24.1. That points to New England Patriots to win. Our safest bet is Patriots to win at 1.52. Our value bet is Patriots -3.5 at 1.87. Our bold bet is Raiders to win at 2.60.

News on these teams

All news
NFL

Drake Maye Dismisses Shoulder Concerns Ahead of Bills Clash

NFL

Patriots Offense Hits Rock Bottom as Drake Maye Struggles

NFL

Brock Bowers Stars For Raiders In Huge Comeback Win After Knee Surgery

NFL

Patriots Rely on Rookie Gabe Jacas as Injuries Mount

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots?

Our prediction for Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots is New England Patriots to win, with a 67% chance. We project Las Vegas Raiders 19.4 and New England Patriots 24.1. Our best bet is Patriots -3.5 at 1.87.

What is the projected score for Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots?

We project Las Vegas Raiders 19.4 and New England Patriots 24.1, about 43.5 points in total.

How are New England Patriots playing?

New England Patriots have 14 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 462 points scored and 364 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 2 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Las Vegas Raiders playing?

Las Vegas Raiders have 6 wins and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 324 points scored and 477 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots?

Patriots -3.5 at 1.87, with a 56% chance. That price pays about 4.6% more than our fair price.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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