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NFLSun 27 Sept, 20:00 EATHard Rock Stadium

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins prediction

Kansas City ChiefsAway79%to win
24.4 : 18.6projected points
Miami DolphinsHome21%to win
Shujaa safe tipUnder 51.5 points1.34

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip74%
Under 51.5 pointsMost likely to win
Fair 1.341 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins is Kansas City Chiefs to win, with a 79% chance. We project Kansas City Chiefs 24.4 and Miami Dolphins 18.6. Our best bet is Under 51.5 points at 1.34.

Nothing moved this number: form level, both sides rested

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Miami DolphinsLLLLL
  • Lat Las Vegas Raiders13-27
  • Lv Atlanta Falcons12-17
  • Lv New York Giants3-26
  • Lat Washington Commanders7-20
  • Lat New England Patriots10-38
Kansas City ChiefsWDLLL
  • Wv Denver Broncos31-10
  • Dv Seattle Seahawks9-9
  • Lat Tampa Bay Buccaneers15-16
  • Lv Los Angeles Rams12-20
  • Lat Las Vegas Raiders12-14

In numbers, Dolphins red and Chiefs green

35%Win rate35%
18.7Points scored per game20.4
24.1Points conceded per game17.8
45% homeHome and away13% away

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
DolphinsChiefs
20Games played20
7Wins7
13Losses12
374Points scored408
481Points conceded356
18.7Scored per game20.4
24.1Conceded per game17.8
5W 6LHome record6W 5L
2W 7LAway record1W 7L

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Spread and total

Chance and fair price
Dolphins -1.529%3.42
Dolphins +2.540%2.49
Dolphins +5.549%2.05
Dolphins +8.558%1.73
Dolphins +12.569%1.45
Over 35.5 points72%1.39
Over 39.5 points61%1.65
Over 42.5 points52%1.94
Over 45.5 points42%2.36
Over 49.5 points31%3.24

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Dolphins to win21%4.10-11.9%
Chiefs to win74%1.25-7.5%
Dolphins +7.552%1.91-0.7%
Chiefs -7.541%1.91-21.5%
Over 44.5 points41%1.91-21.2%
Under 44.5 points52%1.91-1.0%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins: Kansas City Chiefs are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Miami Dolphins 21% and Kansas City Chiefs 79%. The bookmakers agree and make Kansas City Chiefs the favourite at 1.25.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Miami Dolphins won 0 of their last 5 and Kansas City Chiefs won 1 of their last 5. Kansas City Chiefs come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Miami Dolphins won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Kansas City Chiefs won 1 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Miami Dolphins score 18.7 points a game and let in 24.1. Kansas City Chiefs score 20.4 and let in 17.8. Their recent games average 42.8 and 38.2 points in total, and the market line is 44.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 51.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Miami Dolphins form

Miami Dolphins have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 374 points scored and 481 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Kansas City Chiefs form

Kansas City Chiefs have 7 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 408 points scored and 356 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Kansas City Chiefs to score about 24.4 points and Miami Dolphins about 18.6. That points to Kansas City Chiefs to win. Our safest bet is Under 51.5 points at 1.34.

News on these teams

All news
NFL

Kenneth Walker shines as Chiefs dominate Broncos in season opener

NFL

Travis Kelce Moves to Second on All Time Tight End Receiving Yards List

NFL

Tom Cruise Joins Taylor Swift to Cheer on Kansas City Chiefs

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins?

Our prediction for Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins is Kansas City Chiefs to win, with a 79% chance. We project Kansas City Chiefs 24.4 and Miami Dolphins 18.6. Our best bet is Under 51.5 points at 1.34.

What is the projected score for Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins?

We project Kansas City Chiefs 24.4 and Miami Dolphins 18.6, about 43.0 points in total.

How are Miami Dolphins playing?

Miami Dolphins have 7 wins and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 374 points scored and 481 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Kansas City Chiefs playing?

Kansas City Chiefs have 7 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 408 points scored and 356 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win and 7 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins?

Under 51.5 points at 1.34, with a 74% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Dolphins against Chiefs. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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