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NFLSun 11 Oct, 20:00 EATLambeau Field

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers prediction

Chicago BearsAway43%to win
22.9 : 24.1projected points
Green Bay PackersHome57%to win
Shujaa value tipOver 45.5 points1.91

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip75%
Over 38.5 pointsMost likely to win
Fair 1.332 units
Value tip57%
Over 45.5 pointsPrice pays more than it should
Price 1.91+9.4% value3 units
Bold tip45%
Bears to winBigger price, loses more often
Price 2.141 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers is Green Bay Packers to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Chicago Bears 22.9 and Green Bay Packers 24.1. Our best bet is Over 45.5 points at 1.91.

Bears rest between games-2%Packers team news-3%Bears team news-3%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Green Bay PackersLWLWW
  • Lv Atlanta Falcons14-35
  • Wat New York Jets20-17
  • Lat Minnesota Vikings22-39
  • Wv Arizona Cardinals42-38
  • Wat Denver Broncos33-13
Chicago BearsWLWWL
  • Wv Philadelphia Eagles27-7
  • Lv Minnesota Vikings3-9
  • Wat Carolina Panthers59-37
  • Wat Tennessee Titans24-15
  • Lat Cincinnati Bengals9-27

In numbers, Packers red and Bears green

50%Win rate65%
22.7Points scored per game25.9
23.9Points conceded per game21.3
50% homeHome and away56% away

Last meetings

  • Chicago Bears31-27Green Bay Packers
  • Chicago Bears22-16Green Bay Packers
  • Green Bay Packers28-21Chicago Bears

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
PackersBears
20Games played20
10Wins13
10Losses7
454Points scored519
477Points conceded426
22.7Scored per game25.9
23.9Conceded per game21.3
4W 4LHome record8W 3L
6W 6LAway record5W 4L

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Spread and total

Chance and fair price
Packers -8.529%3.41
Packers -4.540%2.48
Packers -1.549%2.04
Packers +1.558%1.73
Packers +5.569%1.45
Over 40.5 points69%1.44
Over 44.5 points58%1.73
Over 47.5 points49%2.06
Over 50.5 points40%2.53
Over 54.5 points28%3.53

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Packers to win57%1.74-0.4%
Bears to win45%2.14-4.1%
Packers -2.546%1.91-12.6%
Bears +2.556%1.91+7.4%
Over 45.5 points57%1.91+9.4%
Under 45.5 points45%1.91-14.6%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers: Green Bay Packers shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Green Bay Packers 57% and Chicago Bears 43%. The bookmakers agree and make Green Bay Packers the favourite at 1.74.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Green Bay Packers won 3 of their last 5 and Chicago Bears won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Green Bay Packers won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Chicago Bears won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Green Bay Packers score 22.7 points a game and let in 23.9. Chicago Bears score 25.9 and let in 21.3. Their recent games average 46.5 and 47.3 points in total, and the market line is 45.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Green Bay Packers won 1 and Chicago Bears won 2. The last one ended Chicago Bears 31, Green Bay Packers 27.

  6. 6
    Where the value is

    Over 45.5 points is priced at 1.91. Our fair price is 1.75, so the bookmaker pays about 9.4% more than it should.

Green Bay Packers form

Green Bay Packers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 454 points scored and 477 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Chicago Bears form

Chicago Bears have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 519 points scored and 426 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Green Bay Packers won 1, Chicago Bears won 2. Last time out it finished Chicago Bears 31, Green Bay Packers 27.

Our call

We expect Chicago Bears to score about 22.9 points and Green Bay Packers about 24.1. That points to Green Bay Packers to win. Our safest bet is Over 38.5 points at 1.33. Our value bet is Over 45.5 points at 1.91. Our bold bet is Bears to win at 2.14.

News on these teams

All news
NFL

Green Bay Packers Struggle to Protect Jordan Love Under Heavy Pressure

NFL

Green Bay Packers lose wide receiver Jayden Reed to neck injury

NFL

Packers Add Veteran Guard Kevin Zeitler to Boost Offensive Line

NFL

Who Starts for Bears Against Jets After Keenum's Stunning Performance?

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers?

Our prediction for Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers is Green Bay Packers to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project Chicago Bears 22.9 and Green Bay Packers 24.1. Our best bet is Over 45.5 points at 1.91.

What is the projected score for Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers?

We project Chicago Bears 22.9 and Green Bay Packers 24.1, about 47.0 points in total.

How are Green Bay Packers playing?

Green Bay Packers have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 454 points scored and 477 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 4 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Chicago Bears playing?

Chicago Bears have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 519 points scored and 426 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears last met?

It ended Chicago Bears 31, Green Bay Packers 27. In the last 3 meetings Green Bay Packers won 1 and Chicago Bears won 2.

What is the best bet for Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers?

Over 45.5 points at 1.91, with a 57% chance. That price pays about 9.4% more than our fair price.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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