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NFLMon 12 Oct, 03:20 EATMercedes-Benz Stadium

Baltimore Ravens vs Atlanta Falcons prediction

Baltimore RavensAway68%to win
27.8 : 20.7projected points
Atlanta FalconsHome32%to win
Shujaa value tipRavens -61.91

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip74%
Ravens to winMost likely to win
Price 1.36+0.6% value1 unit
Value tip55%
Ravens -6Price pays more than it should
Price 1.91+5.4% value2 units
Bold tip32%
Falcons to winBigger price, loses more often
Price 3.25+4.7% value2 units

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Baltimore Ravens vs Atlanta Falcons is Baltimore Ravens to win, with a 68% chance. We project Baltimore Ravens 27.8 and Atlanta Falcons 20.7. Our best bet is Ravens -6 at 1.91.

Falcons team news-1%Ravens team news-1%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Atlanta FalconsWLLWW
  • Wat Green Bay Packers35-14
  • Lv Carolina Panthers3-34
  • Lat Pittsburgh Steelers13-20
  • Wat Miami Dolphins17-12
  • Wat Indianapolis Colts34-6
Baltimore RavensWLWWW
  • Wat Dallas Cowboys34-31
  • Lv New Orleans Saints17-24
  • Wat Indianapolis Colts41-23
  • Wv Washington Commanders41-3
  • Wat Minnesota Vikings13-3

In numbers, Falcons red and Ravens green

50%Win rate60%
21.0Points scored per game24.1
22.8Points conceded per game19.6
44% homeHome and away80% away

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
FalconsRavens
20Games played20
10Wins12
10Losses8
420Points scored483
455Points conceded393
21.0Scored per game24.1
22.8Conceded per game19.6
4W 5LHome record4W 6L
6W 5LAway record8W 2L

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Spread and total

Chance and fair price
Falcons +0.531%3.19
Falcons +4.543%2.35
Falcons +7.551%1.95
Falcons +10.560%1.66
Falcons +14.571%1.41
Over 41.5 points70%1.42
Over 45.5 points59%1.69
Over 48.5 points50%2.00
Over 51.5 points41%2.45
Over 55.5 points29%3.40

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Falcons to win32%3.25+4.7%
Ravens to win74%1.36+0.6%
Falcons +647%1.91-10.7%
Ravens -655%1.91+5.4%
Over 49.5 points47%1.91-10.6%
Under 49.5 points55%1.91+5.4%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Baltimore Ravens vs Atlanta Falcons: Baltimore Ravens are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlanta Falcons 32% and Baltimore Ravens 68%. The bookmakers agree and make Baltimore Ravens the favourite at 1.36.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlanta Falcons won 3 of their last 5 and Baltimore Ravens won 4 of their last 5. Baltimore Ravens come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlanta Falcons won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Baltimore Ravens won 8 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Atlanta Falcons score 21.0 points a game and let in 22.8. Baltimore Ravens score 24.1 and let in 19.6. Their recent games average 43.8 and 43.8 points in total, and the market line is 49.5.

  5. 5
    Where the value is

    Ravens -6 is priced at 1.91. Our fair price is 1.81, so the bookmaker pays about 5.4% more than it should.

Atlanta Falcons form

Atlanta Falcons have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 420 points scored and 455 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Baltimore Ravens form

Baltimore Ravens have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 483 points scored and 393 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Baltimore Ravens to score about 27.8 points and Atlanta Falcons about 20.7. That points to Baltimore Ravens to win. Our safest bet is Ravens to win at 1.36. Our value bet is Ravens -6 at 1.91. Our bold bet is Falcons to win at 3.25.

News on these teams

All news
NFL

Ravens desperate to end home losing streak against Titans

NFL

Falcons Secure Gervon Dexter Sr With Huge Four Year Contract Extension

NFL

Derrick Henry ready for emotional reunion as Ravens host Titans

NFL

Baltimore Ravens Lose Starting Center Jovaughn Gwyn to Injury

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Baltimore Ravens vs Atlanta Falcons?

Our prediction for Baltimore Ravens vs Atlanta Falcons is Baltimore Ravens to win, with a 68% chance. We project Baltimore Ravens 27.8 and Atlanta Falcons 20.7. Our best bet is Ravens -6 at 1.91.

What is the projected score for Baltimore Ravens vs Atlanta Falcons?

We project Baltimore Ravens 27.8 and Atlanta Falcons 20.7, about 48.5 points in total.

How are Atlanta Falcons playing?

Atlanta Falcons have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 420 points scored and 455 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Baltimore Ravens playing?

Baltimore Ravens have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 483 points scored and 393 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Baltimore Ravens vs Atlanta Falcons?

Ravens -6 at 1.91, with a 55% chance. That price pays about 5.4% more than our fair price.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Falcons against Ravens. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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