LaLigaSun 20 Sept, 17:15 EATRiyadh Air Metropolitano

Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid prediction

Atlético MadridHome28%to win
2 : 1final scoreDraw 26%
Real MadridAway46%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.29

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip78%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.292 unitswon
Bold tip13%
Correct score 1-1Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 8.001 unitlost

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid is Real Madrid to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

Real Madrid recent form+4%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Atlético MadridWWLLW
  • Wv Osasuna4-0
  • Wat Real Sociedad3-0
  • Lat Liverpool1-2
  • Lat Athletic Club0-3
  • Wat Sevilla3-1
Real MadridWWWLW
  • Wat Elche3-2
  • Wv Rayo Vallecano4-1
  • Wv Internazionale2-1
  • Lat Real Betis0-1
  • Wv Málaga4-0

In numbers, Atlético red and Real Madrid green

1.4Points per game2.0
1.6Goals scored per game2.1
1.4Goals conceded per game1.3
30%Clean sheets20%

Last meetings

  • Real Madrid3-2Atlético Madrid
  • Atlético Madrid5-2Real Madrid

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
AtléticoReal Madrid
20Games played20
9Wins13
2Draws2
9Losses5
32Goals scored42
28Goals conceded25
1.6Scored per game2.1
1.4Conceded per game1.3
4W 2D 3LHome record8W 1D 1L
5W 0D 6LAway record5W 1D 4L
30%Clean sheets20%
55%Both teams scored70%
65%Over 2.5 goals65%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

LaLiga
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
2. Atlético Madrid7511+9162.29
4. Real Madrid7502+10152.14

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full LaLiga table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Atlético Madrid
  • Jan Oblak
    Jan OblakKeeper · G
    2 saves
Real Madrid
  • Thibaut Courtois
    Thibaut CourtoisKeeper · G
    5 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.30
Over 2.5 goals52%1.91
Over 3.5 goals30%3.32
Both teams to score56%1.79
Atlético or draw54%1.84
Real Madrid or draw72%1.39
Atlético win and over 2.517%5.93
Real Madrid win and over 2.529%3.50

Most likely scores

1-112.5%
1-29.3%
0-19.2%
0-27.8%
2-17.0%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Atlético Madrid to win23%4.00-6.5%
A Draw22%3.80-17.8%
Real Madrid to win42%1.83-23.8%
Over 3.5 goals36%2.10-25.4%
Under 3.5 goals58%1.69-2.4%
Atlético Madrid +0.546%1.91-11.7%
Real Madrid -0.547%1.74-18.3%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid: Real Madrid are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlético Madrid 28%, the draw 26% and Real Madrid 46%. The bookmakers agree and make Real Madrid the favourite at 1.83.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlético Madrid took 9 points from their last 5 games and Real Madrid took 12 from 5. Real Madrid come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlético Madrid won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Real Madrid won 5 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Atlético Madrid score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Real Madrid score 2.1 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Atlético Madrid games and 13 of Real Madrid games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Atlético Madrid won 1 and Real Madrid won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Real Madrid 3, Atlético Madrid 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Atlético Madrid form

Atlético Madrid have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

Real Madrid form

Real Madrid have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Atlético Madrid won 1, Real Madrid won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Real Madrid 3, Atlético Madrid 2.

Our call

We expect Atlético Madrid to score about 1.2 goals and Real Madrid about 1.6. That points to Real Madrid to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 8.00.

News on these teams

All news

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid?

Our prediction for Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid is Real Madrid to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Atlético Madrid to score 1.2 goals and Real Madrid 1.6.

Will both teams score in Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Atlético Madrid last 20 games and 14 of Real Madrid last 20.

How are Atlético Madrid playing?

Atlético Madrid have 9 wins, 2 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Real Madrid playing?

Real Madrid have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Atlético Madrid and Real Madrid last met?

It ended Real Madrid 3, Atlético Madrid 2. In the last 2 meetings Atlético Madrid won 1 and Real Madrid won 1.

What is the best bet for Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.29, with a 78% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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