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LaLigaSun 20 Sept, 17:15 EATRiyadh Air Metropolitano

Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid prediction

Atlético MadridHome29%to win
1.14 : 1.47expected goalsDraw 27%
Real MadridAway44%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.35

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip74%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.351 unit
Bold tip29%
Atlético Madrid to winBigger price, loses more often
Price 3.90+12.3% value2 units

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid is Real Madrid to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.35.

Real Madrid recent form+4%Real Madrid rest between games-5%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Atlético MadridLLWDW
  • Lat Liverpool1-2
  • Lat Athletic Club0-3
  • Wat Sevilla3-1
  • Dv Villarreal2-2
  • Wv Málaga2-0
Real MadridWWLWW
  • Wv Rayo Vallecano4-1
  • Wv Internazionale2-1
  • Lat Real Betis0-1
  • Wv Málaga4-0
  • Wv Real Sociedad4-1

In numbers, Atlético red and Real Madrid green

1.1Points per game2.0
1.4Goals scored per game2.1
1.7Goals conceded per game1.2
20%Clean sheets20%

Last meetings

  • Real Madrid3-2Atlético Madrid
  • Atlético Madrid5-2Real Madrid

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
AtléticoReal Madrid
20Games played20
7Wins13
2Draws2
11Losses5
29Goals scored43
34Goals conceded24
1.4Scored per game2.1
1.7Conceded per game1.2
3W 2D 3LHome record9W 1D 1L
4W 0D 8LAway record4W 1D 4L
20%Clean sheets20%
65%Both teams scored70%
65%Over 2.5 goals65%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.35
Over 2.5 goals48%2.06
Over 3.5 goals27%3.75
Both teams to score53%1.88
Atlético or draw56%1.78
Real Madrid or draw71%1.40
Atlético win and over 2.516%6.13
Real Madrid win and over 2.526%3.86

Most likely scores

1-113.1%
0-110.0%
1-29.0%
0-08.1%
0-27.9%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Atlético Madrid to win29%3.90+12.3%
A Draw27%3.65-0.0%
Real Madrid to win44%1.91-16.3%
Over 3.5 goals42%2.10-12.0%
Under 3.5 goals58%1.69-1.8%
Atlético Madrid +0.551%1.87-4.3%
Real Madrid -0.549%1.80-12.1%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid: Real Madrid shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlético Madrid 29%, the draw 27% and Real Madrid 44%. The bookmakers agree and make Real Madrid the favourite at 1.91.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlético Madrid took 7 points from their last 5 games and Real Madrid took 12 from 5. Real Madrid come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlético Madrid won 3 of their last 8 games at home. Real Madrid won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Atlético Madrid score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.7. Real Madrid score 2.1 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Atlético Madrid games and 13 of Real Madrid games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Atlético Madrid won 1 and Real Madrid won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Real Madrid 3, Atlético Madrid 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Atlético Madrid form

Atlético Madrid have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Real Madrid form

Real Madrid have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Atlético Madrid won 1, Real Madrid won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Real Madrid 3, Atlético Madrid 2.

Our call

We expect Atlético Madrid to score about 1.1 goals and Real Madrid about 1.5. That points to Real Madrid to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.35. Our bold bet is Atlético Madrid to win at 3.90.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid?

Our prediction for Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid is Real Madrid to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.35.

What is the score prediction for Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Atlético Madrid to score 1.1 goals and Real Madrid 1.5.

Will both teams score in Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Atlético Madrid last 20 games and 14 of Real Madrid last 20.

How are Atlético Madrid playing?

Atlético Madrid have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Real Madrid playing?

Real Madrid have 13 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 43 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Atlético Madrid and Real Madrid last met?

It ended Real Madrid 3, Atlético Madrid 2. In the last 2 meetings Atlético Madrid won 1 and Real Madrid won 1.

What is the best bet for Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.35, with a 74% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Atlético against Real Madrid. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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