LaLigaSat 10 Oct, 17:15 EATMendizorrotza

Alavés vs Atlético Madrid prediction

AlavésHome27%to win
1.17 : 1.60expected goalsDraw 26%
Atlético MadridAway47%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.31

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip76%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.312 units
Bold tip29%
A DrawBigger price, loses more often
Price 3.65+5.6% value2 units

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Alavés vs Atlético Madrid is Atlético Madrid to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

Atlético recent form+1%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
AlavésDLLWW
  • Dat Athletic Club0-0
  • Lv Valencia0-1
  • Lat Racing Santander1-2
  • Wv Osasuna5-2
  • Wv Villarreal1-0
Atlético MadridWWWLL
  • Wv Real Madrid2-1
  • Wv Osasuna4-0
  • Wat Real Sociedad3-0
  • Lat Liverpool1-2
  • Lat Athletic Club0-3

In numbers, Alavés red and Atlético green

1.4Points per game1.6
1.6Goals scored per game1.6
1.5Goals conceded per game1.4
25%Clean sheets30%

Last meetings

  • Atlético Madrid1-0Alavés

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
AlavésAtlético
20Games played20
7Wins10
6Draws2
7Losses8
32Goals scored33
30Goals conceded27
1.6Scored per game1.6
1.5Conceded per game1.4
5W 2D 3LHome record5W 2D 2L
2W 4D 4LAway record5W 0D 6L
25%Clean sheets30%
65%Both teams scored55%
55%Over 2.5 goals65%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.30
Over 2.5 goals52%1.91
Over 3.5 goals30%3.31
Both teams to score56%1.79
Alavés or draw53%1.88
Atlético or draw73%1.37
Alavés win and over 2.516%6.16
Atlético win and over 2.529%3.40

Most likely scores

1-112.4%
1-29.4%
0-19.3%
0-28.0%
0-06.9%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Alavés to win30%4.10+22.6%
A Draw29%3.65+5.6%
Atlético Madrid to win46%1.80-18.0%
Over 2.5 goals52%1.80-7.3%
Under 2.5 goals47%1.91-9.7%
Alavés +0.549%1.91-7.1%
Atlético Madrid -0.550%1.74-12.7%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Alavés vs Atlético Madrid: Atlético Madrid are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Alavés 27%, the draw 26% and Atlético Madrid 47%. The bookmakers agree and make Atlético Madrid the favourite at 1.80.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Alavés took 7 points from their last 5 games and Atlético Madrid took 9 from 5. Atlético Madrid come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Alavés won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Atlético Madrid won 5 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Alavés score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.5. Atlético Madrid score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Alavés games and 13 of Atlético Madrid games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Alavés won 0 and Atlético Madrid won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Atlético Madrid 1, Alavés 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Alavés form

Alavés have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Atlético Madrid form

Atlético Madrid have 10 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Alavés won 0, Atlético Madrid won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Atlético Madrid 1, Alavés 0.

Our call

We expect Alavés to score about 1.2 goals and Atlético Madrid about 1.6. That points to Atlético Madrid to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is A Draw at 3.65.

News on these teams

All news

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Alavés vs Atlético Madrid?

Our prediction for Alavés vs Atlético Madrid is Atlético Madrid to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Alavés vs Atlético Madrid?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Alavés to score 1.2 goals and Atlético Madrid 1.6.

Will both teams score in Alavés vs Atlético Madrid?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Alavés last 20 games and 11 of Atlético Madrid last 20.

How are Alavés playing?

Alavés have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Atlético Madrid playing?

Atlético Madrid have 10 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Alavés and Atlético Madrid last met?

It ended Atlético Madrid 1, Alavés 0. In the last 1 meeting Alavés won 0 and Atlético Madrid won 1.

What is the best bet for Alavés vs Atlético Madrid?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Alavés against Atlético. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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