LaLigaFri 23 Oct, 22:00 EATMendizorrotza

Alavés vs Málaga prediction

AlavésHome64%to win
1.90 : 0.75expected goalsDraw 23%
MálagaAway13%to win
Shujaa safe tipAlavés or Draw1.20

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip84%
Alavés or DrawMost likely to win
Fair 1.202 units
Bold tip38%
Alavés to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 2.621 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Alavés vs Málaga is Alavés to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Alavés or Draw at 1.20.

Málaga recent form-4%Alavés league table+2%Málaga league table-2%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
AlavésDLLWW
  • Dat Athletic Club0-0
  • Lv Valencia0-1
  • Lat Racing Santander1-2
  • Wv Osasuna5-2
  • Wv Villarreal1-0
MálagaLLDDL
  • Lat Getafe0-1
  • Lv Villarreal1-3
  • Dat Celta Vigo1-1
  • Dv Levante0-0
  • Lat Real Madrid0-4

In numbers, Alavés red and Málaga green

1.4Points per game0.4
1.6Goals scored per game0.4
1.5Goals conceded per game1.7
25%Clean sheets14%

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
AlavésMálaga
20Games played7
7Wins0
6Draws3
7Losses4
32Goals scored3
30Goals conceded12
1.6Scored per game0.4
1.5Conceded per game1.7
5W 2D 3LHome record0W 2D 1L
2W 4D 4LAway record0W 1D 3L
25%Clean sheets14%
65%Both teams scored43%
55%Over 2.5 goals29%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

LaLiga
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
7. Alavés8323+4111.38
20. Málaga8044-940.50

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full LaLiga table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Alavés
  • Lucas Boyé
    Lucas BoyéTop scorer · F
    5 goals
  • Ángel Pérez
    Ángel PérezMost assists · D
    3 assists
  • Antonio Sivera
    Antonio SiveraKeeper · G
    28 saves
Málaga
  • Adrián Niño
    Adrián NiñoTop scorer · F
    2 goals
  • Rafa Garrido
    Rafa GarridoMost assists · D
    1 assists
  • Alfonso Herrero
    Alfonso HerreroKeeper · G
    30 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%2.03
Over 3.5 goals27%3.64
Both teams to score45%2.21
Alavés or draw87%1.15
Málaga or draw36%2.79
Alavés win and over 2.538%2.60
Málaga win and over 2.57%14.95

Most likely scores

1-012.9%
2-012.8%
1-110.6%
2-19.6%
3-08.1%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Alavés v Málaga

Our top pick is Alavés or Draw. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Alavés vs Málaga: Alavés are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Alavés 64%, the draw 23% and Málaga 13%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Alavés took 7 points from their last 5 games and Málaga took 2 from 5. Alavés come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Alavés won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Málaga won 0 of their last 4 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Alavés score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.5. Málaga score 0.4 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Alavés games and 2 of Málaga games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Alavés or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Alavés form

Alavés have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Málaga form

Málaga have 0 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 7 games, with 3 goals scored and 12 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Alavés to score about 1.9 goals and Málaga about 0.8. That points to Alavés to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Alavés or Draw at 1.20. Our bold bet is Alavés to win and Over 2.5 at 2.62.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Alavés vs Málaga?

Our prediction for Alavés vs Málaga is Alavés to win, with a 64% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is Alavés or Draw at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Alavés vs Málaga?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect Alavés to score 1.9 goals and Málaga 0.8.

Will both teams score in Alavés vs Málaga?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Alavés last 20 games and 3 of Málaga last 7.

How are Alavés playing?

Alavés have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Málaga playing?

Málaga have 0 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in their last 7 games, with 3 goals scored and 12 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 4. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Alavés vs Málaga?

Alavés or Draw at 1.20, with a 84% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Alavés against Málaga. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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