LaLigaSat 10 Oct, 15:00 EATEstadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club prediction

Rayo VallecanoHome38%to win
1.39 : 1.29expected goalsDraw 27%
Athletic ClubAway34%to win
Shujaa value tipRayo Vallecano to win2.95

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip65%
Rayo Vallecano +0.5Most likely to win
Price 1.57+1.6% value1 unit
Value tip38%
Rayo Vallecano to winPrice pays more than it should
Price 2.95+12.4% value2 units
Bold tip30%
A DrawBigger price, loses more often
Price 3.45+4.5% value2 units

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club is Rayo Vallecano to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Rayo Vallecano to win at 2.95.

Athletic recent form+1%Rayo league table0%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Shujaa expert view

Our read for Kenya
  1. 1

    Rayo Vallecano sits at rank 12 with 8 points from 7 matches and a goal difference of minus 5.

  2. 2

    Athletic Club holds rank 10 with 8 points from 6 games and a goal difference of 1.

  3. 3

    Our model gives Rayo Vallecano a 38 in 100 chance to win, a draw at 27 in 100, and Athletic Club 34 in 100.

  4. 4

    Recent form for Athletic Club moved up, while the league table position for Rayo Vallecano moved down.

Verdict. Remember betting has risk, so our lean is a small value tip on Rayo Vallecano to win at 38 in 100.

Good to know: This is our opinion from the numbers, not a promise. Betting has risk, 18+.

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Rayo VallecanoDWLWL
  • Dat Osasuna1-1
  • Wv Espanyol2-1
  • Lat Real Madrid1-4
  • Wv Racing Santander3-2
  • Lat Barcelona2-5
Athletic ClubDDWWL
  • Dv Alavés0-0
  • Dv Elche1-1
  • Wv Atlético Madrid3-0
  • Wat Celta Vigo2-0
  • Lat Barcelona0-2

In numbers, Rayo red and Athletic green

1.6Points per game1.1
1.4Goals scored per game1.1
1.4Goals conceded per game1.5
30%Clean sheets20%

Last meetings

  • Rayo Vallecano1-1Athletic Club

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
RayoAthletic
20Games played20
9Wins6
5Draws4
6Losses10
29Goals scored23
29Goals conceded30
1.4Scored per game1.1
1.4Conceded per game1.5
6W 3D 0LHome record4W 3D 4L
3W 2D 6LAway record2W 1D 6L
30%Clean sheets20%
60%Both teams scored50%
50%Over 2.5 goals45%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

LaLiga
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
14. Rayo Vallecano7223-581.14
11. Athletic Club7232+191.29

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full LaLiga table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Rayo Vallecano

No player data yet.

Athletic Club
  • Unai Simón
    Unai SimónKeeper · G
    1 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.32
Over 2.5 goals50%1.99
Over 3.5 goals28%3.55
Both teams to score55%1.81
Rayo or draw66%1.52
Athletic or draw62%1.63
Rayo win and over 2.523%4.33
Athletic win and over 2.520%4.93

Most likely scores

1-113.0%
1-08.8%
2-18.5%
0-18.1%
1-27.9%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Rayo Vallecano to win38%2.95+12.4%
A Draw30%3.45+4.5%
Athletic Club to win36%2.35-15.8%
Over 2.5 goals53%1.83-3.1%
Under 2.5 goals51%1.91-3.1%
Rayo Vallecano +0.565%1.57+1.6%
Athletic Club -0.539%2.20-15.1%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Rayo v Athletic

Our top pick is Rayo Vallecano to win. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club: Rayo Vallecano shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Rayo Vallecano 38%, the draw 27% and Athletic Club 34%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make Athletic Club the favourite at 2.35, so take care with this one.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Rayo Vallecano took 7 points from their last 5 games and Athletic Club took 8 from 5. Athletic Club come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Rayo Vallecano won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Athletic Club won 2 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Rayo Vallecano score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.4. Athletic Club score 1.1 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Rayo Vallecano games and 9 of Athletic Club games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Rayo Vallecano won 0 and Athletic Club won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Rayo Vallecano 1, Athletic Club 1.

  6. 6
    Where the value is

    Rayo Vallecano to win is priced at 2.95. Our fair price is 2.62, so the bookmaker pays about 12.4% more than it should.

Rayo Vallecano form

Rayo Vallecano have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Athletic Club form

Athletic Club have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Rayo Vallecano won 0, Athletic Club won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Rayo Vallecano 1, Athletic Club 1.

Our call

We expect Rayo Vallecano to score about 1.4 goals and Athletic Club about 1.3. That points to Rayo Vallecano to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Rayo Vallecano +0.5 at 1.57. Our value bet is Rayo Vallecano to win at 2.95. Our bold bet is A Draw at 3.45.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club?

Our prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club is Rayo Vallecano to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Rayo Vallecano to win at 2.95.

What is the score prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Rayo Vallecano to score 1.4 goals and Athletic Club 1.3.

Will both teams score in Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Rayo Vallecano last 20 games and 10 of Athletic Club last 20.

How are Rayo Vallecano playing?

Rayo Vallecano have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Athletic Club playing?

Athletic Club have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Club last met?

It ended Rayo Vallecano 1, Athletic Club 1. In the last 1 meeting Rayo Vallecano won 0 and Athletic Club won 0.

What is the best bet for Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club?

Rayo Vallecano to win at 2.95, with a 38% chance. That price pays about 12.4% more than our fair price.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Rayo against Athletic. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
  • Betting is not income. Never bet to pay rent, school fees or a loan, and never borrow to bet, including from mobile loan apps.
  • 18 and over only. Betting under 18 is illegal in Kenya.
  • Use licensed bookmakers. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya. Prices here can change before you bet, so check them first.
  • Gambling can be addictive. If it stops being fun, stop. Read our responsible betting page or visit Responsible Gaming Federation of Kenya.

Good to know: We are not a bookmaker and we do not take bets. Full details are in our disclaimer.