Serie ASun 18 Oct, 19:00 EATSan Siro

AC Milan vs Atalanta prediction

AC MilanHome50%to win
1.63 : 1.08expected goalsDraw 26%
AtalantaAway24%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.32

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip76%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.322 units
Bold tip27%
Atalanta to winBigger price, loses more often
Price 3.75+2.3% value1 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for AC Milan vs Atalanta is AC Milan to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Milan recent form+1%Atalanta recent form-1%Milan league table+3%Atalanta league table-2%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
AC MilanWLDDW
  • Wv Lecce3-0
  • Lv Benfica0-2
  • Dat Lazio2-2
  • Dat Juventus1-1
  • Wv Venezia2-0
AtalantaLLLWW
  • Lat Juventus0-2
  • Lv Cagliari1-2
  • Lat AS Roma1-2
  • Wv Bologna1-0
  • Wv Sassuolo2-1

In numbers, Milan red and Atalanta green

1.4Points per game1.1
1.1Goals scored per game1.3
1.1Goals conceded per game1.6
30%Clean sheets20%

Last meetings

  • AC Milan2-3Atalanta
  • Atalanta1-1AC Milan

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
MilanAtalanta
20Games played20
8Wins6
4Draws5
8Losses9
23Goals scored26
23Goals conceded32
1.1Scored per game1.3
1.1Conceded per game1.6
4W 2D 5LHome record4W 2D 4L
4W 2D 3LAway record2W 3D 5L
30%Clean sheets20%
40%Both teams scored65%
40%Over 2.5 goals55%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Serie A
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
5. AC Milan5320+6112.20
11. Atalanta5203-261.20

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Serie A table

Key players

Top of each side this season
AC Milan
  • Diego Moreira
    Diego MoreiraTop scorer · F
    3 goals
  • Samuel Chukwueze
    Samuel ChukwuezeMost assists · F
    2 assists
  • Mike Maignan
    Mike MaignanKeeper · G
    13 saves
Atalanta
  • Éderson
    ÉdersonTop scorer · M
    1 goals
  • Charles De Ketelaere
    Charles De KetelaereMost assists · F
    1 assists
  • Marco Carnesecchi
    Marco CarnesecchiKeeper · G
    25 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.31
Over 2.5 goals51%1.96
Over 3.5 goals29%3.45
Both teams to score54%1.86
Milan or draw76%1.32
Atalanta or draw50%1.98
Milan win and over 2.531%3.27
Atalanta win and over 2.514%7.08

Most likely scores

1-112.4%
1-010.1%
2-19.6%
2-08.8%
0-07.3%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
AC Milan to win51%1.83-6.2%
A Draw29%3.45-0.3%
Atalanta to win27%3.75+2.3%
Over 2.5 goals55%1.74-4.2%
Under 2.5 goals49%1.95-5.1%
AC Milan -0.552%1.77-7.1%
Atalanta +0.551%1.83-6.3%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Milan v Atalanta

Our top pick is Over 1.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

AC Milan vs Atalanta: AC Milan are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives AC Milan 50%, the draw 26% and Atalanta 24%. The bookmakers agree and make AC Milan the favourite at 1.83.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    AC Milan took 8 points from their last 5 games and Atalanta took 6 from 5. AC Milan come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    AC Milan won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Atalanta won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    AC Milan score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.1. Atalanta score 1.3 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of AC Milan games and 11 of Atalanta games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, AC Milan won 0 and Atalanta won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended AC Milan 2, Atalanta 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

AC Milan form

AC Milan have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, W, newest first.

Atalanta form

Atalanta have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. AC Milan won 0, Atalanta won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished AC Milan 2, Atalanta 3.

Our call

We expect AC Milan to score about 1.6 goals and Atalanta about 1.1. That points to AC Milan to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Atalanta to win at 3.75.

News on these teams

All news

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win AC Milan vs Atalanta?

Our prediction for AC Milan vs Atalanta is AC Milan to win, with a 50% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for AC Milan vs Atalanta?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect AC Milan to score 1.6 goals and Atalanta 1.1.

Will both teams score in AC Milan vs Atalanta?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of AC Milan last 20 games and 13 of Atalanta last 20.

How are AC Milan playing?

AC Milan have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, W, newest first.

How are Atalanta playing?

Atalanta have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when AC Milan and Atalanta last met?

It ended AC Milan 2, Atalanta 3. In the last 2 meetings AC Milan won 0 and Atalanta won 1.

What is the best bet for AC Milan vs Atalanta?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Milan against Atalanta. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
  • Betting is not income. Never bet to pay rent, school fees or a loan, and never borrow to bet, including from mobile loan apps.
  • 18 and over only. Betting under 18 is illegal in Kenya.
  • Use licensed bookmakers. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya. Prices here can change before you bet, so check them first.
  • Gambling can be addictive. If it stops being fun, stop. Read our responsible betting page or visit Responsible Gaming Federation of Kenya.

Good to know: We are not a bookmaker and we do not take bets. Full details are in our disclaimer.