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MLBSat 3 Oct, 07:00 EATAmerican Family Field

San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction

San Diego PadresAway30%to win
2.8 : 4.6projected runs
Milwaukee BrewersHome70%to win
Shujaa value tipBrewers -1.52.05

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip70%
Brewers to winMost likely to win
Price 1.44+1.5% value1 unit
Value tip55%
Brewers -1.5Price pays more than it should
Price 2.05+13.5% value3 units
Bold tip35%
Padres to winBigger price, loses more often
Price 2.841 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers is Milwaukee Brewers to win, with a 70% chance. We project San Diego Padres 2.8 and Milwaukee Brewers 4.6. Our best bet is Brewers -1.5 at 2.05.

Padres rest between games-5%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Milwaukee BrewersWWWWW
  • Wv St. Louis Cardinals6-4
  • Wv St. Louis Cardinals3-2
  • Wv St. Louis Cardinals8-4
  • Wat Philadelphia Phillies5-1
  • Wat Philadelphia Phillies4-1
San Diego PadresWWWWL
  • Wv Chicago Cubs4-1
  • Wv Chicago Cubs8-0
  • Wv Arizona Diamondbacks9-4
  • Wv Arizona Diamondbacks10-7
  • Lv Arizona Diamondbacks4-11

In numbers, Brewers red and Padres green

75%Win rate85%
5.8Runs scored per game6.5
3.9Runs conceded per game4.3
89% homeHome and away80% away

Last meetings

  • San Diego Padres4-3Milwaukee Brewers
  • San Diego Padres11-2Milwaukee Brewers
  • San Diego Padres3-2Milwaukee Brewers
  • Milwaukee Brewers7-1San Diego Padres
  • Milwaukee Brewers1-3San Diego Padres

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
BrewersPadres
20Games played20
15Wins17
5Losses3
117Runs scored129
77Runs conceded86
5.8Scored per game6.5
3.9Conceded per game4.3
8W 1LHome record9W 1L
7W 4LAway record8W 2L

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Spread and total

Chance and fair price
Brewers -3.535%2.88
Brewers -2.544%2.28
Brewers -1.553%1.88
Brewers -0.563%1.60
Brewers +0.571%1.40
Over 5.5 runs67%1.50
Over 6.5 runs58%1.72
Over 7.5 runs49%2.03
Over 8.5 runs40%2.48
Over 9.5 runs32%3.15

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Brewers to win70%1.44+1.5%
Padres to win35%2.84-0.8%
Brewers -1.555%2.05+13.5%
Padres +1.547%1.79-16.3%
Over 7 runs56%1.96+10.8%
Under 7 runs46%1.87-14.9%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers: Milwaukee Brewers are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Milwaukee Brewers 70% and San Diego Padres 30%. The bookmakers agree and make Milwaukee Brewers the favourite at 1.44.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Milwaukee Brewers won 5 of their last 5 and San Diego Padres won 4 of their last 5. Milwaukee Brewers come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Milwaukee Brewers won 8 of their last 9 games at home. San Diego Padres won 8 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Milwaukee Brewers score 5.8 runs a game and let in 3.9. San Diego Padres score 6.5 and let in 4.3. Their recent games average 9.7 and 10.8 runs in total, and the market line is 7.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Milwaukee Brewers won 1 and San Diego Padres won 4. The last one ended San Diego Padres 4, Milwaukee Brewers 3.

  6. 6
    Where the value is

    Brewers -1.5 is priced at 2.05. Our fair price is 1.81, so the bookmaker pays about 13.5% more than it should.

Milwaukee Brewers form

Milwaukee Brewers have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 117 runs scored and 77 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

San Diego Padres form

San Diego Padres have 17 wins and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 129 runs scored and 86 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Milwaukee Brewers won 1, San Diego Padres won 4. Last time out it finished San Diego Padres 4, Milwaukee Brewers 3.

Our call

We expect San Diego Padres to score about 2.8 runs and Milwaukee Brewers about 4.6. That points to Milwaukee Brewers to win. Our safest bet is Brewers to win at 1.44. Our value bet is Brewers -1.5 at 2.05. Our bold bet is Padres to win at 2.84.

News on these teams

All news
MLB

Padres Dominate Cubs 8-0 in Wild Card Opener

MLB

Cubs Pick Matthew Boyd for Game 1 Against Padres

MLB

Padres Secure Home Field Playoff Spot With Win Over Diamondbacks

MLB

Brewers Make History by Naming Christian Yelich as Team Captain

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers?

Our prediction for San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers is Milwaukee Brewers to win, with a 70% chance. We project San Diego Padres 2.8 and Milwaukee Brewers 4.6. Our best bet is Brewers -1.5 at 2.05.

What is the projected score for San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers?

We project San Diego Padres 2.8 and Milwaukee Brewers 4.6, about 7.4 runs in total.

How are Milwaukee Brewers playing?

Milwaukee Brewers have 15 wins and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 117 runs scored and 77 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are San Diego Padres playing?

San Diego Padres have 17 wins and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 129 runs scored and 86 conceded. Away from home they have 8 wins and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres last met?

It ended San Diego Padres 4, Milwaukee Brewers 3. In the last 5 meetings Milwaukee Brewers won 1 and San Diego Padres won 4.

What is the best bet for San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers?

Brewers -1.5 at 2.05, with a 55% chance. That price pays about 13.5% more than our fair price.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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