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ChampionshipSat 10 Oct, 17:00 EATVicarage Road

Watford vs Burnley prediction

WatfordHome35%to win
1.35 : 1.43expected goalsDraw 27%
BurnleyAway39%to win
Shujaa value tipWatford to win2.95

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip76%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.312 units
Value tip36%
Watford to winPrice pays more than it should
Price 2.95+5.7% value2 units
Bold tip30%
A DrawBigger price, loses more often
Price 3.55+4.9% value2 units

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Watford vs Burnley is Burnley to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Watford to win at 2.95.

Watford recent form-4%Burnley recent form-3%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
WatfordLLWLL
  • Lat Bristol City0-1
  • Lv Stoke City1-2
  • Wv Preston North End2-1
  • Lat West Bromwich Albion0-1
  • Lat Swansea City0-2
BurnleyDLDLD
  • Dv Derby County1-1
  • Lat Swansea City1-3
  • Dat Wrexham1-1
  • Lv Bristol City1-2
  • Dv Middlesbrough1-1

In numbers, Watford red and Burnley green

0.8Points per game0.5
0.8Goals scored per game0.8
1.9Goals conceded per game1.9
10%Clean sheets10%

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
WatfordBurnley
20Games played20
4Wins0
4Draws9
12Losses11
16Goals scored16
38Goals conceded37
0.8Scored per game0.8
1.9Conceded per game1.9
4W 3D 4LHome record0W 7D 3L
0W 1D 8LAway record0W 2D 8L
10%Clean sheets10%
55%Both teams scored70%
50%Over 2.5 goals45%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.90
Over 3.5 goals30%3.28
Both teams to score57%1.75
Watford or draw61%1.63
Burnley or draw65%1.53
Watford win and over 2.521%4.66
Burnley win and over 2.524%4.16

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
1-28.6%
0-18.1%
2-18.1%
1-07.6%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Watford to win36%2.95+5.7%
A Draw30%3.55+4.9%
Burnley to win38%2.25-15.4%
Over 2.5 goals52%1.77-7.2%
Under 2.5 goals46%1.95-9.4%
Watford +0.559%1.59-5.8%
Burnley -0.540%2.10-17.0%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Watford vs Burnley: Burnley shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Watford 35%, the draw 27% and Burnley 39%. The bookmakers agree and make Burnley the favourite at 2.25.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Watford took 3 points from their last 5 games and Burnley took 3 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Watford won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Burnley won 0 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Watford score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.9. Burnley score 0.8 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Watford games and 9 of Burnley games in that run.

  5. 5
    Where the value is

    Watford to win is priced at 2.95. Our fair price is 2.79, so the bookmaker pays about 5.7% more than it should.

Watford form

Watford have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Burnley form

Burnley have 0 wins, 9 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Watford to score about 1.4 goals and Burnley about 1.4. That points to Burnley to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our value bet is Watford to win at 2.95. Our bold bet is A Draw at 3.55.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Watford vs Burnley?

Our prediction for Watford vs Burnley is Burnley to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Watford to win at 2.95.

What is the score prediction for Watford vs Burnley?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Watford to score 1.4 goals and Burnley 1.4.

Will both teams score in Watford vs Burnley?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Watford last 20 games and 14 of Burnley last 20.

How are Watford playing?

Watford have 4 wins, 4 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Burnley playing?

Burnley have 0 wins, 9 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 16 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, L, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Watford vs Burnley?

Watford to win at 2.95, with a 36% chance. That price pays about 5.7% more than our fair price.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Watford against Burnley. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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