BrasileiraoThu 8 Oct, 02:00 EATEstadio Manoel Barradas

Vitória vs Chapecoense prediction

VitóriaHome53%to win
1.61 : 0.91expected goalsDraw 26%
ChapecoenseAway21%to win
Shujaa safe tipVitória or Draw1.30

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip77%
Vitória or DrawMost likely to win
Fair 1.302 units
Bold tip29%
A DrawBigger price, loses more often
Price 3.75+9.7% value2 units

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Vitória vs Chapecoense is Vitória to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Vitória or Draw at 1.30.

Vitória recent form-3%Vitória league table+1%Chapecoense league table-1%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Shujaa expert view

Our read for Kenya
  1. 1

    Vitoria sits at position 13 with 33 points from 28 matches, while Chapecoense is at the bottom in position 20 with 18 points from 27 games.

  2. 2

    Recent matches show Vitoria lost three times, drew once and won once, while Chapecoense recorded two wins, one draw and two losses.

  3. 3

    Our model gives Vitoria a 53 in 100 chance to win and Chapecoense 21 in 100, with the double chance tip for Vitoria or a draw standing at 77 in 100.

  4. 4

    Vitoria league table position moved up despite recent form going down, and Chapecoense league table position moved down.

Verdict. Vitoria looks stronger on paper, but remember betting has risks and nothing is guaranteed.

Good to know: This is our opinion from the numbers, not a promise. Betting has risk, 18+.

Form and head to head

Newest game first
VitóriaLDWLL
  • Lv Cruzeiro1-3
  • Dat Mirassol2-2
  • Wv Grêmio1-0
  • Lat Atlético-MG1-2
  • Lv Bahia0-2
ChapecoenseDLWLW
  • Dat Atlético-MG1-1
  • Lv Internacional1-2
  • Wat Corinthians2-1
  • Lat Grêmio1-3
  • Wv São Paulo1-0

In numbers, Vitória red and Chapecoense green

1.1Points per game0.6
1.0Goals scored per game1.0
1.4Goals conceded per game2.1
35%Clean sheets5%

Last meetings

  • Chapecoense1-1Vitória

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
VitóriaChapecoense
20Games played20
6Wins2
5Draws5
9Losses13
20Goals scored20
29Goals conceded42
1.0Scored per game1.0
1.4Conceded per game2.1
6W 1D 3LHome record1W 2D 6L
0W 4D 6LAway record1W 3D 7L
35%Clean sheets5%
40%Both teams scored70%
40%Over 2.5 goals65%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Brasileirao
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
13. Vitória3010614-11361.20
20. Chapecoense303918-32180.60

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Brasileirao table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Vitória
  • Lucas Arcanjo
    Lucas ArcanjoKeeper · G
    4 saves
Chapecoense
  • Anderson Paixão
    Anderson PaixãoKeeper · G
    4 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.38
Over 2.5 goals46%2.17
Over 3.5 goals25%4.06
Both teams to score49%2.06
Vitória or draw79%1.26
Chapecoense or draw47%2.13
Vitória win and over 2.530%3.29
Chapecoense win and over 2.511%9.42

Most likely scores

1-112.5%
1-012.2%
2-010.4%
2-19.5%
0-08.8%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Vitória to win56%1.67-6.5%
A Draw29%3.75+9.7%
Chapecoense to win23%4.70+9.8%
Over 2.5 goals51%1.80-8.0%
Under 2.5 goals53%1.87-1.8%
Vitória -0.559%1.61-5.3%
Chapecoense +0.545%2.05-8.5%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Vitória v Chapecoense

Our top pick is Vitória or Draw. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Vitória vs Chapecoense: Vitória are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Vitória 53%, the draw 26% and Chapecoense 21%. The bookmakers agree and make Vitória the favourite at 1.67.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Vitória took 4 points from their last 5 games and Chapecoense took 7 from 5. Chapecoense come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Vitória won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Chapecoense won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Vitória score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.4. Chapecoense score 1.0 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Vitória games and 13 of Chapecoense games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Vitória won 0 and Chapecoense won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Chapecoense 1, Vitória 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Vitória or Draw has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Vitória form

Vitória have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Chapecoense form

Chapecoense have 2 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 42 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Vitória won 0, Chapecoense won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Chapecoense 1, Vitória 1.

Our call

We expect Vitória to score about 1.6 goals and Chapecoense about 0.9. That points to Vitória to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Vitória or Draw at 1.30. Our bold bet is A Draw at 3.75.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Vitória vs Chapecoense?

Our prediction for Vitória vs Chapecoense is Vitória to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Vitória or Draw at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Vitória vs Chapecoense?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Vitória to score 1.6 goals and Chapecoense 0.9.

Will both teams score in Vitória vs Chapecoense?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Vitória last 20 games and 14 of Chapecoense last 20.

How are Vitória playing?

Vitória have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Chapecoense playing?

Chapecoense have 2 wins, 5 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 42 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 7 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Vitória and Chapecoense last met?

It ended Chapecoense 1, Vitória 1. In the last 1 meeting Vitória won 0 and Chapecoense won 0.

What is the best bet for Vitória vs Chapecoense?

Vitória or Draw at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Vitória against Chapecoense. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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