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BrasileiraoMon 19 Oct, 00:30 EATArena Fonte Nova

Bahia vs Flamengo prediction

BahiaHome27%to win
1.12 : 1.53expected goalsDraw 27%
FlamengoAway46%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.32

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip76%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.322 units
Bold tip31%
Flamengo to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 3.271 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Bahia vs Flamengo is Flamengo to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

Bahia recent form+4%Flamengo recent form+6%Bahia rest between games-3%Flamengo rest between games-3%Bahia league table-1%Flamengo league table+1%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Shujaa expert view

Our read for Kenya
  1. 1

    Bahia sits at number five in the table with 49 points from 30 games, while Flamengo leads the league at number one with 64 points from 30 matches.

  2. 2

    Bahia recently beat Internacional and Vitoria, and Flamengo recently defeated Mirassol and Botafogo.

  3. 3

    Our model gives Flamengo a 46 percent chance to win, a draw at 27 percent, and Bahia a 27 percent chance to win, with expected goals at 1.1 to 1.5.

  4. 4

    Our strongest tip is over 1.5 goals at 76 in 100, but remember that betting has risk and there are no certain wins.

Verdict. Flamengo holds the stronger table position and model numbers, but Bahia recent form makes this an open match.

Good to know: This is our opinion from the numbers, not a promise. Betting has risk, 18+.

Form and head to head

Newest game first
BahiaLWWWW
  • Lat Athletico-PR1-2
  • Wv Remo2-1
  • Wat Red Bull Bragantino3-2
  • Wv Internacional3-2
  • Wat Vitória2-0
FlamengoWWWWW
  • Wv Red Bull Bragantino2-1
  • Wv Corinthians2-1
  • Wat Remo1-0
  • Wv Mirassol2-0
  • Wv Botafogo3-0

In numbers, Bahia red and Flamengo green

1.4Points per game2.3
1.6Goals scored per game2.1
1.4Goals conceded per game0.8
20%Clean sheets45%

Last meetings

  • Flamengo2-0Bahia
  • Bahia1-0Flamengo

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
BahiaFlamengo
20Games played20
7Wins14
8Draws4
5Losses2
31Goals scored42
28Goals conceded15
1.6Scored per game2.1
1.4Conceded per game0.8
4W 4D 2LHome record8W 2D 1L
3W 4D 3LAway record6W 2D 1L
20%Clean sheets45%
75%Both teams scored50%
60%Over 2.5 goals60%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Brasileirao
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
7. Bahia3213118+5501.56
2. Flamengo312074+36672.16

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Brasileirao table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Bahia
  • Ronaldo
    RonaldoKeeper · G
    11 saves
Flamengo
  • Agustín Rossi
    Agustín RossiKeeper · G
    3 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1.33
Over 2.5 goals49%2.02
Over 3.5 goals27%3.64
Both teams to score54%1.87
Bahia or draw54%1.85
Flamengo or draw73%1.37
Bahia win and over 2.515%6.47
Flamengo win and over 2.528%3.62

Most likely scores

1-112.8%
0-110.1%
1-29.3%
0-28.3%
0-07.8%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Bahia v Flamengo

Our top pick is Over 1.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

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Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Bahia vs Flamengo: Flamengo are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Bahia 27%, the draw 27% and Flamengo 46%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Bahia took 12 points from their last 5 games and Flamengo took 15 from 5. Flamengo come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Bahia won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Flamengo won 6 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Bahia score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Flamengo score 2.1 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Bahia games and 12 of Flamengo games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Bahia won 1 and Flamengo won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Flamengo 2, Bahia 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Bahia form

Bahia have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Flamengo form

Flamengo have 14 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Bahia won 1, Flamengo won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Flamengo 2, Bahia 0.

Our call

We expect Bahia to score about 1.1 goals and Flamengo about 1.5. That points to Flamengo to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is Flamengo to win and Over 2.5 at 3.27.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Bahia vs Flamengo?

Our prediction for Bahia vs Flamengo is Flamengo to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Bahia vs Flamengo?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Bahia to score 1.1 goals and Flamengo 1.5.

Will both teams score in Bahia vs Flamengo?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Bahia last 20 games and 10 of Flamengo last 20.

How are Bahia playing?

Bahia have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Flamengo playing?

Flamengo have 14 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 42 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Bahia and Flamengo last met?

It ended Flamengo 2, Bahia 0. In the last 2 meetings Bahia won 1 and Flamengo won 1.

What is the best bet for Bahia vs Flamengo?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Bahia against Flamengo. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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Good to know: We are not a bookmaker and we do not take bets. Full details are in our disclaimer.