BrasileiraoSun 18 Oct, 03:00 EATEstádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo

São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama prediction

São PauloHome58%to win
1.68 : 0.78expected goalsDraw 25%
Vasco da GamaAway16%to win
Shujaa safe tipSão Paulo or Draw1.24

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip80%
São Paulo or DrawMost likely to win
Fair 1.242 units
Bold tip35%
São Paulo to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 2.861 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama is São Paulo to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is São Paulo or Draw at 1.24.

Vasco recent form+3%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
São PauloWLWWL
  • Wv Internacional1-0
  • Lat Palmeiras0-2
  • Wv Atlético-MG2-0
  • Wv Red Bull Bragantino2-1
  • Lat Chapecoense0-1
Vasco da GamaWWLWL
  • Wv Coritiba5-0
  • Wat Grêmio2-1
  • Lat Fluminense0-1
  • Wv Cruzeiro3-1
  • Lat Palmeiras1-4

In numbers, São Paulo red and Vasco green

1.0Points per game1.1
1.1Goals scored per game1.1
1.3Goals conceded per game1.4
15%Clean sheets15%

Last meetings

  • Vasco da Gama2-1São Paulo
  • Vasco da Gama0-2São Paulo

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
São PauloVasco
20Games played20
5Wins6
5Draws5
10Losses9
22Goals scored23
26Goals conceded29
1.1Scored per game1.1
1.3Conceded per game1.4
5W 3D 2LHome record5W 1D 4L
0W 2D 8LAway record1W 4D 5L
15%Clean sheets15%
60%Both teams scored55%
40%Over 2.5 goals55%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Brasileirao
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
11. São Paulo2810612+1361.29
14. Vasco da Gama289712-6341.21

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Brasileirao table

Key players

Top of each side this season
São Paulo
  • Luciano
    LucianoTop scorer · F
    9 goals
  • Wendell
    WendellMost assists · D
    3 assists
  • Rafael
    RafaelKeeper · G
    64 saves
Vasco da Gama
  • Andrés Gómez
    Andrés GómezTop scorer · F
    5 goals
  • José Luis Rodríguez
    José Luis RodríguezMost assists · D
    4 assists
  • Léo Jardim
    Léo JardimKeeper · G
    77 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals71%1.41
Over 2.5 goals44%2.25
Over 3.5 goals23%4.29
Both teams to score45%2.24
São Paulo or draw84%1.20
Vasco or draw42%2.39
São Paulo win and over 2.532%3.09
Vasco win and over 2.58%12.71

Most likely scores

1-013.7%
2-012.1%
1-111.9%
2-19.4%
0-09.2%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on São Paulo v Vasco

Our top pick is São Paulo or Draw. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama: São Paulo are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives São Paulo 58%, the draw 25% and Vasco da Gama 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    São Paulo took 9 points from their last 5 games and Vasco da Gama took 9 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    São Paulo won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Vasco da Gama won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    São Paulo score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.3. Vasco da Gama score 1.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of São Paulo games and 11 of Vasco da Gama games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, São Paulo won 1 and Vasco da Gama won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Vasco da Gama 2, São Paulo 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    São Paulo or Draw has a 80% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

São Paulo form

São Paulo have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Vasco da Gama form

Vasco da Gama have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. São Paulo won 1, Vasco da Gama won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Vasco da Gama 2, São Paulo 1.

Our call

We expect São Paulo to score about 1.7 goals and Vasco da Gama about 0.8. That points to São Paulo to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is São Paulo or Draw at 1.24. Our bold bet is São Paulo to win and Over 2.5 at 2.86.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama?

Our prediction for São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama is São Paulo to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is São Paulo or Draw at 1.24.

What is the score prediction for São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect São Paulo to score 1.7 goals and Vasco da Gama 0.8.

Will both teams score in São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of São Paulo last 20 games and 11 of Vasco da Gama last 20.

How are São Paulo playing?

São Paulo have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, L, newest first.

How are Vasco da Gama playing?

Vasco da Gama have 6 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when São Paulo and Vasco da Gama last met?

It ended Vasco da Gama 2, São Paulo 1. In the last 2 meetings São Paulo won 1 and Vasco da Gama won 1.

What is the best bet for São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama?

São Paulo or Draw at 1.24, with a 80% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about São Paulo against Vasco. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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