BrasileiraoSun 18 Oct, 22:00 EATEstadio do Maracana

Fluminense vs Santos prediction

FluminenseHome48%to win
1.68 : 1.20expected goalsDraw 25%
SantosAway27%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 1.5 goals1.30

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip77%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.302 units
Bold tip34%
Fluminense to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 2.921 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Fluminense vs Santos is Fluminense to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

Fluminense recent form+1%Santos recent form+4%Fluminense league table+1%Santos league table-1%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
FluminenseWLWDW
  • Wat Corinthians3-1
  • Lat Atlético-MG1-3
  • Wv Vasco da Gama1-0
  • Dat Athletico-PR3-3
  • Wv Remo2-1
SantosWWWWD
  • Wat Remo2-1
  • Wv Cruzeiro2-1
  • Wat Internacional3-2
  • Wat Corinthians1-0
  • Dv Mirassol1-1

In numbers, Fluminense red and Santos green

1.6Points per game1.6
1.6Goals scored per game1.6
1.4Goals conceded per game1.4
10%Clean sheets30%

Last meetings

  • Santos2-3Fluminense

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
FluminenseSantos
20Games played20
8Wins9
8Draws5
4Losses6
31Goals scored31
27Goals conceded27
1.6Scored per game1.6
1.4Conceded per game1.4
6W 3D 1LHome record5W 2D 3L
2W 5D 3LAway record4W 3D 3L
10%Clean sheets30%
80%Both teams scored60%
55%Over 2.5 goals60%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Brasileirao
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
5. Fluminense281396+8481.71
8. Santos281189+2411.46

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Brasileirao table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Fluminense
  • John Kennedy
    John KennedyTop scorer · F
    9 goals
  • Luciano Acosta
    Luciano AcostaMost assists · M
    5 assists
  • Fábio
    FábioKeeper · G
    99 saves
Santos
  • Gabriel Barbosa
    Gabriel BarbosaTop scorer · F
    13 goals
  • Gabriel Barbosa
    Gabriel BarbosaMost assists · F
    3 assists
  • Gabriel Brazão
    Gabriel BrazãoKeeper · G
    68 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.27
Over 2.5 goals55%1.82
Over 3.5 goals33%3.06
Both teams to score58%1.74
Fluminense or draw73%1.36
Santos or draw52%1.92
Fluminense win and over 2.531%3.20
Santos win and over 2.517%6.03

Most likely scores

1-112.0%
2-19.5%
1-08.7%
2-07.9%
1-26.8%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Fluminense v Santos

Our top pick is Over 1.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Fluminense vs Santos: Fluminense are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Fluminense 48%, the draw 25% and Santos 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Fluminense took 10 points from their last 5 games and Santos took 13 from 5. Santos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Fluminense won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Santos won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Fluminense score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Santos score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Fluminense games and 12 of Santos games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Fluminense won 1 and Santos won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Santos 2, Fluminense 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Fluminense form

Fluminense have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Santos form

Santos have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Fluminense won 1, Santos won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Santos 2, Fluminense 3.

Our call

We expect Fluminense to score about 1.7 goals and Santos about 1.2. That points to Fluminense to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30. Our bold bet is Fluminense to win and Over 2.5 at 2.92.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Fluminense vs Santos?

Our prediction for Fluminense vs Santos is Fluminense to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.30.

What is the score prediction for Fluminense vs Santos?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Fluminense to score 1.7 goals and Santos 1.2.

Will both teams score in Fluminense vs Santos?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of Fluminense last 20 games and 12 of Santos last 20.

How are Fluminense playing?

Fluminense have 8 wins, 8 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Santos playing?

Santos have 9 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, D, newest first.

What happened when Fluminense and Santos last met?

It ended Santos 2, Fluminense 3. In the last 1 meeting Fluminense won 1 and Santos won 0.

What is the best bet for Fluminense vs Santos?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.30, with a 77% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Fluminense against Santos. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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