ChampionshipSat 17 Oct, 17:00 EATSt. Mary's Stadium

Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers prediction

SouthamptonHome74%to win
2.79 : 1.02expected goalsDraw 15%
Bolton WanderersAway11%to win
Shujaa safe tipSouthampton draw no bet1.19

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip84%
Southampton draw no betMost likely to win
Fair 1.192 units
Bold tip39%
Southampton to win and both scoreBigger price, loses more often
Fair 2.561 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers is Southampton to win, with a 74% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Southampton draw no bet at 1.19.

Southampton recent form+1%Bolton recent form-1%Southampton rest between games-3%Bolton rest between games-3%Southampton team news-2%Southampton league table+1%Bolton league table-1%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Shujaa expert view

Our read for Kenya
  1. 1

    Southampton sits at rank 7 with sixteen points from ten games, while Bolton Wanderers is at rank 14 with thirteen points. Our model gives Southampton a seventy four percent chance to win, with expected goals at 2.8 to 1.0.

  2. 2

    Southampton won recent matches against Bristol City and Swansea City, but lost to Wrexham. Bolton Wanderers won against Norwich City and Cardiff City, but lost to West Ham United and Millwall.

  3. 3

    The numbers shifted because Southampton league form and table position went up, even though team news and rest time went down. Bolton Wanderers form and table position went down along with rest time.

  4. 4

    Our strongest tip is Southampton draw no bet at eighty four in one hundred probability. Remember that betting has risk, and nothing is guaranteed.

Verdict. Our lean is that Southampton holds the stronger numbers for this match, but football remains unpredictable.

Good to know: This is our opinion from the numbers, not a promise. Betting has risk, 18+.

Form and head to head

Newest game first
SouthamptonLWWDD
  • Lat Wrexham1-2
  • Wv Bristol City4-1
  • Wv Swansea City3-1
  • Dat Lincoln City1-1
  • Dat Birmingham City1-1
Bolton WanderersWWLLL
  • Wat Norwich City4-3
  • Wv Cardiff City1-0
  • Lv West Ham United2-3
  • Lat Millwall0-4
  • Lat Sheffield United2-3

In numbers, Southampton red and Bolton green

1.9Points per game1.2
2.2Goals scored per game1.2
1.3Goals conceded per game1.9
15%Clean sheets18%

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
SouthamptonBolton
20Games played11
11Wins4
5Draws1
4Losses6
44Goals scored13
25Goals conceded21
2.2Scored per game1.2
1.3Conceded per game1.9
7W 2D 1LHome record3W 0D 2L
4W 3D 3LAway record1W 1D 4L
15%Clean sheets18%
85%Both teams scored45%
80%Over 2.5 goals64%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Championship
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
6. Southampton12732+12201.67
18. Bolton Wanderers12426-7141.17

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Championship table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Southampton
  • Daniel Peretz
    Daniel PeretzKeeper · G
    3 saves
Bolton Wanderers
  • Gavin Bazunu
    Gavin BazunuKeeper · G
    2 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals90%1.11
Over 2.5 goals73%1.37
Over 3.5 goals53%1.89
Both teams to score60%1.66
Southampton or draw89%1.12
Bolton or draw26%3.82
Southampton win and over 2.559%1.68
Bolton win and over 2.58%13.03

Most likely scores

2-18.8%
2-08.6%
3-18.2%
3-08.0%
1-16.7%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Southampton v Bolton

Our top pick is Southampton draw no bet. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers: Southampton are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Southampton 74%, the draw 15% and Bolton Wanderers 11%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Southampton took 8 points from their last 5 games and Bolton Wanderers took 6 from 5. Southampton come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Southampton won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Bolton Wanderers won 1 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Southampton score 2.2 goals a game and let in 1.3. Bolton Wanderers score 1.2 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of Southampton games and 7 of Bolton Wanderers games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Southampton draw no bet has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Southampton form

Southampton have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, D, newest first.

Bolton Wanderers form

Bolton Wanderers have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses in their last 11 games, with 13 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Southampton to score about 2.8 goals and Bolton Wanderers about 1.0. That points to Southampton to win, with 2-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Southampton draw no bet at 1.19. Our bold bet is Southampton to win and both score at 2.56.

News on these teams

All news

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers?

Our prediction for Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers is Southampton to win, with a 74% chance. The most likely score is 2-1. Our best bet is Southampton draw no bet at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers?

2-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 3-1. We expect Southampton to score 2.8 goals and Bolton Wanderers 1.0.

Will both teams score in Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 17 of Southampton last 20 games and 5 of Bolton Wanderers last 11.

How are Southampton playing?

Southampton have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, D, newest first.

How are Bolton Wanderers playing?

Bolton Wanderers have 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses in their last 11 games, with 13 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers?

Southampton draw no bet at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Southampton against Bolton. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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