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Primeira LigaMon 14 Sept, 20:45 EATEstádio do Rio Ave

Rio Ave vs Estrela prediction

Rio AveHome30%to win
3 : 3final scoreDraw 27%
EstrelaAway43%to win
Shujaa value tipEstrela to win2.70

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip65%
Estrela +0.5Most likely to win
Price 1.471 unitwon
Value tip42%
Estrela to winPrice pays more than it should
Price 2.70+12.2% value2 unitslost
Bold tip25%
Estrela to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 3.991 unitlost

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Rio Ave vs Estrela is Estrela to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Estrela to win at 2.70.

Rio Ave recent form-4%Estrela recent form+3%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Rio AveLLWLL
  • Lat Santa Clara0-4
  • Lv Sporting CP0-4
  • Wat Estoril2-0
  • Lv FC Porto0-2
  • Lat Gil Vicente0-1
EstrelaWDWDD
  • Wv Braga2-1
  • Dv FC Famalicao2-2
  • Wat C.D. Nacional3-2
  • Dat Alverca2-2
  • Dv Sporting CP2-2

In numbers, Rio Ave red and Estrela green

0.9Points per game1.0
0.8Goals scored per game1.3
1.6Goals conceded per game1.4
25%Clean sheets20%

Last meetings

  • Rio Ave2-1Estrela
  • Estrela1-2Rio Ave

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
Rio AveEstrela
20Games played20
5Wins4
4Draws8
11Losses8
15Goals scored26
33Goals conceded29
0.8Scored per game1.3
1.6Conceded per game1.4
1W 3D 6LHome record3W 4D 3L
4W 1D 5LAway record1W 4D 5L
25%Clean sheets20%
35%Both teams scored60%
50%Over 2.5 goals60%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Primeira Liga
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
16. Rio Ave7115-1040.57
8. Estrela72410101.43

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Primeira Liga table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Rio Ave
  • Ennio van der Gouw
    Ennio van der GouwKeeper · G
    2 saves
Estrela
  • Leo Linck
    Leo LinckKeeper · G
    3 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals76%1.32
Over 2.5 goals51%1.98
Over 3.5 goals28%3.51
Both teams to score55%1.82
Rio Ave or draw57%1.77
Estrela or draw70%1.42
Rio Ave win and over 2.517%5.74
Estrela win and over 2.526%3.78

Most likely scores

1-112.8%
0-19.4%
1-29.1%
0-27.6%
0-07.5%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Rio Ave to win30%2.90-14.0%
A Draw27%3.25-12.4%
Estrela to win43%2.50+8.5%
Over 2.5 goals48%2.00-4.0%
Under 2.5 goals52%1.77-8.0%
Rio Ave +0.559%1.53-9.3%
Estrela -0.541%2.35-4.6%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Rio Ave vs Estrela: Estrela shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Rio Ave 30%, the draw 27% and Estrela 43%. The bookmakers agree and make Estrela the favourite at 2.50.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Rio Ave took 3 points from their last 5 games and Estrela took 9 from 5. Estrela come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Rio Ave won 1 of their last 10 games at home. Estrela won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Rio Ave score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.6. Estrela score 1.3 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Rio Ave games and 12 of Estrela games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Rio Ave won 2 and Estrela won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Rio Ave 2, Estrela 1.

  6. 6
    Where the value is

    Estrela to win is priced at 2.70. Our fair price is 2.41, so the bookmaker pays about 12.2% more than it should.

Rio Ave form

Rio Ave have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

Estrela form

Estrela have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Rio Ave won 2, Estrela won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Rio Ave 2, Estrela 1.

Our call

We expect Rio Ave to score about 1.2 goals and Estrela about 1.5. That points to Estrela to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Estrela +0.5 at 1.47. Our value bet is Estrela to win at 2.70. Our bold bet is Estrela to win and Over 2.5 at 3.99.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Rio Ave vs Estrela?

Our prediction for Rio Ave vs Estrela is Estrela to win, with a 43% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Estrela to win at 2.70.

What is the score prediction for Rio Ave vs Estrela?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-2. We expect Rio Ave to score 1.2 goals and Estrela 1.5.

Will both teams score in Rio Ave vs Estrela?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 7 of Rio Ave last 20 games and 12 of Estrela last 20.

How are Rio Ave playing?

Rio Ave have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 33 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Estrela playing?

Estrela have 4 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Rio Ave and Estrela last met?

It ended Rio Ave 2, Estrela 1. In the last 2 meetings Rio Ave won 2 and Estrela won 0.

What is the best bet for Rio Ave vs Estrela?

Estrela to win at 2.70, with a 42% chance. That price pays about 12.2% more than our fair price.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Rio Ave against Estrela. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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