Primeira LigaSat 10 Oct, 17:30 EATEstádio Municipal de Rio Maior

Casa Pia vs Santa Clara prediction

Casa PiaHome20%to win
0.85 : 1.52expected goalsDraw 27%
Santa ClaraAway52%to win
Shujaa value tipSanta Clara to win1.91

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip64%
Under 2.5 goalsMost likely to win
Price 1.501 unit
Value tip55%
Santa Clara to winPrice pays more than it should
Price 1.91+4.9% value2 units
Bold tip31%
Santa Clara to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 3.231 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Casa Pia vs Santa Clara is Santa Clara to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Santa Clara to win at 1.91.

Casa Pia recent form-3%Santa Clara recent form+4%Casa Pia league table-4%Santa Clara league table+4%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Shujaa expert view

Our read for Kenya
  1. 1

    Casa Pia sits at rank 17 with 4 points from 7 matches, and their recent form is down after losses to FC Porto, Moreirense, and Gil Vicente.

  2. 2

    Santa Clara sits higher at rank 4 with 15 points from 7 matches, showing strong recent form with wins against Arouca, Rio Ave, and FC Famalicao.

  3. 3

    Our model gives Casa Pia a 20 percent chance to win, a 27 percent chance for a draw, and a 52 percent chance for Santa Clara, with expected goals from 0.8 to 1.5.

  4. 4

    Our strongest tip is for Santa Clara to win at 55 in 100 with a 5 percent value, but remember that betting has risk.

Verdict. Based on the table standings and current form, Santa Clara holds the edge, but football results are never guaranteed.

Good to know: This is our opinion from the numbers, not a promise. Betting has risk, 18+.

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Casa PiaWLDLL
  • Wat Estoril2-1
  • Lv FC Porto1-4
  • Dat Vitória de Guimaraes0-0
  • Lv Moreirense0-1
  • Lat Gil Vicente0-2
Santa ClaraDWWDW
  • Dv Braga0-0
  • Wat Arouca2-1
  • Wv Rio Ave4-0
  • Dat Alverca1-1
  • Wv FC Famalicao1-0

In numbers, Casa Pia red and Santa Clara green

0.8Points per game1.7
0.6Goals scored per game1.4
1.7Goals conceded per game0.9
20%Clean sheets45%

Last meetings

  • Casa Pia0-0Santa Clara
  • Santa Clara1-0Casa Pia

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
Casa PiaSanta Clara
20Games played20
3Wins9
6Draws7
11Losses4
12Goals scored27
34Goals conceded19
0.6Scored per game1.4
1.7Conceded per game0.9
1W 4D 5LHome record6W 2D 2L
2W 2D 6LAway record3W 5D 2L
20%Clean sheets45%
40%Both teams scored45%
35%Over 2.5 goals40%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Primeira Liga
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
17. Casa Pia8116-1440.50
4. Santa Clara8530+8182.25

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Primeira Liga table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Casa Pia
  • Ivan Mandic
    Ivan MandicKeeper · G
    1 saves
Santa Clara
  • Lucas França
    Lucas FrançaKeeper · G
    2 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals69%1.44
Over 2.5 goals42%2.36
Over 3.5 goals22%4.63
Both teams to score46%2.19
Casa Pia or draw48%2.09
Santa Clara or draw80%1.26
Casa Pia win and over 2.510%10.24
Santa Clara win and over 2.528%3.56

Most likely scores

0-113.4%
1-112.8%
0-210.8%
0-010.0%
1-29.2%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Casa Pia to win23%4.20-2.8%
A Draw30%3.20-3.1%
Santa Clara to win55%1.91+4.9%
Over 2.5 goals39%2.35-8.6%
Under 2.5 goals64%1.50-3.8%
Casa Pia +0.551%1.80-8.4%
Santa Clara -0.553%1.80-5.1%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Casa Pia v Santa Clara

Our top pick is Santa Clara to win. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Casa Pia vs Santa Clara: Santa Clara are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Casa Pia 20%, the draw 27% and Santa Clara 52%. The bookmakers agree and make Santa Clara the favourite at 1.91.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Casa Pia took 4 points from their last 5 games and Santa Clara took 11 from 5. Santa Clara come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Casa Pia won 1 of their last 10 games at home. Santa Clara won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Casa Pia score 0.6 goals a game and let in 1.7. Santa Clara score 1.4 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Casa Pia games and 8 of Santa Clara games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Casa Pia won 0 and Santa Clara won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Casa Pia 0, Santa Clara 0.

  6. 6
    Where the value is

    Santa Clara to win is priced at 1.91. Our fair price is 1.82, so the bookmaker pays about 4.9% more than it should.

Casa Pia form

Casa Pia have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 12 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Santa Clara form

Santa Clara have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Casa Pia won 0, Santa Clara won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Casa Pia 0, Santa Clara 0.

Our call

We expect Casa Pia to score about 0.8 goals and Santa Clara about 1.5. That points to Santa Clara to win, with 0-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.50. Our value bet is Santa Clara to win at 1.91. Our bold bet is Santa Clara to win and Over 2.5 at 3.23.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?

Our prediction for Casa Pia vs Santa Clara is Santa Clara to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 0-1. Our best bet is Santa Clara to win at 1.91.

What is the score prediction for Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?

0-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 0-2. We expect Casa Pia to score 0.8 goals and Santa Clara 1.5.

Will both teams score in Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?

Both teams to score has a 46% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Casa Pia last 20 games and 9 of Santa Clara last 20.

How are Casa Pia playing?

Casa Pia have 3 wins, 6 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 12 goals scored and 34 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, L, L, newest first.

How are Santa Clara playing?

Santa Clara have 9 wins, 7 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Casa Pia and Santa Clara last met?

It ended Casa Pia 0, Santa Clara 0. In the last 2 meetings Casa Pia won 0 and Santa Clara won 1.

What is the best bet for Casa Pia vs Santa Clara?

Santa Clara to win at 1.91, with a 55% chance. That price pays about 4.9% more than our fair price.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Casa Pia against Santa Clara. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
  • Betting is not income. Never bet to pay rent, school fees or a loan, and never borrow to bet, including from mobile loan apps.
  • 18 and over only. Betting under 18 is illegal in Kenya.
  • Use licensed bookmakers. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya. Prices here can change before you bet, so check them first.
  • Gambling can be addictive. If it stops being fun, stop. Read our responsible betting page or visit Responsible Gaming Federation of Kenya.

Good to know: We are not a bookmaker and we do not take bets. Full details are in our disclaimer.