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Primeira LigaSun 11 Oct, 17:30 EATEstádio do Rio Ave

Rio Ave vs C.D. Nacional prediction

Rio AveHome40%to win
1.33 : 1.15expected goalsDraw 29%
C.D. NacionalAway31%to win
Shujaa safe tipC.D. Nacional +0.51.61

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip61%
C.D. Nacional +0.5Most likely to win
Price 1.611 unit
Bold tip34%
C.D. Nacional to winBigger price, loses more often
Price 3.20+9.1% value2 units

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Rio Ave vs C.D. Nacional is Rio Ave to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is C.D. Nacional +0.5 at 1.61.

Rio Ave recent form-3%Nacional recent form-7%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Rio AveLDLLW
  • Lat Alverca0-1
  • Dv Estrela3-3
  • Lat Santa Clara0-4
  • Lv Sporting CP0-4
  • Wat Estoril2-0
C.D. NacionalLLLLL
  • Lv FC Famalicao0-4
  • Lv Alverca1-3
  • Lat Sporting CP0-2
  • Lv Estrela2-3
  • Lat Vitória de Guimaraes0-1

In numbers, Rio Ave red and Nacional green

1.0Points per game0.8
0.9Goals scored per game0.8
1.6Goals conceded per game1.5
25%Clean sheets25%

Last meetings

  • C.D. Nacional4-0Rio Ave

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
Rio AveNacional
20Games played20
5Wins5
5Draws2
10Losses13
18Goals scored17
31Goals conceded30
0.9Scored per game0.8
1.6Conceded per game1.5
1W 4D 5LHome record4W 0D 7L
4W 1D 5LAway record1W 2D 6L
25%Clean sheets25%
40%Both teams scored30%
45%Over 2.5 goals35%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.40
Over 2.5 goals45%2.22
Over 3.5 goals24%4.20
Both teams to score51%1.96
Rio Ave or draw69%1.46
Nacional or draw60%1.67
Rio Ave win and over 2.522%4.49
Nacional win and over 2.517%5.88

Most likely scores

1-113.6%
1-010.4%
0-09.1%
0-18.9%
2-18.5%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Rio Ave to win39%2.20-15.0%
A Draw31%3.20-0.1%
C.D. Nacional to win34%3.20+9.1%
Over 2.5 goals45%2.00-9.7%
Under 2.5 goals57%1.69-3.9%
Rio Ave -0.541%2.10-14.3%
C.D. Nacional +0.561%1.61-2.4%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Rio Ave vs C.D. Nacional: Rio Ave shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Rio Ave 40%, the draw 29% and C.D. Nacional 31%. The bookmakers agree and make Rio Ave the favourite at 2.20.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Rio Ave took 4 points from their last 5 games and C.D. Nacional took 0 from 5. Rio Ave come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Rio Ave won 1 of their last 10 games at home. C.D. Nacional won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Rio Ave score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.6. C.D. Nacional score 0.8 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Rio Ave games and 7 of C.D. Nacional games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Rio Ave won 0 and C.D. Nacional won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended C.D. Nacional 4, Rio Ave 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    C.D. Nacional +0.5 has a 61% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Rio Ave form

Rio Ave have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

C.D. Nacional form

C.D. Nacional have 5 wins, 2 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Rio Ave won 0, C.D. Nacional won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished C.D. Nacional 4, Rio Ave 0.

Our call

We expect Rio Ave to score about 1.3 goals and C.D. Nacional about 1.1. That points to Rio Ave to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is C.D. Nacional +0.5 at 1.61. Our bold bet is C.D. Nacional to win at 3.20.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Rio Ave vs C.D. Nacional?

Our prediction for Rio Ave vs C.D. Nacional is Rio Ave to win, with a 40% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is C.D. Nacional +0.5 at 1.61.

What is the score prediction for Rio Ave vs C.D. Nacional?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Rio Ave to score 1.3 goals and C.D. Nacional 1.1.

Will both teams score in Rio Ave vs C.D. Nacional?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Rio Ave last 20 games and 6 of C.D. Nacional last 20.

How are Rio Ave playing?

Rio Ave have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, W, newest first.

How are C.D. Nacional playing?

C.D. Nacional have 5 wins, 2 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 6 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Rio Ave and C.D. Nacional last met?

It ended C.D. Nacional 4, Rio Ave 0. In the last 1 meeting Rio Ave won 0 and C.D. Nacional won 1.

What is the best bet for Rio Ave vs C.D. Nacional?

C.D. Nacional +0.5 at 1.61, with a 61% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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