MLBSat 26 Sept, 01:45 EATNationals Park

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals prediction

New York MetsAway58%to win
5.2 : 4.9projected runs
Washington NationalsHome42%to win
Shujaa safe tipUnder 12.5 runs1.42

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip70%
Under 12.5 runsMost likely to win
Fair 1.421 unit
Bold tip42%
Nationals to winBigger price, loses more often
Fair 2.361 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for New York Mets vs Washington Nationals is New York Mets to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Mets 5.2 and Washington Nationals 4.9. Our best bet is Under 12.5 runs at 1.42.

Nationals rest between games-2%Mets rest between games-5%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Washington NationalsWWWLL
  • Wv Los Angeles Angels6-5
  • Wv Los Angeles Angels6-5
  • Wv Los Angeles Angels4-3
  • Lat San Diego Padres2-9
  • Lat San Diego Padres4-5
New York MetsLLWLW
  • Lv Baltimore Orioles1-2
  • Lat New York Yankees0-2
  • Wat New York Yankees12-2
  • Lat New York Yankees4-6
  • Wat Miami Marlins15-14

In numbers, Nationals red and Mets green

45%Win rate50%
4.6Runs scored per game5.0
5.2Runs conceded per game4.8
69% homeHome and away60% away

Last meetings

  • New York Mets4-3Washington Nationals
  • New York Mets5-4Washington Nationals
  • New York Mets4-1Washington Nationals
  • Washington Nationals1-2New York Mets
  • Washington Nationals8-4New York Mets

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
NationalsMets
20Games played20
9Wins10
11Losses10
92Runs scored99
103Runs conceded95
4.6Scored per game5.0
5.2Conceded per game4.8
9W 4LHome record4W 6L
0W 7LAway record6W 4L

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Spread and total

Chance and fair price
Nationals -1.533%3.03
Nationals -0.542%2.38
Nationals +0.551%1.95
Nationals +1.561%1.65
Nationals +2.570%1.44
Over 8.5 runs64%1.56
Over 9.5 runs55%1.80
Over 10.5 runs46%2.16
Over 11.5 runs38%2.66
Over 12.5 runs29%3.41

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals: New York Mets shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Washington Nationals 42% and New York Mets 58%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Washington Nationals won 3 of their last 5 and New York Mets won 2 of their last 5. Washington Nationals come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Washington Nationals won 9 of their last 13 games at home. New York Mets won 6 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Washington Nationals score 4.6 runs a game and let in 5.2. New York Mets score 5.0 and let in 4.8. Their recent games average 9.8 and 9.7 runs in total.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Washington Nationals won 1 and New York Mets won 4. The last one ended New York Mets 4, Washington Nationals 3.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 12.5 runs has a 70% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Washington Nationals form

Washington Nationals have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 92 runs scored and 103 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 4 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

New York Mets form

New York Mets have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 99 runs scored and 95 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Washington Nationals won 1, New York Mets won 4. Last time out it finished New York Mets 4, Washington Nationals 3.

Our call

We expect New York Mets to score about 5.2 runs and Washington Nationals about 4.9. That points to New York Mets to win. Our safest bet is Under 12.5 runs at 1.42. Our bold bet is Nationals to win at 2.36.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win New York Mets vs Washington Nationals?

Our prediction for New York Mets vs Washington Nationals is New York Mets to win, with a 58% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Mets 5.2 and Washington Nationals 4.9. Our best bet is Under 12.5 runs at 1.42.

What is the projected score for New York Mets vs Washington Nationals?

We project New York Mets 5.2 and Washington Nationals 4.9, about 10.1 runs in total.

How are Washington Nationals playing?

Washington Nationals have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 92 runs scored and 103 conceded. At home they have 9 wins and 4 losses from 13. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are New York Mets playing?

New York Mets have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 99 runs scored and 95 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Washington Nationals and New York Mets last met?

It ended New York Mets 4, Washington Nationals 3. In the last 5 meetings Washington Nationals won 1 and New York Mets won 4.

What is the best bet for New York Mets vs Washington Nationals?

Under 12.5 runs at 1.42, with a 70% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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