Moreirense vs Maritimo: Moreirense shade it
- 1What our numbers say
The model gives Moreirense 37%, the draw 29% and Maritimo 33%. The bookmakers agree and make Moreirense the favourite at 2.45.
- 2Recent form
Moreirense took 4 points from their last 5 games and Maritimo took 7 from 5. Maritimo come in with the better run.
- 3Goals
Moreirense score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.8. Maritimo score 1.2 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Moreirense games and 4 of Maritimo games in that run.
- 4The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
The big picture
Moreirense host Maritimo in the Primeira Liga on Mon 14 Sept, 22:15 at Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. Our prediction for Moreirense vs Maritimo is Moreirense to win, with a 37% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28.
Moreirense form
Moreirense have 4 wins, 5 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, L, D, newest first.
Maritimo form
Maritimo have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 5 games, with 6 goals scored and 8 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss from 2. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, W, newest first.
Our call
We expect Moreirense to score about 1.2 goals and Maritimo about 1.1. That points to Moreirense to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.28. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.21.