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NFLSun 11 Oct, 20:00 EATCaesars Superdome

Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints prediction

Minnesota VikingsAway56%to win
22.4 : 21.1projected points
New Orleans SaintsHome44%to win
Shujaa value tipUnder 44.5 points1.95

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip75%
Under 51.5 pointsMost likely to win
Fair 1.341 unit
Value tip55%
Under 44.5 pointsPrice pays more than it should
Price 1.95+8.0% value2 units
Bold tip44%
Saints to winBigger price, loses more often
Price 2.201 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints is Minnesota Vikings to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Minnesota Vikings 22.4 and New Orleans Saints 21.1. Our best bet is Under 44.5 points at 1.95.

Nothing moved this number: form level, both sides rested

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
New Orleans SaintsLWLWL
  • Lv Las Vegas Raiders27-35
  • Wat Baltimore Ravens24-17
  • Lat Detroit Lions30-31
  • Wat Dallas Cowboys27-24
  • Lat Los Angeles Rams0-34
Minnesota VikingsWWWLL
  • Wat Tampa Bay Buccaneers23-16
  • Wat Chicago Bears9-3
  • Wv Green Bay Packers39-22
  • Lat Denver Broncos6-34
  • Lv Baltimore Ravens3-13

In numbers, Saints red and Vikings green

40%Win rate55%
19.4Points scored per game17.8
22.9Points conceded per game18.8
38% homeHome and away58% away

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
SaintsVikings
20Games played20
8Wins11
12Losses9
387Points scored356
458Points conceded375
19.4Scored per game17.8
22.9Conceded per game18.8
3W 5LHome record4W 4L
5W 7LAway record7W 5L

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Spread and total

Chance and fair price
Saints -5.531%3.25
Saints -1.542%2.39
Saints +1.551%1.98
Saints +4.559%1.68
Saints +8.570%1.42
Over 36.5 points70%1.42
Over 40.5 points59%1.70
Over 43.5 points50%2.01
Over 46.5 points41%2.46
Over 50.5 points29%3.40

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Saints to win44%2.20-4.2%
Vikings to win58%1.70-0.3%
Saints +2.556%1.91+6.5%
Vikings -2.546%1.91-11.7%
Over 44.5 points47%1.87-12.7%
Under 44.5 points55%1.95+8.0%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints: Minnesota Vikings shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives New Orleans Saints 44% and Minnesota Vikings 56%. The bookmakers agree and make Minnesota Vikings the favourite at 1.70.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    New Orleans Saints won 2 of their last 5 and Minnesota Vikings won 3 of their last 5. Minnesota Vikings come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    New Orleans Saints won 3 of their last 8 games at home. Minnesota Vikings won 7 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    New Orleans Saints score 19.4 points a game and let in 22.9. Minnesota Vikings score 17.8 and let in 18.8. Their recent games average 42.3 and 36.5 points in total, and the market line is 44.5.

  5. 5
    Where the value is

    Under 44.5 points is priced at 1.95. Our fair price is 1.81, so the bookmaker pays about 8.0% more than it should.

New Orleans Saints form

New Orleans Saints have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 387 points scored and 458 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Minnesota Vikings form

Minnesota Vikings have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 356 points scored and 375 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Minnesota Vikings to score about 22.4 points and New Orleans Saints about 21.1. That points to Minnesota Vikings to win. Our safest bet is Under 51.5 points at 1.34. Our value bet is Under 44.5 points at 1.95. Our bold bet is Saints to win at 2.20.

News on these teams

All news
NFL

Saints Left Confused by Fumble Ruling in Loss to Raiders

NFL

Kyler Murray Declares Himself Ready for Vikings Return After Concussion

NFL

Will Kyler Murray's Return Spark the Vikings Passing Attack?

NFL

Saints Blow as Kelvin Banks Jr. Carted Off With Ankle Injury

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints?

Our prediction for Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints is Minnesota Vikings to win, with a 56% chance, but it is a close call. We project Minnesota Vikings 22.4 and New Orleans Saints 21.1. Our best bet is Under 44.5 points at 1.95.

What is the projected score for Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints?

We project Minnesota Vikings 22.4 and New Orleans Saints 21.1, about 43.5 points in total.

How are New Orleans Saints playing?

New Orleans Saints have 8 wins and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 387 points scored and 458 conceded. At home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, L, newest first.

How are Minnesota Vikings playing?

Minnesota Vikings have 11 wins and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 356 points scored and 375 conceded. Away from home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints?

Under 44.5 points at 1.95, with a 55% chance. That price pays about 8.0% more than our fair price.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Saints against Vikings. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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