Our tips
Locked two hours before kick offSafe tip76%
Over 1.5 goalsMost likely to winFair 1.312 units
Bold tip33%
Millwall to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more oftenFair 3.041 unit
Shujaa verdict
From results, prices, form and restOur prediction for Millwall vs Derby County is Millwall to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.
Millwall recent form-1%Derby recent form-3%Millwall rest between games-3%Derby rest between games-3%Millwall league table+2%Derby league table-2%
Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works
Team records
Last 20 games, all competitions
MillwallDerby
20Games played20
8Wins7
6Draws2
6Losses11
28Goals scored23
24Goals conceded29
1.4Scored per game1.1
1.2Conceded per game1.4
4W 1D 4LHome record4W 1D 5L
4W 5D 2LAway record3W 1D 6L
40%Clean sheets25%
45%Both teams scored55%
50%Over 2.5 goals60%
Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.
League table
ChampionshipGood to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Championship table
Key players
Top of each side this seasonGood to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.
Goals and markets
Chance and fair priceBoth teams to score56%1.78
Millwall win and over 2.530%3.33
Derby win and over 2.516%6.21
Most likely scores
1-112.3%
2-19.4%
1-09.3%
2-08.1%
0-06.8%
Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.
Where to bet on Millwall v Derby
Our top pick is Over 1.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.
Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.
Match preview
Millwall vs Derby County: Millwall are favourites- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives Millwall 47%, the draw 26% and Derby County 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
- 2
Recent formMillwall took 5 points from their last 5 games and Derby County took 4 from 5. Millwall come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayMillwall won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Derby County won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
- 4
GoalsMillwall score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.2. Derby County score 1.1 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Millwall games and 12 of Derby County games in that run.
- 5
Head to headIn the last 2 meetings, Millwall won 1 and Derby County won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Millwall 1, Derby County 0.
- 6
The safest betOver 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
Millwall form
Millwall have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, W, newest first.
Derby County form
Derby County have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.
Head to head
These two have met 2 times in our records. Millwall won 1, Derby County won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Millwall 1, Derby County 0.
Our call
We expect Millwall to score about 1.6 goals and Derby County about 1.2. That points to Millwall to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Millwall to win and Over 2.5 at 3.04.
Questions people in Kenya ask
Who will win Millwall vs Derby County?
Our prediction for Millwall vs Derby County is Millwall to win, with a 47% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.31.
What is the score prediction for Millwall vs Derby County?
1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Millwall to score 1.6 goals and Derby County 1.2.
Will both teams score in Millwall vs Derby County?
Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Millwall last 20 games and 11 of Derby County last 20.
How are Millwall playing?
Millwall have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 28 goals scored and 24 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, L, W, newest first.
How are Derby County playing?
Derby County have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.
What happened when Millwall and Derby County last met?
It ended Millwall 1, Derby County 0. In the last 2 meetings Millwall won 1 and Derby County won 0.
What is the best bet for Millwall vs Derby County?
Over 1.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.
Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.
18+Read this before you bet
- There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Millwall against Derby. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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