Premier LeagueSat 17 Oct, 14:30 EATHill Dickinson Stadium

Everton vs Chelsea prediction

EvertonHome37%to win
1.49 : 1.50expected goalsDraw 26%
ChelseaAway38%to win
Shujaa safe tipEverton +0.51.57

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip63%
Everton +0.5Most likely to win
Price 1.571 unit
Bold tip29%
A DrawBigger price, loses more often
Price 3.75+7.1% value2 units

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Everton vs Chelsea is Chelsea to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Everton +0.5 at 1.57.

Everton recent form+3%Everton rest between games-3%Chelsea rest between games-3%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Shujaa expert view

Our read for Kenya
  1. 1

    Everton and Chelsea meet in the Premier League with both teams sitting close together in the table. Each side has earned ten points from six matches so far.

  2. 2

    Our model gives Everton a thirty seven percent chance to win and Chelsea a thirty eight percent chance to win. The expected goals are level at one point five each.

  3. 3

    Everton recently beat Ipswich Town and Wolverhampton Wanderers while drawing with Tottenham Hotspur, Manchester United, and AFC Bournemouth. Chelsea had mixed results including a defeat against Brentford and a win against Brighton.

  4. 4

    Our strongest tip is Everton plus zero point five at sixty three in one hundred. Recent form for Everton moved the numbers, while both teams had less rest between matches.

Verdict. Remember that betting has risk, and our model simply shows Chelsea with a very slight edge in a match that could easily go either way.

Good to know: This is our opinion from the numbers, not a promise. Betting has risk, 18+.

Form and head to head

Newest game first
EvertonWWDDD
  • Wv Ipswich Town1-0
  • Wv Wolverhampton Wanderers1-0
  • Dat Tottenham Hotspur0-0
  • Dv Manchester United2-2
  • Dat AFC Bournemouth1-1
ChelseaLDWLW
  • Lat Brentford0-3
  • Dv Hull City2-2
  • Wv Leeds United6-3
  • Lat Arsenal1-2
  • Wv Brighton & Hove Albion4-3

In numbers, Everton red and Chelsea green

1.4Points per game1.1
1.5Goals scored per game1.6
1.3Goals conceded per game1.9
35%Clean sheets15%

Last meetings

  • Everton3-0Chelsea
  • Chelsea2-0Everton

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
EvertonChelsea
20Games played20
7Wins7
6Draws2
7Losses11
30Goals scored31
25Goals conceded37
1.5Scored per game1.6
1.3Conceded per game1.9
5W 2D 4LHome record6W 1D 6L
2W 4D 3LAway record1W 1D 5L
35%Clean sheets15%
50%Both teams scored45%
55%Over 2.5 goals70%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Premier League
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
11. Everton8242-1101.25
5. Chelsea8413+2131.63

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Premier League table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Everton
  • Jordan Pickford
    Jordan PickfordKeeper · G
    4 saves
Chelsea
  • Emiliano Martínez
    Emiliano MartínezKeeper · G
    4 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.24
Over 2.5 goals57%1.74
Over 3.5 goals35%2.85
Both teams to score61%1.64
Everton or draw62%1.60
Chelsea or draw63%1.58
Everton win and over 2.524%4.09
Chelsea win and over 2.525%4.01

Most likely scores

1-111.9%
1-28.4%
2-18.4%
0-16.9%
1-06.8%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Everton to win37%2.75+2.4%
A Draw29%3.75+7.1%
Chelsea to win38%2.30-13.5%
Over 2.5 goals62%1.61-0.6%
Under 2.5 goals41%2.20-9.5%
Everton +0.563%1.57-0.5%
Chelsea -0.539%2.15-15.4%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Everton v Chelsea

Our top pick is Everton +0.5. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

Everton vs Chelsea: Chelsea shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Everton 37%, the draw 26% and Chelsea 38%. The bookmakers agree and make Chelsea the favourite at 2.30.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Everton took 9 points from their last 5 games and Chelsea took 7 from 5. Everton come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Everton won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Chelsea won 1 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Everton score 1.5 goals a game and let in 1.3. Chelsea score 1.6 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Everton games and 14 of Chelsea games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Everton won 1 and Chelsea won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Everton 3, Chelsea 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Everton +0.5 has a 63% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Everton form

Everton have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, D, newest first.

Chelsea form

Chelsea have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Everton won 1, Chelsea won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Everton 3, Chelsea 0.

Our call

We expect Everton to score about 1.5 goals and Chelsea about 1.5. That points to Chelsea to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Everton +0.5 at 1.57. Our bold bet is A Draw at 3.75.

News on these teams

All news

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Everton vs Chelsea?

Our prediction for Everton vs Chelsea is Chelsea to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Everton +0.5 at 1.57.

What is the score prediction for Everton vs Chelsea?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 2-1. We expect Everton to score 1.5 goals and Chelsea 1.5.

Will both teams score in Everton vs Chelsea?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of Everton last 20 games and 9 of Chelsea last 20.

How are Everton playing?

Everton have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 30 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, W, D, D, D, newest first.

How are Chelsea playing?

Chelsea have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Everton and Chelsea last met?

It ended Everton 3, Chelsea 0. In the last 2 meetings Everton won 1 and Chelsea won 1.

What is the best bet for Everton vs Chelsea?

Everton +0.5 at 1.57, with a 63% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Everton against Chelsea. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
  • Betting is not income. Never bet to pay rent, school fees or a loan, and never borrow to bet, including from mobile loan apps.
  • 18 and over only. Betting under 18 is illegal in Kenya.
  • Use licensed bookmakers. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya. Prices here can change before you bet, so check them first.
  • Gambling can be addictive. If it stops being fun, stop. Read our responsible betting page or visit Responsible Gaming Federation of Kenya.

Good to know: We are not a bookmaker and we do not take bets. Full details are in our disclaimer.