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ChampionshipSat 10 Oct, 17:00 EATPride Park

Derby County vs Wrexham prediction

Derby CountyHome35%to win
1.25 : 1.27expected goalsDraw 28%
WrexhamAway36%to win
Shujaa safe tipUnder 3.5 goals1.32

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip76%
Under 3.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.322 units
Bold tip31%
A DrawBigger price, loses more often
Price 3.30+3.0% value1 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Derby County vs Wrexham is Wrexham to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

Derby recent form-3%Wrexham recent form+1%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Derby CountyDLLLW
  • Dat Burnley1-1
  • Lv Birmingham City1-2
  • Lv West Bromwich Albion0-1
  • Lat West Ham United0-3
  • Wat Portsmouth2-0
WrexhamWLDDW
  • Wv Southampton2-1
  • Lat West Ham United0-6
  • Dv Burnley1-1
  • Dat Swansea City0-0
  • Wat Millwall3-0

In numbers, Derby red and Wrexham green

1.1Points per game1.2
1.1Goals scored per game1.2
1.4Goals conceded per game1.6
25%Clean sheets25%

Last meetings

  • Derby County1-2Wrexham
  • Wrexham1-1Derby County

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
DerbyWrexham
20Games played20
7Wins6
2Draws6
11Losses8
23Goals scored24
29Goals conceded33
1.1Scored per game1.2
1.4Conceded per game1.6
4W 1D 5LHome record3W 3D 3L
3W 1D 6LAway record3W 3D 5L
25%Clean sheets25%
55%Both teams scored60%
60%Over 2.5 goals55%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.38
Over 2.5 goals46%2.17
Over 3.5 goals25%4.05
Both teams to score52%1.92
Derby or draw64%1.57
Wrexham or draw65%1.54
Derby win and over 2.520%5.08
Wrexham win and over 2.520%4.90

Most likely scores

1-113.5%
0-19.5%
1-09.3%
0-08.8%
1-28.1%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Derby County to win36%2.60-6.3%
A Draw31%3.30+3.0%
Wrexham to win37%2.60-4.8%
Over 2.5 goals46%1.95-10.9%
Under 2.5 goals53%1.74-7.4%
Derby County +0.564%1.47-6.3%
Wrexham -0.537%2.35-12.4%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Derby County vs Wrexham: Wrexham shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Derby County 35%, the draw 28% and Wrexham 36%. The bookmakers see it the other way and make Derby County the favourite at 2.60, so take care with this one.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Derby County took 4 points from their last 5 games and Wrexham took 8 from 5. Wrexham come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Derby County won 4 of their last 10 games at home. Wrexham won 3 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Derby County score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.4. Wrexham score 1.2 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Derby County games and 11 of Wrexham games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Derby County won 0 and Wrexham won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Derby County 1, Wrexham 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Derby County form

Derby County have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Wrexham form

Wrexham have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Derby County won 0, Wrexham won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Derby County 1, Wrexham 2.

Our call

We expect Derby County to score about 1.3 goals and Wrexham about 1.3. That points to Wrexham to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32. Our bold bet is A Draw at 3.30.

News on these teams

All news
Championship

Parkinson Praises Wrexham Fans After Gritty Win Over Southampton

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Derby County vs Wrexham?

Our prediction for Derby County vs Wrexham is Wrexham to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Derby County vs Wrexham?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-1 and 1-0. We expect Derby County to score 1.3 goals and Wrexham 1.3.

Will both teams score in Derby County vs Wrexham?

Both teams to score has a 52% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Derby County last 20 games and 12 of Wrexham last 20.

How are Derby County playing?

Derby County have 7 wins, 2 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, W, newest first.

How are Wrexham playing?

Wrexham have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Derby County and Wrexham last met?

It ended Derby County 1, Wrexham 2. In the last 2 meetings Derby County won 0 and Wrexham won 1.

What is the best bet for Derby County vs Wrexham?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

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