Our tips
Locked two hours before kick offSafe tip63%
Under 3.5 goalsMost likely to winPrice 1.63+2.1% value1 unit
Bold tip28%
A DrawBigger price, loses more oftenPrice 3.75+3.3% value1 unit
Shujaa verdict
From results, prices, form and restOur prediction for Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United is Atlético Madrid to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.63.
Atlético recent form+1%Man United recent form-1%Man United team news-1%Atlético league table-5%Man United league table+5%
Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works
Shujaa expert view
Our read for Kenya- 1
Atletico Madrid and Manchester United face each other in the Champions League. Atletico Madrid sits at rank 25 with no points, while Manchester United is at rank 4 with 3 points.
- 2
Recent form shows Atletico Madrid is going up after wins against Real Madrid, Osasuna, and Real Sociedad. Manchester United form is down following mixed results against Fulham, Brighton, and Manchester City.
- 3
Our model gives Atletico Madrid a win chance of 46 in 100, a draw at 25 in 100, and Manchester United 29 in 100. Expected goals stand at 1.7 to 1.4.
- 4
The strongest tip points to under 3.5 goals at 63 in 100, offering a small value of 2 percent. Remember that betting has risks and no outcome is guaranteed.
Verdict. Our lean is that Atletico Madrid holds a slight edge based on recent form, but betting carries risk.
Good to know: This is our opinion from the numbers, not a promise. Betting has risk, 18+.
Team records
Last 20 games, all competitions
AtléticoMan United
20Games played20
10Wins10
2Draws5
8Losses5
33Goals scored37
27Goals conceded25
1.6Scored per game1.9
1.4Conceded per game1.3
5W 2D 2LHome record7W 0D 3L
5W 0D 6LAway record3W 5D 2L
30%Clean sheets25%
55%Both teams scored65%
65%Over 2.5 goals65%
Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.
Key players
Top of each side this seasonGood to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.
Goals and markets
Chance and fair priceBoth teams to score62%1.62
Man United or draw54%1.85
Atlético win and over 2.532%3.14
Man United win and over 2.520%5.09
Most likely scores
1-111.3%
2-19.3%
1-07.3%
1-27.2%
2-06.9%
Price check
Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.
Where to bet on Atlético v Man United
Our top pick is Under 3.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.
Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.
Match preview
Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United: Atlético Madrid are favourites- 1
What our numbers sayThe model gives Atlético Madrid 46%, the draw 25% and Manchester United 29%. The bookmakers agree and make Atlético Madrid the favourite at 2.20.
- 2
Recent formAtlético Madrid took 9 points from their last 5 games and Manchester United took 5 from 5. Atlético Madrid come in with the better run.
- 3
Home and awayAtlético Madrid won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Manchester United won 3 of their last 10 on the road.
- 4
GoalsAtlético Madrid score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Manchester United score 1.9 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Atlético Madrid games and 13 of Manchester United games in that run.
- 5
The safest betUnder 3.5 goals has a 63% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.
Atlético Madrid form
Atlético Madrid have 10 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.
Manchester United form
Manchester United have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, D, newest first.
Our call
We expect Atlético Madrid to score about 1.7 goals and Manchester United about 1.4. That points to Atlético Madrid to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.63. Our bold bet is A Draw at 3.75.
Questions people in Kenya ask
Who will win Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United?
Our prediction for Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United is Atlético Madrid to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.63.
What is the score prediction for Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United?
1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Atlético Madrid to score 1.7 goals and Manchester United 1.4.
Will both teams score in Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United?
Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Atlético Madrid last 20 games and 13 of Manchester United last 20.
How are Atlético Madrid playing?
Atlético Madrid have 10 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.
How are Manchester United playing?
Manchester United have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, D, newest first.
What is the best bet for Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United?
Under 3.5 goals at 1.63, with a 63% chance. That price pays about 2.1% more than our fair price.
Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.
18+Read this before you bet
- There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Atlético against Man United. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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