Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct, 22:00 EATRiyadh Air Metropolitano

Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United prediction

Atlético MadridHome46%to win
1.74 : 1.36expected goalsDraw 25%
Manchester UnitedAway29%to win
Shujaa safe tipUnder 3.5 goals1.63

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip63%
Under 3.5 goalsMost likely to win
Price 1.63+2.1% value1 unit
Bold tip28%
A DrawBigger price, loses more often
Price 3.75+3.4% value1 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United is Atlético Madrid to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.63.

Atlético recent form+1%Man United recent form-1%Atlético league table-5%Man United league table+5%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Atlético MadridWWWLL
  • Wv Real Madrid2-1
  • Wv Osasuna4-0
  • Wat Real Sociedad3-0
  • Lat Liverpool1-2
  • Lat Athletic Club0-3
Manchester UnitedDLLWD
  • Dat Fulham1-1
  • Lv Brighton & Hove Albion2-3
  • Lv Manchester City0-1
  • Wv Sabah FK4-0
  • Dat Everton2-2

In numbers, Atlético red and Man United green

1.6Points per game1.8
1.6Goals scored per game1.9
1.4Goals conceded per game1.3
30%Clean sheets25%

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
AtléticoMan United
20Games played20
10Wins10
2Draws5
8Losses5
33Goals scored37
27Goals conceded25
1.6Scored per game1.9
1.4Conceded per game1.3
5W 2D 2LHome record7W 0D 3L
5W 0D 6LAway record3W 5D 2L
30%Clean sheets25%
55%Both teams scored65%
65%Over 2.5 goals65%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Champions League
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
25. Atlético Madrid1001-100.00
4. Manchester United1100+433.00

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Champions League table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Atlético Madrid
  • Marcos Llorente
    Marcos LlorenteTop scorer · M
    1 goals
  • Julián Álvarez
    Julián ÁlvarezMost assists · F
    1 assists
  • Jan Oblak
    Jan OblakKeeper · G
    3 saves
Manchester United
  • Matheus Cunha
    Matheus CunhaTop scorer · F
    1 goals
  • Patrick Dorgu
    Patrick DorguMost assists · D
    1 assists

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals60%1.67
Over 3.5 goals37%2.68
Both teams to score62%1.62
Atlético or draw71%1.42
Man United or draw54%1.84
Atlético win and over 2.532%3.15
Man United win and over 2.520%5.05

Most likely scores

1-111.3%
2-19.3%
1-27.3%
1-07.2%
2-06.8%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Atlético Madrid to win46%2.20+1.1%
A Draw28%3.75+3.4%
Manchester United to win32%2.85-7.5%
Over 3.5 goals40%2.15-14.4%
Under 3.5 goals63%1.63+2.1%
Atlético Madrid -0.544%2.10-8.5%
Manchester United +0.560%1.61-3.6%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United: Atlético Madrid are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Atlético Madrid 46%, the draw 25% and Manchester United 29%. The bookmakers agree and make Atlético Madrid the favourite at 2.20.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Atlético Madrid took 9 points from their last 5 games and Manchester United took 5 from 5. Atlético Madrid come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Atlético Madrid won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Manchester United won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Atlético Madrid score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Manchester United score 1.9 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Atlético Madrid games and 13 of Manchester United games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 63% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Atlético Madrid form

Atlético Madrid have 10 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Manchester United form

Manchester United have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Atlético Madrid to score about 1.7 goals and Manchester United about 1.4. That points to Atlético Madrid to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.63. Our bold bet is A Draw at 3.75.

News on these teams

All news

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United?

Our prediction for Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United is Atlético Madrid to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.63.

What is the score prediction for Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Atlético Madrid to score 1.7 goals and Manchester United 1.4.

Will both teams score in Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United?

Both teams to score has a 62% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Atlético Madrid last 20 games and 13 of Manchester United last 20.

How are Atlético Madrid playing?

Atlético Madrid have 10 wins, 2 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 33 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Manchester United playing?

Manchester United have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.63, with a 63% chance. That price pays about 2.1% more than our fair price.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Atlético against Man United. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
  • Betting is not income. Never bet to pay rent, school fees or a loan, and never borrow to bet, including from mobile loan apps.
  • 18 and over only. Betting under 18 is illegal in Kenya.
  • Use licensed bookmakers. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya. Prices here can change before you bet, so check them first.
  • Gambling can be addictive. If it stops being fun, stop. Read our responsible betting page or visit Responsible Gaming Federation of Kenya.

Good to know: We are not a bookmaker and we do not take bets. Full details are in our disclaimer.