LaLigaTue 15 Sept, 21:00 EATMendizorrotza

Alavés vs Valencia prediction

AlavésHome52%to win
1.58 : 0.92expected goalsDraw 27%
ValenciaAway21%to win
Shujaa safe tipAlavés or Draw1.27

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip79%
Alavés or DrawMost likely to win
Fair 1.272 units
Bold tip30%
Alavés to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 3.381 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Alavés vs Valencia is Alavés to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Alavés or Draw at 1.27.

Alavés recent form+3%Valencia recent form-6%Alavés rest between games-5%Valencia rest between games-2%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
AlavésLWWDW
  • Lat Racing Santander1-2
  • Wv Osasuna5-2
  • Wv Villarreal1-0
  • Dat Rayo Vallecano1-1
  • Wv Getafe3-0
ValenciaLLLLD
  • Lat Sevilla0-1
  • Lv Barcelona0-5
  • Lat Deportivo1-3
  • Lv Real Betis0-1
  • Dv Celta Vigo0-0

In numbers, Alavés red and Valencia green

1.4Points per game1.4
1.8Goals scored per game1.2
1.6Goals conceded per game1.4
20%Clean sheets25%

Last meetings

  • Valencia3-2Alavés
  • Alavés0-0Valencia

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
AlavésValencia
20Games played20
7Wins8
7Draws3
6Losses9
35Goals scored24
32Goals conceded28
1.8Scored per game1.2
1.6Conceded per game1.4
5W 3D 2LHome record4W 2D 4L
2W 4D 4LAway record4W 1D 5L
20%Clean sheets25%
75%Both teams scored45%
60%Over 2.5 goals40%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.39
Over 2.5 goals45%2.20
Over 3.5 goals24%4.14
Both teams to score48%2.07
Alavés or draw79%1.27
Valencia or draw48%2.09
Alavés win and over 2.530%3.38
Valencia win and over 2.511%9.20

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
1-012.3%
2-010.3%
2-19.4%
0-09.0%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Alavés to win52%1.91-0.5%
A Draw27%3.25-13.2%
Valencia to win21%4.70-0.4%
Over 2.5 goals43%2.25-2.8%
Under 2.5 goals57%1.65-6.6%
Alavés -0.551%1.83-6.5%
Valencia +0.549%1.87-8.3%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Alavés vs Valencia: Alavés are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Alavés 52%, the draw 27% and Valencia 21%. The bookmakers agree and make Alavés the favourite at 1.91.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Alavés took 10 points from their last 5 games and Valencia took 1 from 5. Alavés come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Alavés won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Valencia won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Alavés score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.6. Valencia score 1.2 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Alavés games and 8 of Valencia games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Alavés won 0 and Valencia won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Valencia 3, Alavés 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Alavés or Draw has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Alavés form

Alavés have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, W, newest first.

Valencia form

Valencia have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Alavés won 0, Valencia won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Valencia 3, Alavés 2.

Our call

We expect Alavés to score about 1.6 goals and Valencia about 0.9. That points to Alavés to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Alavés or Draw at 1.27. Our bold bet is Alavés to win and Over 2.5 at 3.38.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Alavés vs Valencia?

Our prediction for Alavés vs Valencia is Alavés to win, with a 52% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Alavés or Draw at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Alavés vs Valencia?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-0. We expect Alavés to score 1.6 goals and Valencia 0.9.

Will both teams score in Alavés vs Valencia?

Both teams to score has a 48% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Alavés last 20 games and 9 of Valencia last 20.

How are Alavés playing?

Alavés have 7 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Valencia playing?

Valencia have 8 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, D, newest first.

What happened when Alavés and Valencia last met?

It ended Valencia 3, Alavés 2. In the last 2 meetings Alavés won 0 and Valencia won 1.

What is the best bet for Alavés vs Valencia?

Alavés or Draw at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Alavés against Valencia. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
  • Betting is not income. Never bet to pay rent, school fees or a loan, and never borrow to bet, including from mobile loan apps.
  • 18 and over only. Betting under 18 is illegal in Kenya.
  • Use licensed bookmakers. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya. Prices here can change before you bet, so check them first.
  • Gambling can be addictive. If it stops being fun, stop. Read our responsible betting page or visit Responsible Gaming Federation of Kenya.

Good to know: We are not a bookmaker and we do not take bets. Full details are in our disclaimer.