Europa LeagueThu 22 Oct, 22:00 EATVitality Stadium

AFC Bournemouth vs AC Milan prediction

AFC BournemouthHome36%to win
1.24 : 1.20expected goalsDraw 29%
AC MilanAway35%to win
Shujaa safe tipUnder 3.5 goals1.31

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip76%
Under 3.5 goalsMost likely to win
Fair 1.312 units
Bold tip14%
Correct score 1-1Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 7.261 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for AFC Bournemouth vs AC Milan is AFC Bournemouth to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

Bournemouth recent form+1%Milan recent form+1%Bournemouth league table+5%Milan league table-5%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
AFC BournemouthLWDWD
  • Lv Liverpool0-1
  • Wat Real Sociedad2-1
  • Dv Brentford2-2
  • Wv Lincoln City4-0
  • Dat Newcastle United2-2
AC MilanWLDDW
  • Wv Lecce3-0
  • Lv Benfica0-2
  • Dat Lazio2-2
  • Dat Juventus1-1
  • Wv Venezia2-0

In numbers, Bournemouth red and Milan green

1.6Points per game1.4
1.4Goals scored per game1.1
0.9Goals conceded per game1.1
30%Clean sheets30%

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
BournemouthMilan
20Games played20
7Wins8
11Draws4
2Losses8
29Goals scored23
19Goals conceded23
1.4Scored per game1.1
0.9Conceded per game1.1
2W 7D 1LHome record4W 2D 5L
5W 4D 1LAway record4W 2D 3L
30%Clean sheets30%
65%Both teams scored40%
55%Over 2.5 goals40%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Europa League
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
10. AFC Bournemouth1100+133.00
29. AC Milan1001-200.00

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Europa League table

Key players

Top of each side this season
AFC Bournemouth
  • Justin Kluivert
    Justin KluivertTop scorer · F
    1 goals
  • Alex Scott
    Alex ScottMost assists · M
    1 assists
  • Djordje Petrovic
    Djordje PetrovicKeeper · G
    4 saves
AC Milan
  • Mike Maignan
    Mike MaignanKeeper · G
    2 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals71%1.42
Over 2.5 goals44%2.28
Over 3.5 goals23%4.38
Both teams to score50%1.99
Bournemouth or draw65%1.53
Milan or draw64%1.57
Bournemouth win and over 2.520%5.08
Milan win and over 2.519%5.40

Most likely scores

1-113.8%
1-010.1%
0-19.7%
0-09.6%
2-18.0%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Where to bet on Bournemouth v Milan

Our top pick is Under 3.5 goals. Compare the price at a licensed Kenyan bookmaker before you stake.

Good to know: Odds and offers change, so check them on the bookmaker site. 18+. Only bet with operators licensed by the Gambling Regulatory Authority of Kenya, and never stake money you cannot afford to lose. There are no sure bets.

Match preview

AFC Bournemouth vs AC Milan: AFC Bournemouth shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives AFC Bournemouth 36%, the draw 29% and AC Milan 35%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    AFC Bournemouth took 8 points from their last 5 games and AC Milan took 8 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    AFC Bournemouth won 2 of their last 10 games at home. AC Milan won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    AFC Bournemouth score 1.4 goals a game and let in 0.9. AC Milan score 1.1 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of AFC Bournemouth games and 8 of AC Milan games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

AFC Bournemouth form

AFC Bournemouth have 7 wins, 11 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 7 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, D, newest first.

AC Milan form

AC Milan have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect AFC Bournemouth to score about 1.2 goals and AC Milan about 1.2. That points to AFC Bournemouth to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.26.

News on these teams

All news

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win AFC Bournemouth vs AC Milan?

Our prediction for AFC Bournemouth vs AC Milan is AFC Bournemouth to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for AFC Bournemouth vs AC Milan?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-1. We expect AFC Bournemouth to score 1.2 goals and AC Milan 1.2.

Will both teams score in AFC Bournemouth vs AC Milan?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of AFC Bournemouth last 20 games and 8 of AC Milan last 20.

How are AFC Bournemouth playing?

AFC Bournemouth have 7 wins, 11 draws and 2 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 19 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 7 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, W, D, newest first.

How are AC Milan playing?

AC Milan have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, D, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for AFC Bournemouth vs AC Milan?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Bournemouth against Milan. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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