MLBSun 4 Oct, 01:30 EATTropicana Field

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays prediction

New York YankeesAway43%to win
3.4 : 3.8projected runs
Tampa Bay RaysHome57%to win
Shujaa value tipOver 7 runs1.96

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip64%
Yankees +1.5Most likely to win
Price 1.491 unit
Value tip54%
Over 7 runsPrice pays more than it should
Price 1.96+5.7% value2 units
Bold tip38%
Rays -1.5Bigger price, loses more often
Price 2.67+1.9% value1 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays is Tampa Bay Rays to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Yankees 3.4 and Tampa Bay Rays 3.8. Our best bet is Over 7 runs at 1.96.

Yankees rest between games-5%Yankees team news-1%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
Tampa Bay RaysLWWLL
  • Lat Philadelphia Phillies3-7
  • Wat Philadelphia Phillies12-1
  • Wat Philadelphia Phillies2-0
  • Lat New York Yankees4-6
  • Lat New York Yankees2-9
New York YankeesWWWLW
  • Wv Boston Red Sox9-2
  • Wv Boston Red Sox9-0
  • Wv Baltimore Orioles6-3
  • Lv Baltimore Orioles2-10
  • Wv Tampa Bay Rays6-4

In numbers, Rays red and Yankees green

65%Win rate70%
4.8Runs scored per game5.5
2.9Runs conceded per game3.7
89% homeHome and away50% away

Last meetings

  • New York Yankees6-4Tampa Bay Rays
  • New York Yankees9-2Tampa Bay Rays
  • New York Yankees1-6Tampa Bay Rays
  • New York Yankees2-0Tampa Bay Rays
  • Tampa Bay Rays4-12New York Yankees

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
RaysYankees
20Games played20
13Wins14
7Losses6
95Runs scored111
58Runs conceded74
4.8Scored per game5.5
2.9Conceded per game3.7
8W 1LHome record11W 3L
5W 6LAway record3W 3L

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Spread and total

Chance and fair price
Rays -2.530%3.29
Rays -1.539%2.55
Rays -0.549%2.06
Rays +0.558%1.72
Rays +1.567%1.49
Over 5.5 runs65%1.53
Over 6.5 runs56%1.77
Over 7.5 runs47%2.11
Over 8.5 runs39%2.59
Over 9.5 runs30%3.31

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Rays to win57%1.75-0.7%
Yankees to win45%2.10-4.7%
Rays -1.538%2.67+1.9%
Yankees +1.564%1.49-4.5%
Over 7 runs54%1.96+5.7%
Under 7 runs48%1.87-10.0%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays: Tampa Bay Rays shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tampa Bay Rays 57% and New York Yankees 43%. The bookmakers agree and make Tampa Bay Rays the favourite at 1.75.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tampa Bay Rays won 2 of their last 5 and New York Yankees won 4 of their last 5. New York Yankees come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tampa Bay Rays won 8 of their last 9 games at home. New York Yankees won 3 of their last 6 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Tampa Bay Rays score 4.8 runs a game and let in 2.9. New York Yankees score 5.5 and let in 3.7. Their recent games average 7.7 and 9.3 runs in total, and the market line is 7.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Tampa Bay Rays won 1 and New York Yankees won 4. The last one ended New York Yankees 6, Tampa Bay Rays 4.

  6. 6
    Where the value is

    Over 7 runs is priced at 1.96. Our fair price is 1.86, so the bookmaker pays about 5.7% more than it should.

Tampa Bay Rays form

Tampa Bay Rays have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 95 runs scored and 58 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

New York Yankees form

New York Yankees have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 111 runs scored and 74 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 3 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Tampa Bay Rays won 1, New York Yankees won 4. Last time out it finished New York Yankees 6, Tampa Bay Rays 4.

Our call

We expect New York Yankees to score about 3.4 runs and Tampa Bay Rays about 3.8. That points to Tampa Bay Rays to win. Our safest bet is Yankees +1.5 at 1.49. Our value bet is Over 7 runs at 1.96. Our bold bet is Rays -1.5 at 2.67.

News on these teams

All news

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays?

Our prediction for New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays is Tampa Bay Rays to win, with a 57% chance, but it is a close call. We project New York Yankees 3.4 and Tampa Bay Rays 3.8. Our best bet is Over 7 runs at 1.96.

What is the projected score for New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays?

We project New York Yankees 3.4 and Tampa Bay Rays 3.8, about 7.2 runs in total.

How are Tampa Bay Rays playing?

Tampa Bay Rays have 13 wins and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 95 runs scored and 58 conceded. At home they have 8 wins and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are New York Yankees playing?

New York Yankees have 14 wins and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 111 runs scored and 74 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 3 losses from 6. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, W, newest first.

What happened when Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees last met?

It ended New York Yankees 6, Tampa Bay Rays 4. In the last 5 meetings Tampa Bay Rays won 1 and New York Yankees won 4.

What is the best bet for New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays?

Over 7 runs at 1.96, with a 54% chance. That price pays about 5.7% more than our fair price.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

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