Champions LeagueTue 13 Oct, 22:00 EATEstadio de la Cerámica

Villarreal vs Napoli prediction

VillarrealHome44%to win
1.67 : 1.37expected goalsDraw 25%
NapoliAway31%to win
Shujaa safe tipOver 2.5 goals1.67

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip61%
Over 2.5 goalsMost likely to win
Price 1.67+1.3% value1 unit
Bold tip34%
Napoli to winBigger price, loses more often
Price 3.00+1.5% value1 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Villarreal vs Napoli is Villarreal to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.67.

Villarreal recent form-1%Napoli recent form-3%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
VillarrealWWLLL
  • Wv Levante3-1
  • Wat Málaga3-1
  • Lv Real Betis1-2
  • Lat Borussia Dortmund2-3
  • Lv Deportivo2-3
NapoliDWLLL
  • Dat Fiorentina1-1
  • Wv Bologna1-0
  • Lv Arsenal0-1
  • Lat Internazionale2-3
  • Lv Como1-2

In numbers, Villarreal red and Napoli green

1.4Points per game1.7
1.9Goals scored per game1.4
1.5Goals conceded per game1.0
0%Clean sheets40%

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
VillarrealNapoli
20Games played20
8Wins10
5Draws4
7Losses6
39Goals scored29
30Goals conceded20
1.9Scored per game1.4
1.5Conceded per game1.0
6W 0D 3LHome record6W 1D 4L
2W 5D 4LAway record4W 3D 2L
0%Clean sheets40%
85%Both teams scored50%
70%Over 2.5 goals50%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

League table

Champions League
TeamPWDLGDPtsPPG
21. Villarreal1001-100.00
28. Napoli1001-100.00

Good to know: Table position is one of the strongest guides to a result. Full Champions League table

Key players

Top of each side this season
Villarreal
  • Santiago Mouriño
    Santiago MouriñoTop scorer · D
    1 goals
  • Georges Mikautadze
    Georges MikautadzeMost assists · F
    1 assists
  • Péter Gulácsi
    Péter GulácsiKeeper · G
    4 saves
Napoli
  • Vanja Milinkovic-Savic
    Vanja Milinkovic-SavicKeeper · G
    3 saves

Good to know: Watch the key men: if a top scorer is missing, the tip above already allows for team news.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.23
Over 2.5 goals58%1.71
Over 3.5 goals36%2.78
Both teams to score61%1.64
Villarreal or draw69%1.45
Napoli or draw56%1.78
Villarreal win and over 2.530%3.35
Napoli win and over 2.520%4.90

Most likely scores

1-111.6%
2-19.1%
1-27.5%
1-07.4%
2-06.7%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Villarreal to win43%2.20-4.5%
A Draw28%3.50-1.8%
Napoli to win34%3.00+1.5%
Over 2.5 goals61%1.67+1.3%
Under 2.5 goals43%2.10-10.2%
Villarreal -0.543%2.05-11.0%
Napoli +0.560%1.61-3.3%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Villarreal vs Napoli: Villarreal shade it
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Villarreal 44%, the draw 25% and Napoli 31%. The bookmakers agree and make Villarreal the favourite at 2.20.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Villarreal took 6 points from their last 5 games and Napoli took 4 from 5. Villarreal come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Villarreal won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Napoli won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Villarreal score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.5. Napoli score 1.4 and let in 1.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 14 of Villarreal games and 10 of Napoli games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 2.5 goals has a 61% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Villarreal form

Villarreal have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Napoli form

Napoli have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Villarreal to score about 1.7 goals and Napoli about 1.4. That points to Villarreal to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.67. Our bold bet is Napoli to win at 3.00.

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Villarreal vs Napoli?

Our prediction for Villarreal vs Napoli is Villarreal to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 2.5 goals at 1.67.

What is the score prediction for Villarreal vs Napoli?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Villarreal to score 1.7 goals and Napoli 1.4.

Will both teams score in Villarreal vs Napoli?

Both teams to score has a 61% chance. Both sides scored in 17 of Villarreal last 20 games and 10 of Napoli last 20.

How are Villarreal playing?

Villarreal have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 30 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, L, L, newest first.

How are Napoli playing?

Napoli have 10 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 20 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Villarreal vs Napoli?

Over 2.5 goals at 1.67, with a 61% chance. That price pays about 1.3% more than our fair price.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

18+Read this before you bet

  • There are no sure bets. Every tip on this page is a chance worked out from data about Villarreal against Napoli. A tip at 70 percent still loses about three times in ten. Anyone selling a sure bet or a fixed match is lying.
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