ChampionshipSun 11 Oct, 14:00 EATSt. Mary's Stadium

Southampton vs Portsmouth prediction

SouthamptonHome63%to win
2.11 : 0.96expected goalsDraw 21%
PortsmouthAway16%to win
Shujaa value tipSouthampton to win1.56

Our tips

Locked two hours before kick off
Safe tip67%
Southampton to winMost likely to win
Price 1.56+3.5% value1 unit
Value tip67%
Southampton to winPrice pays more than it should
Price 1.56+3.5% value1 unit
Bold tip42%
Southampton to win and Over 2.5Bigger price, loses more often
Fair 2.361 unit

Shujaa verdict

From results, prices, form and rest

Our prediction for Southampton vs Portsmouth is Southampton to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Southampton to win at 1.56.

Southampton recent form+1%Portsmouth recent form-1%

Good to know: Each reading is capped, so no single headline can swing a tip. How it works

Form and head to head

Newest game first
SouthamptonLWWDD
  • Lat Wrexham1-2
  • Wv Bristol City4-1
  • Wv Swansea City3-1
  • Dat Lincoln City1-1
  • Dat Birmingham City1-1
PortsmouthDDWLL
  • Dv Blackburn Rovers2-2
  • Dat Charlton Athletic0-0
  • Wv Cardiff City2-0
  • Lv Derby County0-2
  • Lat Bristol City1-2

In numbers, Southampton red and Portsmouth green

1.9Points per game1.2
2.2Goals scored per game1.3
1.3Goals conceded per game1.6
15%Clean sheets25%

Last meetings

  • Portsmouth1-1Southampton
  • Southampton0-0Portsmouth

Team records

Last 20 games, all competitions
SouthamptonPortsmouth
20Games played20
11Wins6
5Draws6
4Losses8
44Goals scored25
25Goals conceded33
2.2Scored per game1.3
1.3Conceded per game1.6
7W 2D 1LHome record3W 3D 4L
4W 3D 3LAway record3W 3D 4L
15%Clean sheets25%
85%Both teams scored65%
80%Over 2.5 goals50%

Good to know: Green marks the better number of the two.

Goals and markets

Chance and fair price
Over 1.5 goals82%1.23
Over 2.5 goals59%1.69
Over 3.5 goals37%2.73
Both teams to score55%1.83
Southampton or draw84%1.18
Portsmouth or draw37%2.72
Southampton win and over 2.544%2.29
Portsmouth win and over 2.510%10.48

Most likely scores

2-010.4%
1-110.0%
2-19.9%
1-09.3%
3-07.3%

Price check

BetChancePriceValue
Southampton to win67%1.56+3.5%
A Draw24%4.30+2.5%
Portsmouth to win18%5.25-4.3%
Over 2.5 goals61%1.63-1.3%
Under 2.5 goals41%2.15-12.1%
Southampton -0.565%1.50-3.1%
Portsmouth +0.538%2.30-12.8%

Good to know: The small grey number is the fair price. If your bookmaker pays more, the bet has value.

Match preview

Southampton vs Portsmouth: Southampton are favourites
  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Southampton 63%, the draw 21% and Portsmouth 16%. The bookmakers agree and make Southampton the favourite at 1.56.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Southampton took 8 points from their last 5 games and Portsmouth took 5 from 5. Southampton come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Southampton won 7 of their last 10 games at home. Portsmouth won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Southampton score 2.2 goals a game and let in 1.3. Portsmouth score 1.3 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of Southampton games and 10 of Portsmouth games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Southampton won 0 and Portsmouth won 0 with 2 draws. The last one ended Portsmouth 1, Southampton 1.

  6. 6
    Where the value is

    Southampton to win is priced at 1.56. Our fair price is 1.50, so the bookmaker pays about 3.5% more than it should.

Southampton form

Southampton have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, D, newest first.

Portsmouth form

Portsmouth have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Southampton won 0, Portsmouth won 0 and 2 games ended level. Last time out it finished Portsmouth 1, Southampton 1.

Our call

We expect Southampton to score about 2.1 goals and Portsmouth about 1.0. That points to Southampton to win, with 2-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Southampton to win at 1.56. Our value bet is Southampton to win at 1.56. Our bold bet is Southampton to win and Over 2.5 at 2.36.

News on these teams

All news

Questions people in Kenya ask

Who will win Southampton vs Portsmouth?

Our prediction for Southampton vs Portsmouth is Southampton to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 2-0. Our best bet is Southampton to win at 1.56.

What is the score prediction for Southampton vs Portsmouth?

2-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-1. We expect Southampton to score 2.1 goals and Portsmouth 1.0.

Will both teams score in Southampton vs Portsmouth?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 17 of Southampton last 20 games and 13 of Portsmouth last 20.

How are Southampton playing?

Southampton have 11 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in their last 20 games, with 44 goals scored and 25 conceded. At home they have 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, D, newest first.

How are Portsmouth playing?

Portsmouth have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 33 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, D, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Southampton and Portsmouth last met?

It ended Portsmouth 1, Southampton 1. In the last 2 meetings Southampton won 0 and Portsmouth won 0.

What is the best bet for Southampton vs Portsmouth?

Southampton to win at 1.56, with a 67% chance. That price pays about 3.5% more than our fair price.

Good to know: Answers change as prices move. Every page is checked again every 30 minutes.

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