San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants: San Diego Padres shade it
- 1What our numbers say
The model gives San Francisco Giants 46% and San Diego Padres 54%. The bookmakers agree and make San Diego Padres the favourite at 1.76.
- 2Recent form
San Francisco Giants won 3 of their last 5 and San Diego Padres won 5 of their last 5. San Diego Padres come in with the better run.
- 3Home and away
San Francisco Giants won 7 of their last 12 games at home. San Diego Padres won 3 of their last 8 on the road.
- 4Scoring
San Francisco Giants score 5.5 runs a game and let in 5.3. San Diego Padres score 4.5 and let in 3.6. Their recent games average 10.7 and 8.2 runs in total, and the market line is 7.5.
- 5Head to head
In the last 5 meetings, San Francisco Giants won 0 and San Diego Padres won 5. The last one ended San Francisco Giants 6, San Diego Padres 7.
- 6Where the value is
Over 7.5 runs is priced at 1.95. Our fair price is 1.80, so the bookmaker pays about 8.3% more than it should.
The big picture
San Francisco Giants host San Diego Padres in the MLB on Mon 14 Sept, 02:20 at Oracle Park. Our prediction for San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants is San Diego Padres to win, with a 54% chance, but it is a close call. We project San Diego Padres 4.2 and San Francisco Giants 3.9. Our best bet is Over 7.5 runs at 1.95.
San Francisco Giants form
San Francisco Giants have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 109 runs scored and 105 conceded. At home they have 7 wins and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read L, L, W, W, W, newest first.
San Diego Padres form
San Diego Padres have 12 wins and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 90 runs scored and 73 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins and 5 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.
Head to head
These two have met 5 times in our records. San Francisco Giants won 0, San Diego Padres won 5. Last time out it finished San Francisco Giants 6, San Diego Padres 7.
Our call
We expect San Diego Padres to score about 4.2 runs and San Francisco Giants about 3.9. That points to San Diego Padres to win. Our safest bet is Giants +1.5 at 1.61. Our value bet is Over 7.5 runs at 1.95.